Week 5 is in the books! Now it’s time to focus our attention on Week 6 and try to get some nice scores. My goal every week is to find you some solid options that fit in the flex position and provide some nice upside. Below I’ll go over some of those plays.
LeGarrette Blount ($4400) – Dion Lewis dealing with an abdomen injury and listed as questionable for Sunday’s game against the Colts. If he sits, Blount could be in for a heavy workload. The Patriots have ran it down the Colts throats in all of their last three meetings including playoff games. In the 2014 playoff game against the Colts, Blount ran for 166 yards and four touchdowns. In the 2015 playoff game against the Colts, he ran for 148 yards and three touchdowns. Last season during the regular season, the Patriots started Jonas Gray at running back in their matchup against the Colts and he ran for 201 yards and four touchdowns. Notice the trend? We saw Blount score three times against the Jags in Week 3 and this is certainly another game where he is capable of a similar stat line. Keep a close eye on Lewis’ status, but Blount is still worthy of a tournament play even if Lewis starts.
Danny Woodhead ($4700) – It’s difficult for me to ignore Woodhead on a weekly basis as he is always so affordable. His price has increased $1,000 since the start of the season, but he remains reasonably priced for what he does. Last week was the first time this season that Melvin Gordon out snapped Woodhead, but Woodhead still caught five passes for 66 yards and scored nearly 13 fantasy points. Woodhead still has more offensive snaps than Gordon for the season, has received 77.8 of the teams red zone carries, and averages 5.4 targets per game. He’s averaging 15.1 fantasy points per game, but has exceeded that amount three times this season, while only scoring single digit fantasy points once. At this price he only needs 14.1 fantasy points to hit value, which is something he should have no trouble doing. In a game where the Chargers could be chasing points, Woodhead could be in for a ton of targets in the passing game. Another bonus is that he’s usually low owned.
Eric Decker ($4900) – Decker has scored a touchdown in each game he has played this season. This week he has a favorable matchup against the Redskins defense. The Redskins defend the run well and usually force opposing teams to beat them through the air. Prior to getting torched last week by the Falcons run game, no back had gained more than 84 yards against them. The Jets are coming off of a bye week which provided Decker with some much needed rest. Receivers are averaging 146.6 yards per game against the Redskins and have scored six touchdowns. Decker is averaging 6.3 targets per game and is catching 74 percent of the passes thrown his way. He’s been consistent and offers some upside as well. At this low price, it’s tough not to consider Decker as a flex option this week.
Golden Tate ($5200) – Tate has not lived up to expectations this season, but then again neither has anyone on this offense. The Lions have looked atrocious on offense, but we could see that come to an end this week. If you look at their schedule thus far, they’ve had some pretty tough matchups. Three of their five opponents are currently in the top three in defense against receivers (Seahawks, Broncos, and Chargers). The other two matchups were against the Cardinals and Vikings who are also no walk in the park. They finally have a great matchup ahead of them as they take on their division rivals, the Bears. Receivers are averaging 136 yards per game against the Bears and have scored eight touchdowns. Tate is averaging 9.4 targets per game and has received fewer than seven targets in a game just once. If there’s a game where the Lions offense comes out and has a big day, it should be this one. He’s strictly a tournament play as he offers a low floor, but can pay off big if he hits his ceiling as he’ll likely be very low owned. Keep in mind, he was targeted 18 times last week against the Cardinals.
Zach Ertz ($2900) – Ertz is coming off of his best game of the season and is could carry the momentum over this week. He faces the Giants who have allowed the most receptions (37), surrender 82 yards per game, and have given up four touchdowns to opposing tight ends. He scored a touchdown in last year’s home game against the Giants. The targets for Ertz this season have been inconsistent, but he has received seven or more targets in three of the five games. This is a great spot for Ertz and at his lowest salary of the season. Give him a go!
Richard Rodgers ($3100) – If you look at the last two games, Rodgers is averaging seven targets per game and 13 fantasy points per game. Since Devante Adams went down with an injury, Rodgers has seen more targets. He’s price has gone up, but not enough to scare me away from him this week. The Chargers are allowing 47.4 yards per game and 3.8 catches per game to opposing tight ends. They’ve also surrendered three touchdowns. This game has one of the highest over/unders of the week (50.5), which means we can anticipate plenty of points scored. Rodgers is somewhat of a sneaky play in a high powered offense that’s expected to score a ton of points and at a very affordable price. Not much to dislike.