Week 8 is in the books! Now it’s time to focus our attention on Week 9 and try to get some nice scores. My goal every week is to find you some solid options that fit in the flex position and provide some nice upside. Below I’ll go over some of those plays.
Mark Ingram ($6500) – The Saints lost Khiry Robinson for the season and he accounted for 24.3 percent of the red zone carries which will now be split between Ingram and C.J. Spiller. Based on what we’ve seen, Ingram should the bulk of those carries. He already receives 67.6 percent of the red zone rushes as it is, so chances are he could get anywhere between 75-80 percent moving forward, if not more. The Saints face the Titans, who are surrendering 4.1 YPC to opposing backs and have allowed 100+ rushing yards in two of their last three games. Last season when the Saints dealt with running back injuries, Ingram was seeing close to 30 touches per game, I’m anticipating something in that range this week.
Danny Woodhead ($4800) – Woodhead is one of my favorite tournament plays this week. He makes a great Monday night hammer and based on recency bias, we can expect his ownership percentage to be lower than it should be. He’s the team’s red zone back as he has received 66.7 percent of the red zone rushes and 14 percent of the red zone targets. He’s been in 47.7 percent of the team’s offensive snaps this season and is averaging 6.1 receptions per game. With Keenan Allen out for the season and Ladarius Green questionable for this game, there are potentially 16 targets to be spread amongst the Chargers offense this game. Woodhead should receive a good amount of those. This game has a 49 point over/under and the Chargers are the favorites with an implied point total of 26.75. There’s a lot to like about Woodhead this week.
Amari Cooper ($6700) – The Steelers secondary is playing better than I anticipated this season, but they’re still allowing 170 receiving yards per game and have surrendered a touchdown to receivers in three of their last four games. Cooper averages 8.4 targets per game and the Raiders should be chasing points in this game, which means potentially more targets for Cooper. He’s averaging 21.9 fantasy points on the road versus subpar secondary’s this season and has topped 14 fantasy points in each favorable matchup thus far, including three 23+ fantasy point games. As I mentioned before, the Steelers have been vulnerable against receivers which makes Cooper an appealing option this week at a reasonable price.
Stevie Johnson ($3200) – It’s almost impossible not to consider Johnson this week. He’s almost at the minimum price for a receiver, but could see anywhere between 7-9 targets in a plus matchup. With Keenan Allen’s season ending injury, Johnson is projected to see a bigger role in this offense. The Bears are surrendering 162 yards per game and 13.8 yards per reception. They have also allowed 12 receiving touchdowns, including four in the last two games. Johnson should easily hit value and I expect him to exceed it. His low price allows you to spend up elsewhere.
Heath Miller ($2700) – I’ve been doing it all season and I’m not stopping, that is targeting tight ends that play against the Raiders. The Raiders have allowed at least one touchdown to a tight end in all but one game this season. They’re surrendering 63.7 receiving yards and 5.6 receptions per game to tight ends. In three games with Big Ben under center for the entire game, Miller has caught 20 passes for 204 yards and two touchdowns, and has also been targeted 26 times. He’ll be a popular play this week and rightfully so.
Austin Seferian-Jenkins ($2800) – If you want to pivot from Miller in tournaments because you’re concerned about his ownership percentage, Seferian-Jenkins is your guy. He’s currently questionable for this week’s game, but did practice fully on Friday. The Bucs face a Giants defense that has surrendered 58 receptions for 684 yards and five touchdowns to opposing tight ends this season. In Week 1, we saw a glimpse of the potential Sefarian-Jenkins offers. He caught five of his seven targets for 110 yards and two touchdowns. Vincent Jackson will not play this week, which will open up the door for potentially more targets for Seferian-Jenkins. The matchup and price are right.