Week 12 is in the books! Now it’s time to focus our attention on Week 13 and try to get some nice scores. My goal every week is to find you some solid options that fit in the flex position and provide some nice upside. Below I’ll go over some of those plays.
DeAngelo Williams ($5600) – In five starts this season Williams is averaging 24.5 fantasy points, 127 total yards, and three receptions per game. He has scored three touchdowns in the last three games and has topped 24 fantasy points in two of those games. He’s averaging 4.3 targets per game in the last four games. They are using him much like they used Le’Veon Bell. Game flow does not really affect him that much. This week he has a favorable matchup against the Colts who surrender 95.5 rushing yards per game, 4.2 yards per carry, and have given up12 touchdowns to running backs. They are also yielding 4.7 receptions per game. This is a home game for the Steelers and they are a 7.5 point favorite in a high over/under (49 points).
Javorius Allen ($5400) – There was an $800 dollar increase in Allen’s price, but it is still reasonable. He heads to Miami to take on one of the worst run defenses in the league. The Dolphins are allowing 120.4 rushing yards per game and 4.3 yards per carry to opposing backs. They also allow 4.3 receptions per game and have surrendered 12 touchdowns. Allen has been involved in the Ravens pass game as he has been targeted 11 times in the last two games and has caught nine passes. He’s averaging 99.5 total yards per game and has scored one touchdowns in the last two games. He also scored more than 16 fantasy points in each of those games.
Martavis Bryant ($5600) – Bryant was able to practice fully on Friday and is probable for this game against the Colts. He has combined for 50.8 fantasy points in the last two games and has scored a touchdown in two of his last three games. He is averaging 9.2 targets per game, but has received 10 or more in his last two. Last season, Bryant had a big day against the Colts. He caught five passes for 83 yards and two touchdowns. That was good enough for 25.3 fantasy points. The Colts are surrendering 183.7 receiving yards and 13.3 receptions per game to receivers. They’ve also given up 12 touchdowns. This game has the second highest over/under of the week (49 points).
DeVante Parker ($3300) – Coming out of college, many people had Parker as one of the top receivers of his class. He really hasn’t had many opportunities this season, but will get one this week due to several injuries in the Dolphins receiving unit. Parker played 82 percent of the offensive snaps last week. He was targeted 10 times and caught four passes for 80 yards and a touchdown. He faces Baltimore who has one of the most vulnerable pass defenses in the league. Opposing receivers average 184.5 receiving yards and 13.7 receptions per game against them, and have scored 18 receiving touchdowns, which is the second most allowed by a defense this year. I would only play him in tournaments, not in cash.
Travis Kelce ($4700) – Kelce is set to face the Raiders who have a tough time defending tight ends. They have surrendered a touchdown to a tight end in all but two games this season. They have allowed a total of 11 touchdowns, and are yielding 60.4 yards and 5.4 receptions per game to tight ends. Kelce is averaging 7.1 targets per game and 4.9 receptions per game. He has scored a touchdown in two of his last four games. The Chiefs are a three point favorite on the road and have an implied point total 23.75 points. If they want to beat the Raiders, their best bet is to do it through the air as the Raiders have been solid against the run this season.
Julius Thomas ($4000) – Thomas has found the end zone in back-to-back games. He caught five or more passes in each of those games and topped 13 fantasy points, including a 29.6 fantasy point performance last week. He faced the Titans in Week 11 and caught five passes for 28 yards and a touchdown. The Titans are surrendering 55.8 yards and 5.2 receptions per game to opposing tight ends, while allowing eight touchdowns. I wasn’t too keen on him, but after looking at the numbers closely and how much he’s actually being overlooked, I’ve had a change of heart.