Jaguars @ Saints

Point Total: NA
Spread: NA

DvP Ranks vs QB vs RB vs WR vs TE PPGA
Jaguars 29th 16th 24th 24th 27.1
Saints 32nd 14th 32nd 32nd 30.9

Saints QB Drew Brees is questionable for this game which makes rostering any of the Saints players rather dicey. Brees is dealing with a torn planter fascia which would definitely hurt his mobility on Sunday if he played. Its probably best to stay away from him since it’s hard to predict how it will effect his throwing, even though the matchup this week is juicy.

WR Brandin Cooks had a monster game last week beating the very solid Darius Say on numerous occasions down field. This week he gets an even better matchup against a Jacksonville secondary who has really struggled against the WR position this year. The Jags have allowed a WR to gain 100 yards or more against them in three straight weeks. With Cooks playing at such a high level and coming off his best game of the year he’s definitely a target this week at $5900 but again might be a bit riskier than normal due to the injury to his QB… WR Willie Snead also had a big game last week and is in a good spot for another one this week. At only $4500 I’d have Snead listed as a definite value target this week if not for the health issue surrounding his QB. The Saints will have to pass lots in this game as the Jags run defense is actually one of the best in the league, Snead’s definitely someone to consider… At TE I do like the matchup this week for Ben Watson as well but see him as more of a tournament target. Watson’s averaged right around 6 receptions the last three games which is good but you’d need him to find the end zone in order to pay off his inflated salary this week ($5300).

AT RB Tim Hightower only played on 42% of the snaps last week but still saw more carries and receptions than any other back in the New Orleans offense. As mentioned earlier the Jags run defense is good and have only allowed a RB to gain more than 70 yards in a game versus them on two occasions this season. Hightower could have a big ppr game as the Jags have allowed the second most receptions to RBs in the entire league this year but he’s risky as a big day on the ground is not likely.

Blake Bortles is in a great position here for another big fantasy day. The Saints have been awful at limiting opposing QBs so far this year giving up 3 or more TDs to opposing QBs in 5 of their last 7 games. Bortles hasn’t just been getting it done with his arm either but his legs as well as he’s now rushed for a TD in two straight games and ran for over 25 yards in 4 of his last 7. At $6500 he’s got to be considered as one of the safest plays in DFS this week at QB and probably a good target for cash games.

Here’s how Bortles’ passing targets have been distributed the past couple of games:

Player Week 14 Week 15
Julius Thomas 8 10
Allen Robinson 4 5
Allen Hurns 4 5

Julius Thomas is in a great spot here to have a big game and should be one of your highest rated TEs this week. On top of leading the Jags in targets two weeks in a row he gets the Saints defense who have allowed the third most receptions and second most TDs to the position this year. Thomas’s price has gone up a bit to $5000 but his upside still makes him a great play… The Saints have also given up the second most TDs to WRs in the entire league this year making them a prime target for both Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns as well. Of the two its Allen Robinson who I would really be targeting this weekend as he gets Brandon Browner in coverage, who’s been terrible all season and is still near the bottom of Pro Football Focus’ CB rankings. While I like Julius Thomas I think Robinson has just as much upside in this game and could easily end up as one of the top scorers this week for fantasy. I expect Bortles and the Jags to exploit that matchup this week and would make Robinson a target as well.

AT RB for the Jags both Denard Robinson and TJ Yeldon are banged up and questionable but of the two it appears that Robinson is the more likely to play this week. If Robinson does have the backfield to himself this week, he becomes a great target against a Saints team who has allowed the most fantasy points to RBs in the league and the 4th most receptions to RBs. Robinson caught 8 passes last week and could see a similar workload again here in what is expected to be a wide open affair. Watch the injury news but expect Robinson to play a ton if Yeldon sits.

Gameflow: I’m not a huge Jacksonville fan and don’t like taking them in most games outside of their division but the Saints got pummeled by a pretty weak Lions team last week and might be without Drew Brees. The Jags are in a good spot here with some real weapons on offense to make life miserable for the Saints. I think they’ll do just that.

