It’s time to focus our attention on Week 7 and try to get some nice scores. My goal every week is to find you some solid options that fit in the flex position and provide some nice upside. Below I’ll go over some of those plays.
Todd Gurley ($5000) – It’s almost impossible not to include Gurley in this article. By now, I’m sure many of you have already read about him and why he’s a good play. One more time won’t hurt. Gurley has rushed for over 140 yards and has scored 18+ fantasy points in each of the last two games. He’s averaging 6.22 yards per carry in every game with double digit carries and has two 50+ yard carries in that time span. It appears he’s fully recovered from his injury as he played in 63 percent of the offensive snaps in Week 4 and 69 percent in Week 5. Needless to say, the volume is there. His success has come against two respectable defenses and this week he faces a Browns defense that struggles to stop the run. Opposing backs average 131.5 rushing yards per game, 4.5 receptions per game, and 54 receiving yards per game against the Browns. In fact, the Browns have yielded the most rushing yards this season. He needs 15 fantasy points to hit value and should have no trouble whatsoever exceeding that as he’s done so in consecutive games. Take advantage of this low price as this may be the cheapest we will see him for the rest of the season.
Danny Woodhead ($4600) – Lamar Miller is likely going to have a high ownership so I decided to pivot off of him and provide you with a running back I lean on often. Don’t get me wrong, I think Miller is a great play, but I also think Woodhead is in a good spot. Stevie Johnson (hamstring), Keenan Allen (hip), Antonio Gates (knee), and Melvin Gordon (ankle) are all questionable for Week 7. Woodhead should see more targets than he normally does if any of the players can’t give it a go. As it is, he’s averaging 5.7 targets per game, but has received seven targets in each of the last two games. He averages 4.3 receptions per game and has scored 12+ fantasy points in all but one game this season. He continues to receive the majority of the red zone carries (77.8 percent) and has outperformed Gordon for most of the season. The Raiders have been surprisingly solid against the run this season, but do surrender 6.2 receptions per game to opposing backs. Keep a close eye on the injuries for this offense as it will have a big impact on Woodhead’s value. He’s still in play regardless, but is far more valuable if there are fewer mouths to feed this week.
Mike Evans ($6400) – Evans has struggled this season. He’s only scored double digit fantasy points once and has failed to score a touchdown. To his defense, the Bucs have focused more on the run game, but that might not work this week as they face a stingy run defense in the Redskins. The way to beat the Redskins is through the air. They allow 153.3 receiving yards per game and have surrendered eight touchdowns, including six in the last four games. Evans is coming off of a bye and should be well rested. He’s averaging 8.2 targets per game, but has been targeted 30 times in the last three games. It’s only a matter of time before he breaks out and has one of those big games he’s capable of. It’s difficult to find elite talent at a reasonable price, but Evans fits that description. He’s strictly a tournament play as he is inconsistent and doesn’t offer a steady floor for cash.
Donte Moncrief ($5200) – In every game that Andrew Luck has played this season, Moncrief has caught a touchdown pass. He is averaging 8.2 targets per game and has only seen fewer than seven targets in a game once. Moncrief averages 88.7 yards per game and 20.2 fantasy points per game in home games. This game has an over/under of 52 points and the Colts have an implied total points of 28.5. Opportunities for scores should be there. The Saints have allowed a receiver to score a touchdown in all but one game. They surrender 152.7 receiving yards per game and 15 yards per catch. In a potential shootout against a subpar secondary, it’s tough not to like Moncrief at this price. He only needs 15.6 fantasy points to hit value, which should be easily attainable.
Ladarius Green ($2900) – I spoke about Green briefly in my podcast this week. He has yet scored fewer than 9.7 fantasy points in a single game this season and has still managed to score 10 or more points in each game since Gates returned. Green is averaging 5.4 targets and 4.4 catches per game. He has also scored three touchdowns. This week the Chargers face the Raiders who are the absolute worst against tight ends. Opposing tight ends average 12.1 yards per catch, 77.6 receiving yards per game and 1.2 touchdowns per game against the Raiders. They have surrendered eight touchdowns to opposing tight ends. At $2,900, 8.7 fantasy points would be the number Green needs to hit value. He’s exceeded that in every game thus far, so should have no trouble doing so once again this week. If Gates misses this game, Green is a must play at this price and even if Gates plays, Green is in play. As I’ve said before, when a tight end is playing against the Raiders, start him!
Delanie Walker ($3900) – Walker is a tight end that sometimes gets overlooked. He sees a good amount of targets on a weekly basis. In week one he was targeted just three times, but since then he’s been targeted 26 times in the last three games he’s played in. He’s averaging 7.2 targets and 13.1 fantasy points per game. Walker hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 1, but is in a great spot to get in the end zone this week. He plays the Falcons who have surrendered a touchdown in three consecutive games to opposing tight ends, and are yielding 62.3 yards and 5.7 receptions per game to tight ends. The Titans could be playing from behind which is good news for Walker. At this price, he’s affordable and provides a steady floor with plenty of upside.