WATCH: NFL CLEAN SLATE WEEK 13


Week 13 brings us a nice 13-game Sunday slate which we’ll cover here in this Cheat Sheet. With so many options this week, let’s get you prepped for Sunday! As always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.

Game Notes

Highest Scoring Game

Detroit Lions vs. New Orleans Saints

Projected Point Total – 53 Points

Oh boy, who likes high scoring football games!? This game should be a doozy, as the Lions will visit the Coors Field of football, the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. Brees has been a monster in terms of fantasy points at home this season, averaging 357 passing yards in six games with 19 of his 30 passing touchdowns. If that wasn’t impressive enough, the Lions defense has been leaving plenty to desire, especially at the quarterback position. Heading into this week, they’ve allowed 22 passing touchdowns and an average of 261 passing yards per game. Brees may be the most expensive quarterback on the slate at $7,600, but I think he’ll be well worth it this week.

With the Lions, Matt Stafford is seeing a major boost in salary, jumping from $5,700 last week to $7,000 this week. Stafford has done his best work on the road this season, averaging 19.8 DK FPPG in five matchups. Stafford could be a great bounce back candidate this week, after seeing the Texans and Vikings in three of his last four matchups.

Editor’s Note: DET WR Marvin Jones is a “longshot” to play against the Saints today, per Ian Rapoport. Be sure to check his status before game time.

Lowest Scoring Game

Denver Broncos vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Projected Point Total – 41 points

The lowest projected total of the week belongs to the Broncos visiting the Jacksonville Jaguars. If you thought Blake Bortles has been bad as of late, it might not get much easier in Week 13. Granted, Bortles has thrown for at least two touchdowns in five straight games, but that also comes with an average of 236 passing yards in those five contests. The Broncos, as we know, have stifled the quarterback position, holding them to 10 passing touchdowns and an average of  211 passing yards per game. Per usual, we don’t have a ton of appeal in this game with the exception of the Broncos defense. Bortles has thrown for 13 interceptions on the season, which is tied for the league-lead with Brock Osweiler and Ryan Fitzpatrick.


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DvP Matchups

Quarterback

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Worst QB Matchups

1. Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Denver Broncos – Even with the Broncos allowing 30 points in Week 12, they did a good job of containing Alex Smith. Heading into Week 13, they remain the top defense against the QB position, holding them 10 passing touchdowns and an average of 211 passing yards per game.

2. Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New York Giants – The Giants continue to be a force against opposing quarterbacks, and it continues to fly under the radar. With just 10 passing touchdowns allowed and an average of 277 passing yards per game allowed, they remain the number two defense against QB heading into Week 13.

3. Washington Redskins vs. Arizona Cardinals – The Cardinals will have to contain the red hot Kirk Cousins in this Week 13 matchup. Entering this game, the Cardinals have held opposing quarterbacks to a league-low nine passing touchdowns and an average of 213 passing yards per game.

Best QB Matchups

1. Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons – Going from the worst matchup to the best, Alex Smith will take on the Falcons in Week 13. With 25 passing touchdowns allowed, the Falcons are allowing an average 296 passing yards per game. For what it’s worth, Smith is only averaging 229 passing yards per game.

2. Chicago Bears vs. San Francisco 49ers – Matt Barkley impressed in his Week 12 start against the Titans and is in line for a very favorable matchup in Week 13. Taking on a 49ers defense that’s allowed 26 passing touchdowns and an average of 261 passing yards per game, his $5,000 salary is awfully enticing.

3. New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit Lions – Coming off a 35 DKFP performance, Drew Brees will be taking on the Lions in Week 13. The Lions have allowed 22 passing touchdowns and an average of 261 passing yards per game. Brees is the most expensive quarterback on the slate for good reason.


Running Back

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Worst RB Matchups

1. Miami Dolphins vs. Baltimore Ravens – The Ravens continue to stifle opposing running backs, which puts Jay Ajayi in a very tough matchup. With three rushing touchdowns allowed and only 3.3 yards per carry (YPC), this will certainly be his toughest matchup to date.

2. Washington Redskins vs. Arizona Cardinals – The Redskins running game has a tough matchup ahead against the Cardinals this week. While they’ve allowed a bunch of rushing touchdowns on the season with 10, opposing running backs are gaining just 3.2 YPC.

3. Seattle Seahawks vs. Carolina Panthers – For as poor as the Panthers have been against the pass, they’ve done a good job at stopping the run. With only four rushing touchdowns allowed, opposing running backs are gaining an average of 3.9 YPC.

Best RB Matchups

1. Chicago Bears vs. San Francisco 49ers – The 49ers continue to be thrashed by the ground game. Allowing a league leading 14 rushing touchdowns, opposing running backs are also gaining a huge 5.1 YPC.

2. Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons – This is a great spot for the Chiefs running game against a Falcons defense that’s allowed nine rushing touchdowns and an average of 4.1 YPC.

3. New York Giants vs. Pittsburgh Steelers – One of the only major holes in the Steelers defense is opposing teams’ ground games. Heading into this matchup, the Steelers have allowed 10 rushing touchdowns and an average of 4.2 YPC.