SCORE PREDICTION: Jaguars 30 Saints 23

Primary Targets:

Allen Robinson $7500
Julius Thomas $5100
Blake Bortles $6500

Secondary Targets:

Brandin Cooks $5900
Ben Watson $5300
Willie Snead $4500
Denard Robinson $5400 (if no Yeldon)

Packers @ Cardinals

Point Total: 49.5
Spread: Cardinals – 4.5

DvP Ranks vs QB vs RB vs WR vs TE PPGA
Packers 12th 11th 9th 23rd 18.9
Cardinals 11th 7th 8th 17th 19.2

Aaron Rodgers has now thrown for less than 300 yards and less than 3 TDs in each of his last 5 games. While this might appear like a tough matchup the truth is the Cardinals fast pace of play means that opposing QBs often rack up yardage against them, and in 4 of their last 5 games opposing QBs have broken the 300-yard mark. With this game having one of the largest point totals of the week I think you have to consider Rodgers as a QB this week and I really like his potential in what should be a fast moving, high scoring game.

Here’s the Packers passing targets from their last two weeks of play:

Player Week 14 Week 15
Randall Cobb 14 10
James Jones 7 13
Richard Rodgers 4 4

With Arizona losing one of its top corners in Tyron Mathieu for the year the Cards secondary just got a little easier to throw on. Randall Cobb should avoid shadow coverage from Patrick Peterson in this game and even though he disappointed me after I recommended him last week I still think this game is a great spot for Cobb to produce. Cobb’s now seen 23 targets over his last two games and will be needed by Green Bay if they have any hopes of staying with the Cards this week… With Patrick Peterson likely guarding either Davante Adams or James Jones my inclination is that the Packers may use a little more Richard Rodgers in this game. Rodgers is coming off two slow weeks but could be someone to think about if looking to make a Packers stack in your tournament lineup. He might bust out again here.

Here’s the snap count at RB from last week for the Packers: Starks 21, Lacy 28. To be honest, there isn’t a much less appealing situation in fantasy for me than the Green Bay RB group. The Cards have a great run D and week to week you don’t know how this duo will perform or who will get the bigger workload. I’d guess that Starks at $3800 is the better play this week both because of price and because the Packers will likely be throwing more. He’s risky but cheap so using him as a value play isn’t the worst idea.

Carson Palmer is coming off one of his slowest games of the year, but not due to poor play. Palmer simply didn’t have to do much as RB David Johnson simply smoked the Eagles defense taking in TDs from long and close range last weekend. The Packers defense has been solid versus opposing QBs lately and haven’t given up a 300 yard passing game since week 8. That being said top corner Sam Shields looks likely to miss this game meaning Palmer might have free range on his best passing targets. With so many people focused on Pittsburgh, New Orleans and Jacksonville, Palmer might be a sneaky tournament pivot this Sunday… As far as David Johnson goes you saw the talent last weekend when he ran through the Eagles D. The Packers are much better against the run but not a lockdown unit by any means. Johnson is such a good receiver that he could pay off through ppr points alone in this game and is again something of a cash game must this weekend for me.

Here’s the Cardinals passing targets from the last two weeks of play:

Player Week 14 Week 15
Michael Floyd 9 8
John Brown 5 9
Larry Fitzgerald 6 6

While Larry Fitzgerald’s passing targets have been going down recently this week might be a good spot for a bounce back. The Packers have been good at covering the outside receiver position this year but Fitzgerald has been running lots of TE-like routes all season. The Packers have struggled against the TE and it’s possible Fitzgerald gives them “Fitzs” this weekend. I really like him as a tournament play to pair with Carson Palmer, his ownership will be super low… As for John Brown and Michael Floyd both are extremely affordable for their potential and might get the added benefit of not having to go up against Sam Shields this week. Of the pair it’s more likely Brown, who moves around the formation more, could avoid Shields if he plays so I might chance him this weekend… he also led the Cards in red zone targets week 15 which was surprising. Brown did drop a few balls last week but could easily bust out a couple big plays for a big fantasy game in this matchup.

