Week 15 is in the books! Now it’s time to focus our attention on Week 16 and try to get some nice scores. My goal every week is to find you some solid options that fit in the flex position and provide some nice upside. Below I’ll go over some of those plays.
Denard Robinson ($5400) – Robinson is expected to get another start this week as T.J. Yeldon is still nursing an MCL sprain and is doubtful for Sunday. Last week Robinson caught eight passes and had 87 total yards. That was good for 16.7 fantasy points. He has topped 15 fantasy points in two straight games. The Saints are one of the worst defenses in the league. They allow 119.9 rushing yards, 59.6 receiving yards, and six receptions per game to opposing backs. They’ve also given up 16 total touchdowns and are yielding 5.2 yards per carry. Recency bias can cause Robinson’s ownership percentage to be lower than it should be in a spot like this.
David Johnson ($5800) – Johnson is the clear cut chalk this week. He absolutely torched the Eagles last week as he rushed for 187 yards on 29 carries and scored three touchdowns. He has topped 100 total yards in each of the last three games and has scored four touchdowns in that span. He’s getting 20+ touches per game and has been targeted 14 times in the last three weeks. He has also topped 17 fantasy points in three straight games. He will face the Packers who surrender 87 rushing yards per game and have allowed 11 total touchdowns this season, including three rushing touchdowns in their last five games. The Cardinals have the second highest implied point total of the slate at 27.75 points and are the favorite at home.
Martavis Bryant ($5600) – Aside from Antonio Brown, Bryant could arguably be the next best play at the wide receiver position this week. Bryant is averaging 9.6 targets per game and has not been targeted fewer than seven times in any game this season. He averages 19.7 fantasy points per game and has flashed his 30+ fantasy point upside. This week he has one of the best matchups a receiver can ask for. The Ravens allow 13.5 receptions and 175.1 receiving yards per game to receivers, while giving up 25 touchdowns which is the most given up by any defense. The Steelers have the highest implied point total of the slate at 28.5 points. Bryant should be able to take full advantage of this abysmal pass defense and he’s at a reasonable price.
Michael Floyd ($4900) – Floyd has topped 20 fantasy points and 100 receiving yards in four of his last six games. Since Week 6, he has scored double digit fantasy points in all but one game and has scored six touchdowns. In his last 10 games, Floyd has exceed value 70 percent of the time by an average of 8.61 points, per Fantasy Labs. He faces the Packers who are allowing 161.1 receiving yards and 11.4 receptions per game, while yielding 10 receiving touchdowns to opposing receivers. This game has the highest over/under of the slate at 51 points and the Cardinals have the second highest implied point total of the weekend at 27.75 points.
Julius Thomas ($5100) – Thomas has built a nice rapport with quarterback Blake Bortles. In the last five games, Thomas has scored four touchdowns and is averaging 16.6 fantasy points. In that span, he’s also averaging 5.4 receptions and 58.4 receiving yards per game. This is a great matchup for Thomas as he takes on the Saints who are surrendering 6.1 receptions and 81.6 receiving yards per game to tight ends, while yielding 10 touchdowns. Thomas shouldn’t struggle to hit value this week.
Will Tye ($3500) – With Odell Beckham Jr. on the sidelines this week due to a suspension, Eli Manning has 10.8 passes to distribute amongst the rest of the offense. Tye is averaging 6.3 targets in his last six games and could be in for more targets in this contest. He has been relatively consistent with five or more catches in four of his last five games and has also scored in back-to-back weeks. This isn’t a great matchup by any means, but at this price and with a floor of about 7-8 targets, it’s hard not to consider Tye this week. He will alleviate some salary for those trying to roster Antonio Brown.