Wide Receiver

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Worst WR Matchups

1. Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Denver Broncos – No surprise here, as the Broncos continue to be the best at defending against opposing wide receivers. Tied with the Steelers for a league low six touchdowns allowed, wide receivers are only averaging 108 receiving yards per game.

2. Green Bay Packers vs. Houston Texans – Philip Rivers did throw for 3 touchdowns against this Houston secondary in Week 12, but on the season, Houston has been one of the best teams against opposing WRs. Allowing only eight receiving touchdowns and an average of 138 receiving yards per game, the Packers have a tough matchup ahead.

3. New York Giants vs. Pittsburgh Steelers – As mentioned, the Steelers are tied with the Broncos for the least amount of touchdowns allowed to wide receivers with six. For what it’s worth, they are gaining a good amount of yards with 168 on average per game.

Best WR Matchups

1. Chicago Bears vs. San Francisco 49ers – Per usual, the 49ers are doing, well, nothing to try and stop opposing wide receivers. The Bears will enjoy a matchup against a team that’s allowed 20 receiving touchdowns and an average of 169 receiving yards per game.

2. Atlanta Falcons vs. Kansas City Chiefs – Hello Julio Jones. This is a great matchup for him this week against a Chiefs defense that’s allowed 14 receiving touchdowns and an astounding average of 201 receiving yards per game.

3. Houston Texans vs. Green Bay Packers – The Texans will face a Green Bay defense that’s allowed 17 receiving touchdowns and an average of 177 receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts. 


Tight End

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Worst TE Matchups

1. Washington Redskins vs. Arizona Cardinals – The Cardinals are the only team that hasn’t allowed a touchdown to opposing tight ends with just an average of 25 receiving yards per game.

2. Miami Dolphins vs. Baltimore Ravens – The Dolphins tight ends caught all six of their targets last week for 65 yards, but a tough matchup lies ahead. The Ravens have allowed just one touchdown and an average of 38 receiving yards per game to opposing TEs.

3. Atlanta Falcons vs. Kansas City Chiefs – We likely won’t see much from the Falcons tight ends in this one. The Chiefs have only allowed one touchdown and an average of 40 receiving yards per game.

Best TE Matchups

1. New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit Lions – The Lions continue to be puzzled on what to do with opposing tight ends. With nine touchdowns allowed and 57 receiving yards per game, the Lions are the worst at defending against this position.

2. Seattle Seahawks vs. Carolina Panthers – The Panthers have been giving up plenty of production to the tight end position. With a matchup against Jimmy Graham on tap, Carolina has allowed eight touchdowns and an average of 59 receiving yards per game.

3. Philadelphia Eagles vs. Cincinnati Bengals – Seeing a season-high 11 targets last week, Zach Ertz has a favorable matchup against the Bengals. This is a defense that’s allowed six touchdowns and an average of 69 receiving yard per game.


Target Report

Last Week’s Leaders

NameTeamLast Week’s OPPTargets
Travis KelceKCDEN15
Tyrell WilliamsSDHOU14
Michael CrabtreeOAKCAR13
Jordy NelsonGBPHI12
Jordan ReedWASDAL12
Odell BeckhamNYGCLE11
Julian EdelmanNENYJ11
Tyler EifertCINBAL11
Mike EvansTBSEA11
David JohnsonARZATL11

Last Three Week Leaders

NameTeamLast 3 WeeksAvg. Targets
Julian EdelmanNE3712.3
Jordy NelsonGB3511.7
Antonio BrownPIT3411.3
Travis KelceKC3010
Odell BeckhamNYG299.7
Mike EvansTB299.7
Larry FitzgeraldARZ299.7
DeAndre HopkinsHOU299.7
David JohnsonARZ299.7
Tyreek HillKC289.3


Lineup Quick Hits

QB To Build Lineups Around… 

Drew Brees ($7,600) – I hate to go with the obvious play here, but it’s almost impossible to ignore the matchup for Brees. Brees is by far my favorite play here this week because of his numbers at the Superdome. I think it’s fair to say we have decent value at wide receiver this week (Bears WRs, Taylor Gabriel, Tyler Lockett) that paying up the high price for Brees makes sense. To recap from earlier, Brees is averaging 357 passing yards in six home games this season with 19 touchdowns.

WR To Pair Him With…

Brandin Cooks ($6,400) – I get it, he burned anyone and everyone that rostered him in Week 12. In a game that saw the Saints score 49 points, Cooks didn’t even receive a single target in the game. With that being said, he could see a dip in ownership because of this, even with the fantastic matchup on tap. Taking out last week’s dud, Cooks was averaging 16.9 DK FPPG with 7.5 targets for game. The Saints have plenty of options to go to on a weekly basis, but Cooks is certainly still in the mix. I think he should be a fine play this week, even if he’s lined up with Darius Slay.

The Top RB Will Be…

Jordan Howard ($6,900) – We may have to consider renaming this section “The Top RB not named David Johnson will be…” instead. DJ is going to be in play every single week, so I’ll save you the write up on him. I really like this spot for Howard, as he’s flown under the radar a bit in my opinion. Granted, he only has three touchdowns on the season, but he’s averaging 19 touches over the past four weeks with an average of 103 yards per game in that span. With such a great matchup on tap against the 49ers, Howard should be able to pull out another solid game.

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.