Gameflow: This is the game of the week for me. The Cards have been rolling of late and come into this game with their offense in the best shape of their life. David Johnson gives them an element they didn’t have before and with all three WRs heathy they have mismatches all over the field. Even at full strength I’m not sure if Green Bay could take them, but without Sam Shields playing corner I really don’t like their chances. I’ll take the Cards at home in a semi- shootout.

SCORE PREDICTION: Cardinals 34 Packers 27

Primary Targets:

Carson Palmer $7000
Randall Cobb $6100
Larry Fitzgerald $7100
David Johnson $5800

Secondary Targets:

John Brown $5300
Aaron Rodgers $7000

Rams @ Seahawks

Point Total: 40.5
Spread: Seahawks -13.5

DvP Ranks vs QB vs RB vs WR vs TE PPGA
Rams 8th 9th 23rd 25th 21
Seahawks 2nd 3rd 1st 27th 17.7

The Rams are coming off a nice win last week but go on the road this week for a tough matchup with Seattle. The Rams are only projected to score about 13 points in this game meaning Vegas doesn’t give them a great shot at mounting much offense. At RB Todd Gurley got semi-stuffed last weekend by Tampa’s stout run D, and he might have an even more difficult matchup this week against Seattle. Seattle’s given up the fewest fantasy points in the league this season to RBs and haven’t allowed a 100 runner all year. At $6200 you’d need a lot of yards from Gurley to pay off his salary and its doubtful to see him getting you those yards in this matchup. He’s someone I’ll be staying away from week 16.

While I wouldn’t touch Case Keenum or any of the Rams WRs in this game I would consider TE Jared Cook for matchup reasons. The Seahawks have been mostly terrible at covering TEs this year and Cook actually went for over 80 yards the first two times these teams met. He’s not my favorite play but someone you could consider due to price at only $2800… As for the rest of the Rams I’ll be staying away all of them, even from Tavon Austin, who’s been the Rams best player on offense outside of Gurley. Austin’s a great player but projects to see lots of Richard Sherman in coverage.

Russell Wilson continues his ascension into the record books with his recent play and now has 16 TDs versus zero INTs in his last 4 games. For DFS purposes Wilson is now the second highest salaried QB on the site making him slightly less attractive for salary reasons. The Rams have been quite good at limiting opposing QBs this year but recently have been easier to pass on allowing 13 passing TDs in their last 6 games. While I wouldn’t recommend risking Wilson in cash games this week due to the matchup and price, I do think there’s every bit of reason to use him in tournaments where he should be much lower owned than he was last week. The Rams lack of offense might limit his day but he’s a good bet for at least 25 fantasy points.

Here’s how the passing targets have broken down for the Hawks the last two weeks:

Player Week 14 Week 15
Doug Baldwin 9 6
Tyler Lockett 7 7
Jermaine Kearse 8 10

Doug Baldwin has been unconscious lately, especially around the end zone where he’s been getting open at will lately. Baldwin has an unreal 10 TDs in his last four games and working from the slot has been hard to cover for teams once the Hawks get in and around the 10-yard line. The only issue with Baldwin is price (now $6500) and if forced to chose between him and another Seahawks receiver I’d much rather roster Tyler Lockett this weekend who at only $4500 is much, much cheaper but offers you similar upside. Lockett should benefit from teams shifting focus to Baldwin eventually and the burst and ability Lockett’s shown on Wilson’s deep balls the past few weeks has been amazing. I love the potential with Lockett in this game and would definitely target him as a value play at WR this weekend.

With the Hawks favoured by nearly two TDs RB is a position of interest for me on their team. Last week the snaps broke down like this for Seattle: Brown 22, Michael 24, Jackson 13, with Fred Jackson being the only RB who caught a pass all game. While it’s possible we see another split in the early down work, it’s also possible that the coaches give Christine Michael a bit of a longer leash after he was productive last week. While rostering Michael would be risky there’s upside in using a RB on a team who will likely be up by so much late and for that reason he makes for an interesting tournament play at $4400.

Gameflow: The Rams have played the Seahawks tough before but this is completely different set of circumstances. The Rams are dealing with injuries and a highly ineffective offense while the Hawks are surging and playing some of their best football of the past three years. Russell Wilson has been unleashed and with the run defense likely stopping any Todd Gurley big game, I could see complete domination here.

