WATCH: WEEK 6 MATCHUPS BREAKDOWN


Five weeks of football are in the books, and we’re set to move on to Week 6. Only two teams are on a bye this week, so we have plenty of players to choose from in this 13-game, Sunday only slate. Let’s get you ready, and, as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.

Game Notes

Highest Scoring Game

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Miami Dolphins

Projected Point Total: 48 points

The highest scoring game of the week belongs to the Steelers visiting the Dolphins. The Steelers are a touchdown favorite in this one with 28 implied points. This is a very enticing matchup for the Steelers, especially when you look at what Miami has allowed for offense so far this season, particularly to wide receivers. Opposing WRs have caught 71 of 108 targets for 871 yards and six touchdowns thus far. They have been targeted 17 teams in the red zone against Miami, which is the fourth most in the league. With 83% of the Steelers touchdowns coming through the air, Ben Roethlisberger is certainly in for some favorable scenarios in this game.

The Dolphins and Ryan Tannehill are also poised for a favorable matchup themselves, but I don’t think I’m alone when I say how disappointing his performance has been thus far. Tannehill has gone a combined 27/43 for just 380 yards against the Bengals and Titans after tossing 300+ yards against the Patriots and Browns in Weeks 1 and 2. He’s seen his price drop down to $5,400, almost the minimum at the QB position. For what it’s worth, the Steelers are averaging over 300 passing yards per game allowed this season, with just over a passing touchdown per game.
h3. Lowest Scoring Game

Los Angeles Rams vs. Detroit Lions

Projected Point Total: 43.5 points

The Rams and Lions are set for battle in what is projected as the lowest scoring game of the week. The Lions are slight favorites in this one with an implied score of 23 compared to the 20.5 of the Rams. The Rams receiving core could be an option here with Tavon Austin scooping up the majority of targets so far this season, averaging nine per game. The Lions are allowing a 68% completion rate to opposing wide receivers with seven touchdowns.

As far as the Lions offense goes, it feels a bit hard to nail down a receiver to pair with Stafford, as he’s been almost evenly spreading his targets around. At this point, Stafford by himself seems to make the most sense to me, but I can’t say I’m rushing to my computer to get him in a lineup this week. Even at a fairly friendly $6,200 price tag, you can find some nice value below him this week in better matchups.


DvP Matchups

Quarterback

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Worst QB Matchups

1 . Atlanta Falcons vs. Seattle Seahawks – The Seahawks enter Week 6 as the toughest team against opposing quarterbacks, holding them to just one passing touchdown while grabbing four interceptions.

2. Washington Redskins vs. Philadelphia Eagles – The weather may have kept the Redskins passing game in check last week, but this week it should be the Eagles defense. Only three passing touchdowns have been completed against them, with a 61% completion rate on 124 attempts.

3. San Francisco 49ers vs. Buffalo Bills – The Bills have allowed a good chunk of passing yards at 1,395 to go with a 62% completion rate, but they’ve only allowed two passing touchdowns while nabbing six interceptions.

Best QB Matchups

1. Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons – From one end of the spectrum to the next, the Seahawks get the best matchup against opposing quarterbacks. The Falcons have allowed a league-leading 14 passing touchdowns with a 68% completion rate on 214 attempts.

2. Los Angeles Rams vs. Detroit Lions – Detroit is tied with the Falcons for the most passing TD’s allowed in the league, and the Lions have also allowed a 71% completion rate for 1,362 yards.

3. Kansas City Chiefs vs Oakland Raiders – Oakland has allowed 12 passing touchdowns with a 64% completion rate for 1,690 yards, which leads the league.


Running Back

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Worst RB Matchups

1.Dallas Cowboys vs. Green Bay Packers – Ezekiel Elliot is the third most expensive running back of the week, and he faces the number one defense against the run. The Packers are allowing just 2.1 YPC to opposing running backs with one rushing touchdown.

2. New York Giants vs. Baltimore Ravens – The Giants will matchup with a Ravens defense that is allowing a fairly generous 3.8 YPC this season, but has only let in two rushing touchdowns.

3. Cincinnati Bengals vs. New England Patriots – The Patriots have been able to stop the run at a good clip this season, holding opposing backs to 3.6 YPC and allowing just two rushing touchdowns.

Best RB Matchups

1. Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints – The Panthers have a very favorable rushing matchup this week as they square off with the Saints. With a league leading eight rushing touchdowns allowed, the Saints are also giving up 4.6 YPC on 98 attempts.

2. Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts – The Texans will match up against the Colts and all the issues they’ve had against opposing running backs. Aside from the four rushing touchdowns allowed, the Colts are giving up 4.6 YPC. On top of that, they’ve allowed 29/38 completions through the air to running backs for 313 yards and league-leading three touchdowns allowed.

3. Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Redskins – The Eagles will face a Redskins defense that has allowed the second most rushing TD’s in the league with seven to go with 5.2 YPC.


Wide Receiver

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Worst WR Matchups

1. Atlanta Falcons vs. Seattle Seahawks – The Falcons face yet another tough defense in Week 6 against the Seahawks. Seattle has held opposing wide receivers to just one touchdown while allowing just 44 catches on 80 targets for 518 yards.

