We’re all in need of some entertainment during these times of the unknown. DraftKings is doing its part by offering Madden simulations with a variety of teams going at it. For this piece, we’ll focus on the late slate, which starts at 6:00 p.m. ET. It’s important to note that Madden runs a bit different here and we have some things to consider.
First and foremost, speed is such an important factor. These players are always going to get open and can give you an edge with a player that you’d potentially look over when you consider his real-life role. We’ll get into that more in the article below. Players also have particular X-Factors, which can best be described as “power ups” that can be activated if a player completes a certain threshold. These will be put into considerations as well and will be highlighted with those particular players.
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StudDeshaun Watson, HOU vs. JAX, $7,100 – I’m really not sure what’s left to be said about Watson. You could easily make the case that he’s been the most consistent QB throughout these Madden simulations. Yet, for whatever reason, he’s never the most expensive pivot on these Classic slates. Watson averaging 26.5 DKFP across his past four starts, it’s a span of time that’s also seen him throw for 10 touchdowns and rush for 267 yards. I will happily keep putting him into my lineups at a discount.
ValueGardner Minshew, JAX at HOU, $5,500 – This really just comes down to game script. Among the three starting quarterbacks priced below $7K on this slate, Minshew is the only one not suiting up in a clash between Buffalo and Miami – two of the lower-scoring offenses we’ve seen during these streams. Also, while Josh Allen’s ($6,300) scrambling ability does make him enticing, Minshew’s significantly cheaper despite dropping 476 passing yards on Seattle a couple games back. I’ll take that kind of ceiling at a bargain basement salary.
StudLeonard Fournette, JAX at HOU, $5,900 – I don’t think Fournette’s ownership will be low, as there’s only so many running backs that provide any type of a floor in these simulations. However, recency bias is a powerful drug in Madden. Fournette’s been terrible in Jacksonville’s past two games, while James White ($5,800) is coming off his best performance ever. I’d anticipate people flocking toward New England’s RB, which could leave Fournette under weight. I’ll take my chances in such a scenario, especially with the LSU product having exceeded 19.0 DKFP in his three starts prior to this two-contest slump.
ValuePatrick Laird, MIA vs. BUF, $3,000 – Rostering Laird is always a risky proposition, yet no running back priced near the minimum comes close to his level of volume. The former UDFA is listed as both Miami’s third-down back and its goal-line back, which is the reason we’ve had games where Laird’s come down with a receiving touchdown or games where he’s rushed into the end zone twice. The floor here is cavernous, but it’s literally impossible to find a less expensive asset.
StudD.J. Chark, JAX at HOU, $5,800 – In the Jaguars’ most recent stream against the Cardinals, Chark was only able to catch a single pass. Fortunately for owners, that one reception was a 68-yard touchdown. I bring this up only to illustrate the point that all Chark does is score touchdowns. The wideout has found the end zone eight times in Jacksonville’s past seven games and, for the “season” as a whole, Chark’s only once brought back fewer than 10.0 DKFP. He should be more than $6K. It’s as simple as that.
ValueJakeem Grant, MIA vs. BUF, $3,000 – In a similar vein to the aforementioned Laird, Grant is an inexpensive Dolphins asset that has put up some huge games in the past. In fact, he’s probably the Miami player I’d rather pay down for. While the diminutive wideout has scored fewer than 4.0 DKFP in three of his past seven contests, he’s also twice exceeded 30.0 DKFP within that same span, taking advantage of the 96 speed rating that makes him one of the fastest players in Madden. Grant’s the definition of boom-or-bust.
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StudBen Watson, NE vs. ATL, $4,300 – Somehow, Watson hasn’t caught a touchdown in the Patriots’ past seven simulations. Still, despite that fact, the veteran tight end has averaged 5.4 receptions and 13.3 DKFP across that stretch of time. That is what we in the business refer to as an incredible floor. Watson doesn’t need to find the end zone to reach value, but, if he does, he could flip this entire slate on its head.
ValueTyler Kroft, BUF at MIA, $3,600 – Kroft is Buffalo’s top receiving option. Like, it’s not even all that close. Through 12 simulations, Kroft has 19 more catches than any other Bills’ skill-position player, while his 656 receiving yards lead the team by more than a 250-yard margin. Kroft’s value is limited by the fact that Buffalo’s only produced nine passing touchdowns in total, yet, if there was ever a defense that could help change that fact, it’s the Dolphins.
StudFalcons, ATL at NE, $3,000 – Look, this probably seems pretty dumb, but the Patriots have been following a simple pattern for about three weeks now. They have great offensive performances, then they have terrible offensive performances. Well, last time out against Denver, New England scored 31 points, so I guess they’re due for a stinker. Either way, Atlanta’s pilled up 15 sacks in its past five games. That’s tantalizing stuff.
ValueBills, BUF at MIA, $2,700 – In Miami’s past six games, the average amount of points scored by both teams has been just 34.2. The Dolphins have tended to not find themselves in many shootouts and I don’t think that changes this evening versus the Bills. Plus, with Miami not rostering a single offensive lineman with an overall rating of even 70, expect Buffalo to be able to register a few sacks.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is theglt13) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.