SCORE PREDICTION: Seahawks 28 Rams 6

Primary Targets:

Tyler Lockett $4500

Secondary Targets:

Christine Michael $4400
Russell Wilson $7200

Giants @ Vikings

Point Total: 45.5
Spread: Vikings -6

DvP Ranks vs QB vs RB vs WR vs TE PPGA
Giants 31st 28th 25th 31st 25.6
Vikings 10th 15th 11th 13th 19.4

The Giants will be without Odell Beckham (suspension) in this game which severely downgrades their offense and chances of winning. QB Eli Manning has been great recently but faces a Minnesota team who’s been good at limiting opposing QBs all year and will be at home this week. While I could see Eli rising up and having a big game here my inclination is that you don’t need to risk it in Daily Fantasy, there’s better options for week 16.

With no Beckham there’s numerous Giants secondary targets who could see a bump this weekend. Rueben Randle is the likeliest Giant to see a bump in targets this weekend and has a good matchup as he’ll likely draw the underperforming Xavier Rhodes in coverage. Randle’s benefited recently from the coverage Odell Beckham has been drawing and scored TDs in each of his last two games. At $3500 he’s a complete volume play as he should see at least 8 targets this week… At TE Will Tye is the other receiver to think about from this group. Tye is only $3500 but should see more than the 6 targets a game he’s averaged over the past couple of weeks. Tye is athletic enough and a good enough receiver that he could pay off this week as well and seeing him rack up double digit fantasy points isn’t out of the question; he could easily be the big play from this offense… All in all, if you need a value play this week, targeting the Giants receivers is probably a decent idea, all of them will see a little more work with ODB out.

AT RB Shane Vereen actually led the Giants in targets last week with 10 and could also be in a spot to get a bump in looks and usage with Beckham out. The Vikings have done well covering the RB position this year but Vereen would be used more as a WR in this game most likely. He’s risky but also the RB I would most expect to benefit from Beckham’s absence.

The Vikings Teddy Bridgewater finally broke out last weekend for a nice fantasy game and gets a Giants defense this week who’s been horrible at covering the pass and allowed some monster days to opposing QBs. 5 out of the last 7 QBs who have played the Giants have thrown for more than 300 yards and on two occasions now they’ve allowed 5 or more passing TDs in a single game. Bridgewater may not throw a ton but his accuracy and mobility could give the Giants fits this week. As a cheap tournament play I’d consider him this week mainly due to the matchup, he’s worth the risk for that reason alone.

Here’s the Vikings passing targets from their last two weeks of play:

Player Week 14 Week 15
Stefon Diggs 7 4
Mike Wallace 7 3
Kyle Rudolph 6 2

The Giants have been awful at defending the pass and have now allowed 7 TDs to WRs over their last 4 games (including 4 last week). Stefon Diggs had a big week 15 on limited targets and could be in for another big game here. At $4400 I think its possible he gets a slight increase in workload, especially if the Vikes decide to bench Peterson for this game. He’s a great value play in my eyes for week 16… I also like TE Kyle Rudolph this week and not just because it’s Christmas. The Giants have had issues covering the TE all year and Rudolph has been a trusted target for Bridgewater all season. Rudolph hasn’t found the end zone in a few weeks but with the Giants giving up the third most TDs to the position in the league Rudolph’s in a great spot to score this week and is a great value target at only $3300, definitely someone I’d think about if going cheap at the TE position.

At RB Adrian Peterson suffered a slight ankle sprain last week but finished the game and looks like he could play this weekend. However, with the wild card basically sewn up for Minnesota its possible they hold him out this week. If the Cardinals beat the Packers, the Vikings would have a week 17 showdown with the Packers for the NFC North and this game would become meaningless standings wise. Given this scenario it’s very possible the Vikings limit Peterson or hold him out altogether, making the best strategy on Peterson to fade him this weekend for fantasy… If Peterson does sit RB Jerick McKinnon would get a massive workload in all likelihood and be a great target for fantasy. At $3500 the ultra athletic McKinnon is definitely someone to keep an eye on, especially given the matchup, and I’d consider using him if the news on Peterson breaks towards him sitting out.

