WATCH: Price Check – Wild Card Round
With the Wild Card round now set, it’s time to start thinking about options for your fantasy lineups. With only eight teams active, the choices are more limited than usual, so you have to be sure you choose wisely. Here are a few choices from every position and different price ranges to consider.
Aaron Rodgers vs. NYG ($7,900) – With 647 yards, eight touchdowns and zero interceptions, for a total of 77 fantasy points in his last two games, Rodgers has clearly decided it’s on him to carry the Packers as far as he can into the postseason. Whoever comes out of this Green Bay/New York contest is going to be a threat to everyone else in the NFC, and right now, it’s hard to argue against Rodgers. If his receivers can get separation before the pass rush gets there, Rodgers will be able to pick the Giants apart all day long.
Matt Moore @ PIT ($5,100) – To me, he has some inherent value based on his low cost – he’s way better as both a cash game and GPP option than the minimum priced guys (the two Oakland options), and I like him much more than his $5,100 counterpart in Houston (Osweiler) despite the worse matchup on paper. Moore has thrown for over 200 yards in each of his three starts, and has racked up eight total touchdowns pretty quickly. We will have to check back on the status of Ryan Tannehill as the week progresses.
Le’Veon Bell vs. MIA ($10,300) – The decision of whether or not to start Bell is basically the first call you have to make when you’re building your lineup, considering that the second most expensive RB costs just $6,800. But Bell could easily be worth the premium, considering he has now scored 26 or more fantasy points in six of his last seven games, including four games with over 30 fantasy points.
Lamar Miller vs. OAK ($6,100) – If you’re trying to predict game flow, it’s easy to see Houston wanting to get the run game going in a game they are entering with serious QB questions. They’ll either be starting a QB they just benched a couple weeks ago (Osweiler), or one who couldn’t practice all week (Savage). And, playing an Oakland team who will likely be on their third QB, a rookie with virtually no experience, they will be able to stick with the running game longer than they might have against a more high-flying Derek Carr-led offense. Miller hasn’t played since week 15, but seemed to have just found a nice rhythm, with two of his best games in weeks 14 and 15, when he scored a touchdown in each and totaled 170 yards.
Antonio Brown vs. MIA ($9,400) – Odell might seem like he has more upside, but what he really has is the potential for bigger plays, not necessarily for the bigger game. If you wanted to know which receiver I thought was more likely to score an 80-yard touchdown, the answer is obviously Odell, but that doesn’t mean I like him for the better fantasy output. Brown had ten catches in Week 16, and can just run every route in the book, making him a versatile weapon Pittsburgh can use to attack any defense Miami chooses to deploy. Big Ben has proven he has no problem if Brown and Le’Veon account for virtually all of the offensive production in a day as long as they are winning games.
Jarvis Landry @ PIT ($5,100) – Matt Moore isn’t going to lead a big downfield attack, so his receivers are very likely all better cash game options than GPP plays this weekend. But that fits right into Landry’s style. He has been targeted 22 times in Moore’s three starts, including 12 on Sunday against New England, when he came down with nine grabs and got in the end zone. In a PPR format, that’s useful, even without big yardage totals.
Eric Ebron @ SEA ($3,900) – He only has two touchdowns on the year, which is the problem, and there is a good chance that trend doesn’t reverse itself this weekend against Seattle. But he has been a consistent target for this Lions’ offense all season long, and you can have as much confidence in him as any other TE option to at least not leave you completely high and dry. He has managed double digits six times and at least 7 points a total of eleven times this season in games where he did NOT score, so even in a low-scoring game, the potential is there for a usable fantasy performance.
Green Bay Packers vs. NYG ($3,200) – With 40 sacks on the season, 21 came at home and 19 on the road. But they have forced 25 turnovers on the year, and 17 of those have come at home, leading to a fantasy scoring average of more than five points higher at Lambeau. They got to Eli four times in their only other meeting this year, and if they can force that kind of pressure again this weekend, they will be well on their way towards advancing to the Divisional Round.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is theasquad) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.