2. Washington Redskins vs. Philadelphia Eagles – Like Seattle, the Eagles have allowed just one touchdown to opposing wide receivers to go with 669 yards. Through four games this season, the Eagles have held wide recievers to a 47 catches on 82 targets.

3. Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans – The Texans continue to be one of the toughest teams against opposing wide receivers this season. With three touchdowns allowed, they’ve also held opponents to 733 yards on 56 catches.

Best WR Matchups

1. Kansas City Chiefs vs. Oakland Raiders – The Raiders are the first team to allow over 1,000 yards to opposing wide receivers this season as they sit at 1,095 coming into Week 6. With seven touchdowns allowed, 63% of the 118 targets have been caught by opposing WRs on the season.

2. Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Miami Dolphins – With so many receiving weapons on this Steelers team, a matchup against Miami is a great one. The Dolphins have allowed six touchdowns to wide receivers with 71/108 targets being caught.

3. Chicago Bears vs. Jacksonville Jaguars – The Jaguars have allowed seven touchdowns to wide receivers this season with 51/79 targets being caught for 625 yards.


Tight End

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Worst TE Matchups

1. Washington Redskins vs. Philadelphia Eagles – The Eagles have barely had any work to do against opposing tight ends, as they’ve only seen 11 targets this season. Six of those targets have been caught for just 43 yards.

2. Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans – The Texans have allowed 14 of 30 targets to be completed against opposing tight ends for 107 yards.

3. Atlanta Falcons vs. Seattle Seahawks – The Seahawks haven’t had much to defend when it comes to opposing tight ends, as they’ve one seen 16 targets. Of those 16, 11 have been caught for 96 yards.

Best TE Matchups

1. Tennessee Titans vs. Cleveland Browns – The Browns have allowed 43/54 targets to be caught for 501 yards and five touchdowns.

2. Los Angeles Rams vs. Detroit Lions – Detroit has allowed 28/38 targets to be caught for 299 yards and six touchdowns and continue to be one of the worst defenses in the NFL against tight ends.

3. Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons – Opposing tight ends have seen the second most targets against the Falcons this season with 44. That gives the Falcons the third worst ranking against this position.


Target Report

Last Week’s Leaders

NameTeamLast Week’s OPPTargets
Jeremy KerleySFARZ13
Jordy NelsonGBNYG13
Mike EvansTBCAR12
Cameron MeredithCHIIND12
Odell BeckhamNYGGB12
Amari CooperOAKSD12
T.Y. HiltonINDCHI11
Mike WallaceBALWAS11
Antonio BrownPITNYJ11
Sammie CoatesPITNYJ11

Leaders Last 3 Weeks

NameTeamLast 3 Weeks TargetsAvg Targets
Mike EvansTB3612
Antonio BrownPIT3411.3
Odell BeckhamNYG3210.7
T.Y. HiltonIND3210.7
A.J. GreenCIN3110.3
Michael CrabtreeOAK3010
Terrelle PryorCLE299.7
Julio JonesATL289.3
Jeremy KerleySF289.3
Amari CooperOAK279

Lineup Quick Hits

QB To Build Lineups Around…

Russell Wilson ($6,900) – I think this is a perfect storm of a situation for Wilson this week, making him one of my favorite plays on this slate. He’s coming off a bye week that has given him plenty of rest, and he should be fully or close to his usual mobile self. Taking on an Atlanta Falcons defense that ranks 31st in pass defense this season puts Wilson in a fantastic spot here. Opposing quarterbacks are averaging 303 passing yards per game against the Falcons with 2.8 passing touchdowns.

WR To Pair Him With…

Doug Baldwin ($6,00) – Baldwin has alternated between monster games and disappointing games so far this season. It should come as no surprise that in those monster games, he averaged at least 10 targets and scored a touchdown in both. With a healthy Wilson at center, Baldwin should be in line for another good game. As I mentioned, the Falcons are last in pass defense this season and opposing wide receivers have nabbed seven touchdowns and have seen 18 red zone targets, which ranks 3rd in the league. Pairing Wilson and Baldwin isn’t the cheapest stack on the slate, but still leaves you a comfortable $5,228 per player to fill out the rest of your lineup.

The Top RB Will Be…

Carlos Hyde ($5,100) – Hyde continues to be a fantastic value at the running back position who gets high volume and produces. Averaging 19 touches per game so far this season, Hyde has eclipsed the 20 DraftKing point threshold three times and scored at least one touchdown in four of five games. The 49ers have scored 64% of their touchdowns via the run, although the news of Colin Kaepernick could alter those plans slightly. Nonetheless, I don’t think you’ll find better value than Hyde this week at the running back position.

 


Steve Buchanan, Pat Mayo, Pearce Dietrich and CJ Kaltenbach are promoters & users at DraftKings (Usernames: Steveazors, ThePME, greenflagradio2 and cjkalt) and play on their personal accounts in games they offer advice on. These views/strategies are their own and do not reflect the views of DraftKings. They may also deploy different players/strategies than what they advise. Adam Kaufman is a promoter at DraftKings. These views/strategies are his own and do not reflect the views of DraftKings.