WATCH: MATCHUPS BREAKDOWN – WEEK 7
Six weeks of football are in the books and we now get set for Week 7. Only two teams are on a bye this week, so we have plenty of players to choose from in this 12-game Sunday only slate. Let’s get you ready for this week, and, as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Highest Scoring Game
San Diego Chargers vs. Atlanta Falcons
Projected Point Total – 53 points
The Chargers will visit Atlanta in Week 7 which should be chock full of fantasy points. Matt Ryan enters this game with his league leading 2,075 passing yards and taking on a Chargers defense that has allowed 10 passing touchdowns on the season with a 63% completion rate. After his stellar performance against the Seahawks in Week 6, is it fair to say Ryan feels almost matchup proof at this point? I fully expect Ryan and Julio Jones to be the chalk stack this week, and for great reason. Coming into this week, the Falcons have scored 71% of their 21 touchdowns through the air, with the Chargers seeing 10 RZ targets to wide receivers over the past two weeks.
Let’s also not forget that this is a very favorable matchup for the Chargers as well. The Falcons D has allowed plenty of offense to opposing quarterbacks, who have thrown for 1,786 yards with 14 touchdowns against Atlanta. Prior to rough Week 6 matchup with the Broncos, Rivers had thrown for 300+ yards in three start games with six touchdowns in that span. The Falcons are allowing an average of 297 passing yards per game with 2.3 touchdowns scored through the air.
Lowest Scoring Game
Minnesota Vikings vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Projected Point Total – 40 points
Two stellar defenses will go toe to toe in this Week 7 matchup, with the Eagles tabbed as just one-point favorites. It’s really hard to find any offensive play to love in this one, which goes with the low scoring narrative here. In terms of defense, the Vikings check in as the highest priced on the slate at $3,700 while Philly is priced at $3,100. Carson Wentz has been sacked 12 times this season, which is tied for 13th most in the league. It’s certainly something to watch as the Vikings lead the league, averaging 3.8 sacks per game.
Worst QB Matchups
1. Minnesota Vikings vs. Philadelphia Eagles – The Eagles have claimed the throne as the toughest defense against opposing quarterbacks. With five passing touchdowns allowed, the Eagles have also grabbed four interceptions while allowing a 59% completion rate on 158 attempts.
2. Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills – The Bills enter this game grabbing six interceptions compared to the three passing touchdowns allowed, which is the lowest in the league. 60% of the 204 pass attempts have been completed for 1,582 yards.
3. Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks – The Seahawks look to contain Carlson Palmer this week after struggling with Matt Ryan and company in Week 6. The Seahawks have allowed four passing touchdowns while grabbing five interceptions so far this season.
Best QB Matchups
1. Washington Redskins vs. Detroit Lions – Kirk Cousins will have the most favorable matchup this week as he faces the Lions. With 17 passing touchdowns allowed and just three interceptions, the Lions have seen 73% of the 205 pass attempts be completed for 1,689 yards.
2. San Diego Chargers vs. Atlanta Falcons – The Falcons have allowed 14 passing touchdowns and have only grabbed five interceptions this season. They’ve allowed 68% of the 251 pass attempts to be completed for 1,786 yards.
3. Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns – The Browns have allowed the second most passing touchdowns on the season with 16 as they head into Week 7. 64% of the 213 pass attempts have been completed for 1,772 yards.
WATCH: AERIAL ATTACK – TOP WEEK 7 QBs – SWISH ANALYTICS
Worst RB Matchups
1. New York Jets vs. Baltimore Ravens – The Ravens are allowing a decent 3.5 YPC to opposing running backs, but have only allowed two rushing touchdowns on the season. The 393 rushing yards are amongst the lowest allowed in the league.
2. Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals – Both of these teams will be looking to stop the run in this game, as they’ve both been fantastic this season. The Cardinals have allowed four rushing touchdowns and 3.5 YPC.
3. Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks – David Johnson is being labeled as “matchup proof,” and he certainly can prove that here in Week 7. The Seahawks have allowed only two rushing touchdowns and 3.2 YPC. For what it’s worth, opposing backs have caught 21/33 passes for 211 yards.
Best RB Matchups
1. Kansas City Chiefs vs. New Orleans Saints – The Saints are being trampled on the ground this season and face the Chiefs in Week 7. With a league leading 10 rushing touchdowns allowed, opposing running backs are gaining 4.5 YPC.
2. Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts – What a great spot for DeMarco Murray as he takes on the Colts this week. With five rushing touchdowns allowed, running backs are gaining 4.9 YPC for 653 yards. The Colts are also getting beat through the air by RBs with 33/44 completed passes for 346 yards and a league leading four touchdowns. No other team has allowed more than two TDs through the air to opposing backs.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers – The Bucs have a favorable matchup on the ground against the 49ers this week. San Fran has allowed nine rushing touchdowns and 5.1 YPC for 880 yards, which leads the league.