Gameflow: Whoever plays the Giants always has fantasy potential so this game could be fun to watch. The Vikings are an OK team but they’ve struggled to close out some close games this season. That being said, Odell Beckham being out for this game really kills what chances I thought the Giants had. Relying on a weak defense and run game to get things done isn’t the Giants style and I see Minnesota taking this one comfortably enough.

SCORE PREDICTION: Vikings 27 Giants 20

Primary Targets:

Stefon Diggs $4400
Kyle Rudolph $3300

Secondary Targets:

Teddy Bridgewater $5200
Reuben Randle $3500
Will Tye $3500
Jerick McKinnon $3500 (if no AP)

Bengals @ Broncos

Point Total: 40.5
Spread: Broncos -3.5

DvP Ranks vs QB vs RB vs WR vs TE PPGA
Bengals 3rd 12th 15th 15th 17.4
Broncos 1st 1st 12th 19th 18.5

This game features one of the lowest point totals of the week and will feature two promising, backup QBs in their first real year playing in the NFL. On Denver I would not recommend staring Brock Osweiler this week. The Bengals pass rush has been tough for other teams to deal with all season and is still 4th in the league in sacks. Cincy has only given up one passing TD in their last 4 games and are very tough to deal with as a unit for opposing QBs. While Denver might be the popular choice to roster defensively the Bengals D could also have a big game here.

As for receivers here’s how the Denver targets have been distributed the past two weeks:

Player Week 14 Week 15
Emmanuel Sanders 7 16
Demaryius Thomas 15 13
Vernon Davis 9 3

Emmanuel Sanders is coming off his best game of the season and could be in a good spot for another big one here. Sanders will likely see a lot of the Bengals weakest corner in coverage this week in Dre Kirkpatrick and could be heavily relied on again in a defensive struggle. At only $5800, Sanders is surprisingly affordable after his big game last week where he tore apart the Pittsburgh secondary. I wouldn’t be shocked if he led all receivers in this game point wise… Demaryius Thomas has now seen 28 targets over his last two games and that alone makes him a consideration every week for me. Thomas found the end zone twice last week but will have a tougher matchup this week against Adam Jones who’s been great at CB all year for Cincy. Ultimately I like the price tag and matchup for Sanders better this week and will probably simply avoid any Denver pass catchers outside of him.

At RB the breakdown in snaps for Denver week 15 looked like this: CJ Anderson 37, Ronnie Hillman 39. Neither of these players have done much of anything for fantasy lately and I don’t expect a huge game form either of them against a solid Bengals defense. Rostering either would be incredibly risky, despite their cheap price tag.

The Bengals will be without Tyler Eifert in this game and star WR AJ Green is questionable. Rather than bore you with stats here I’m just going to recommend you stay away from the Bengals pass game altogether this week. While Marvin Jones could be an interesting play if Green sits Denver is so tough against the WR that he’d still be a risk. With no Dalton scoring through the air will be even tougher than normal against Denver who, even after last weeks’ semi-breakdown, still has given up the fewest fantasy points to WRs in the league.

At RB Gio Bernard played 37 snaps (10 more than Jeremy Hill did) and could be the preferred option for the Bengals in this game as well. While I like the ppr usage on Gio its hard to see him reeling off a monster day in this game in this spot. Like most of the Bengals players this week, the RBs have a tough matchup and aren’t someone I’ll be targeting for fantasy.

Gameflow: This isn’t a game I expect to be very high scoring for fantasy purposes but should be a hard fought, close battle nonetheless. Both teams are starting “backups” for all intents and purposes at QB but Denver’s Brock Osweiler certainly has the experience advantage, although not by much. With Cincy missing both Dalton and Tyler Eifert I just can’t bring myself to pick them even though I think they have a real shot to win here. I’m going Denver in a close game.

SCORE PREDICTION: Broncos 23 Bengals 21

Primary Targets:

Emmanuel Sanders $5800

Secondary Targets:

Denver Defense $3400
Giovani Bernard $4300