With three weeks of football in the books, we move onto Week 4. This Cheat Sheet presented by Deepwater Horizon will now expand as we’ve added two new sections that include a target report for the past week and the top targets over the past three weeks. Let’s get you ready for this slate, and, as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Highest Projected Total Score
New Orleans Saints vs. San Diego Chargers
Projected Point Total – 53 points
Two teams that have allowed a ton of points this season will do battle in the highest projected total of the week. The Saints will visit the Chargers here in Week 4 in what’s being projected as a shootout. The Saints are coming off their 32-45 Monday night loss to the Falcons where they are looking for a nice bounce back. The biggest issue for the Saints in this one was the ground game, as the Falcons rushed for 217 yards with three touchdowns. They’ll have to deal with the Chargers and Philip Rivers, who just threw for 330 yards against the banged up Colts defense. The Saints are allowing over 300 yards per game through the air and 137 on the ground, with opposing running backs averaging 5.2 YPC.
As for the Saints, Drew Brees has certainly been doing his part to keep his team in these games, as he’s already eclipsed 1,000 passing yards through three games. Averaging 354 passing yards thus far, Brees didn’t miss a beat on Monday, even without one Willie Snead on the field. Brees hit Coby Fleener, Brandon Coleman and Michael Tomas seven times apiece on Monday, showing that he’s just as dangerous even without his top options. With the Chargers running out CB Jason Verrett, I think it’s promising to see that Brees can most certainly adapt and has plenty of options to go to.
Lowest Projected Total Score
Seattle Seahawks vs New York Jets
Projected Point Total – 40.5 points
Unless you’re looking to pay up for defense, I don’t see a lot of fantasy goodness in this game. The Seahawks will take on the Jets in the lowest projected total of the week. Both of these teams have been doing their part defensively, although I think it’s somewhat noteworthy that the Seahawks run defense has been a bit shaky. Allowing 3.4 YPC certainly isn’t a bad number; however, opposing running backs have caught 8/13 targets for 121 yards. With Matt Forte in the mix, one has to imagine that he could be utilized more in the passing game than the run for this one. Until we get a definitive answer on the status of Russell Wilson, I’m shying away from any offensive player in this game, with the exception of Forte as a GPP play.
Worst QB Matchups
1. Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Kansas City Chiefs – As we enter Week 4, the Chiefs have been the best at defending against opposing quarterbacks. With a league-leading eight interceptions (three more than the Arizona Cardinals) they’ve allowed just two passing touchdowns on 699 yards with a 56% completion rate on 113 attempts.
2. New York Jets vs. Seattle Seahawks – The Seahawks may have only grabbed one interception thus far, but they are only one of two teams to have not allowed a passing touchdown through Week 3. With only 544 yards allowed, opposing quarterbacks have completed 57% of the 84 attempts so far this season.
3. Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans – The Texans have been involved in some low scoring games thus far and have been good at keeping opposing quarterbacks at bay. Through three weeks, they’ve allowed just one passing touchdown while grabbing one interception. Opposing QB’s have completed 47/85 passes for just 505 yards.
Best QB Matchups
1. Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions – Brian Hoyer will have a tasty matchup this week as he fills in for the injured Jay Cutler. Facing the Lions, who have allowed league-leading 10 touchdowns on 828 yards with a 68% completion rate.
2. Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons – After seeing what Cam Newton did to a shaky 49ers defense; this is certainly a matchup worth looking forward to. The Falcons have allowed seven passing touchdowns while grabbing just one interception thus far. Opposing QB’s have completed 74% of their 77 targets for 580 yards.
3. Baltimore Ravens vs Oakland Raiders – The Raiders will come into this Week 4 matchup with the Ravens having allowed seven passing touchdowns in the first three weeks while grabbing three interceptions. The Raiders have allowed the most passing yards in the league so far with 1,033.
Worst RB Matchups
1. Seattle Seahawks vs. New York Jets – The Jets continue to be fantastic against the run this season and they take on the Seahawks this week. Through three weeks, the Jets have allowed just one rushing touchdown while holding opposing running backs to 3.7 YPC on 52 attempts.
2. Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans – Attacking the Titans through the air has certainly been the way to go this season, as they continue to stonewall the run. With just one rushing touchdown allowed, the Titans have allowed 4.1 YPC on 68 attempts.
3. Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions – They may be bad against the pass, but the Lions have been decent at defending against the run in the early going. The Lions are one of three teams that have not allowed a rushing touchdown so far, but they are giving up 5.3 YPC on 55 rushes.
Best RB Matchups
1. Cleveland Browns vs. Washington Redskins – The Browns face a Redskins team that has allowed the most rushing touchdowns in the league thus far with six. It certainly doesn’t help that the Redskins have allowed 4.6 YPC on 79 rushes either.
2. Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers – Normally a great team at defending against the run, the Steelers have allowed three rushing touchdowns and two through the air to opposing running backs. In terms of YPC, the Steelers are keeping that number down, as teams are only getting 3.5 through three weeks.
3. Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons – While the Falcons have been decent overall against the run, allowing just one rushing touchdown and 4.5 YPC, it’s been through the air where they’re getting hammered. Opposing running backs have caught all 18 of their targets for 154 yards and a touchdown.
Worst WR Matchups
1. New York Jets vs. Seattle Seahawks – Same ol’ story here with the Seahawks defending against the pass. They are one of three teams that have not allowed a passing TD to a wide receiver as they’ve caught 55% of their 52 targets for 327 yards.
2. Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers – The Falcons match up against this tough Carolina defense that has really taken opposing wide receivers out of the game. In three weeks, they’ve caught just one passing touchdown on 296 yards (lowest in the league) with a 50% completion rate on 54 targets.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Denver Broncos – The Broncos continue to live up to the hype with their defense this season. Coming into Week 4, they’ve allowed just one passing touchdown to opposing wide receivers with a 50% completion rate on 59 targets.
Best WR Matchups
1. Baltimore Ravens vs. Oakland Raiders – The Raiders continue to be picked apart by opposing wide receivers in the early going this season. With five touchdowns allowed, 66% of the 65 targets have been completed for 664 yards.
2. Denver Broncos vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Coming off a fantastic Week 3, Trevor Siemian looks to feed his receivers once again in this matchup. The Bucs have allowed a league leading seven touchdowns with a 55% completion rate on 58 targets for 508 yards.
3. Washington Redskins vs. Cleveland Browns – The Browns are right behind the Bucs in terms of touchdowns allowed, with six so far this season. Opposing wide receivers have caught 54% of their 70 targets for 578 yards.
Worst TE Matchups
1. New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills – The Patriots will have a tough test against the Bills at home. Buffalo has yet to allow a touchdown to a tight end while allowing 7/11 targets for 59 yards.
2. Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Kansas City Chiefs – The Chiefs have allowed 8/12 targets for 61 yards through three weeks of play.
3. Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans – Opposing tight ends have caught 10/17 targets against the Texans thus far, but have only accumulated 58 yards with no touchdowns.
Best TE Matchups
1. Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions – The Bears get the best matchup on this slate for tight ends as they take on the Lions. The Lions have allowed a league leading five touchdowns with 70% of the 27 targets being caught for 216 yards.
2. Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons – One would think that Greg Olsen is set for a big game this week as the Falcons have allowed 15/16 targets to be caught for 138 yards and three touchdowns.
3. San Francisco 49ers vs. Dallas Cowboys – The Cowboys have allowed three touchdowns so far with 23/27 targets to be caught for 246 yards.
Last Week’s Leaders
|Name||Team||Last Week’s OPP||Targets|
|Antonio Brown||Pittsburgh Steelers||Philadelphia Eagles||18|
|Terrelle Pryor||Cleveland Browns||Miami Dolphins||14|
|Kevin White||Chicago Bears||Dallas Cowboys||14|
|Mike Evans||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||St. Louis Rams||13|
Leaders Last 3 Weeks
|Name||Team||Last 3 Weeks Targets||Avg Targets|
|Antonio Brown||Pittsburgh Steelers||40||13.3|
|Mike Evans||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||38||12.6|
|T.Y. Hilton||Indianapolis Colts||34||11.3|
|Jarvis Landry||Miami Dolphins||34||11.3|
Lineup Quick Hits
QB To Build Lineups Around…
Matt Stafford ($7,300) – There are a number of QBs in great matchups this week, a la Cam Newton against the Falcons, Rivers against the Saints. Stafford is someone that’s also in a great spot and will look to take advantage of a weak Bears defense. Stafford is averaging 328 yards per game in the early going with seven touchdowns and two interceptions. He faces a Bears defense that has allowed 83 points already this season with a 66% completion rate to opposing quarterbacks. The biggest boost to Stafford has to be his new favorite target, which is exactly who I think he should be paired with.
WR To Pair Him With…
Marvin Jones ($7,300) – Jones sees a decent jump in his salary for Week 4, going from $6,200 last week to $7,300 this week. However, if you’ve taken him at all this season, I don’t think it’s hard to understand why. Jones has 18 receptions on the season for an astonishing 408 yards to go with two touchdowns. The clear cut number one target for Stafford, Jones should be in line for another stellar week here against the Bears.
The Top RB Will Be…
Le’Veon Bell ($7,500) – Did you forget about Bell already!? Oh yes, he’s back this week with a matchup against the Chiefs on tap. Bell will make an immediate impact and I think will create a domino effect for the entire Steelers offense. Even in his short six-game season last year, Bell averaged 92.7 yards per game and caught 24 of 26 targets thrown his way for 136 yards. After a very poor performance last week, Bell is the answer this Steelers team needs and he’ll give them the jolt they desperately need.
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