Worst WR Matchups
1. Philadelphia Eagles vs. Minnesota Vikings – The Eagles could be in for a tough week through the air against the Vikings. Opposing wide receivers have caught just 59/118 passes for 627 yards and two touchdowns.
2. Minnesota Vikings vs. Philadelphia Eagles – Another great reason why this is the lowest projected score of the week with how good these teams are at defending the pass. Opposing wide receivers have caught just 60/107 passes for 853 yards and two touchdowns against the Eagles.
3. New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers – The Steelers have been great defending through the air, but get a real test against Tom Brady and company this week. Thus far, the Steelers have allowed just 93/143 passes to be completed for 1,034 yards and three touchdowns.
Best WR Matchups
1. Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Oakland Raiders – The Jaguars’ wide outs have the best matchup on paper against the Raiders. Oakland has allowed seven passing touchdowns with 86/130 passes being completed for a league leading 1,230 yards.
2. New York Jets vs. Baltimore Ravens – The Ravens enter this matchup with the Jets allowing the most passing touchdowns to opposing wide receivers with 12. Also, 78/127 passes have been caught for 952 yards, making this a great spot for the Jets receivers.
3. Washington Redskins vs. Detroit Lions – Another great spot for the Redskins and their receivers this week. The Lions have allowed 82/115 passes to be completed for 1,090 yards and nine touchdowns.
Worst TE Matchups
1. Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals – The Cardinals check in as the toughest team against opposing tight ends. All this defense has allowed is 16/29 passes for 132 yards.
2. Minnesota Vikings vs. Philadelphia Eagles – The Eagles have allowed 8/16 passes to be caught by opposing tight ends for 93 yards and a touchdown.
3. Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills – The Bills have have yet to be scored on by opposing tight ends, and they’ve only allowed 17/25 passes to be caught for 228 yards.
Best TE Matchups
1. Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns – One bad week against the Patriots tight ends really destroyed the Browns numbers. They’ve allowed 47/59 passes to be completed for 562 yards and six touchdowns.
2. Washington Redskins vs. Detroit Lions – The Lions have allowed seven touchdowns to opposing tight ends, which leads the league, to go with 28/42 passes being caught for 401 yards.
3. San Diego Chargers vs. Atlanta Falcons – The Chargers will be in a good spot here as the Falcons have allowed five touchdowns to opposing tight ends, along with 37/54 passes being completed for 438 yards.
Last Week’s Leaders
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Last 3 Weeks Leaders
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Lineup Quick Hits
QB To Build Lineups Around…
Andy Dalton ($6,000) – We have some fairly obvious plays on the board for Week 7 this week like Matt Ryan and Philip Rivers. However, I think it’s Dalton that could easily go overlooked with a fantastic matchup on tap. Dalton faces a Browns defense that has allowed the second most passing touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks with 16 to go with 1,772 passing yards and a 64% completion rate. While Dalton hasn’t been fantastic this season, he’s still scoring in the low 20’s for fantasy points four of the six weeks. At just $6,000, I like Dalton as a cheap but fantastic option for this week.
WR To Pair Him With…
A.J. Green ($8,600) – Green is the third most expensive wide receiver on the week with his matchup against the Browns. He’s only reached the end zone twice this season, but he’s still seeing plenty of targets. Averaging 10 per game, the Browns have allowed eight TD’s to opposing wide receivers with a 60% completion rate on 115 attempts. The Bengals have grabbed six of their 10 touchdowns through the air with 83% of them going to wide receivers. With Tyler Eifert’s status still up in the air, I’m looking for A.J. Green to be heavily involved in the passing game again this week.
The Top RB Will Be…
DeMarco Murray ($7,200) – I love this spot for Murray for a number of reasons, and his high price tag doesn’t scare me off. Besides the fact that the Colts are being trampled by opposing running backs to the tune of 4.9 YPC for 653 yards and five rushing touchdowns, they’re getting beat through the air as well. Murray is most certainly featured in the passing game, averaging almost five targets per game this season. The Colts have allowed four touchdowns through the air by running backs, leading the league in that category. With nine targets to running backs in the RZ, which is the second most in the league, Murray should be able to beat this team in more ways than one, making him extremely valuable for this week.
Steve Buchanan, Geoff Ulrich, Pat Mayo and Adam Levitan are promoters & users at DraftKings (Usernames: Steveazors, wavegoodbye, ThePME and adamlevitan) and play on their personal accounts in games they offers advice on. These views/strategies are their own and do not reflect the views of DraftKings. They may also deploy different players/strategies than what they advise.