TUESDAY DFS NEWS NUGGETS
1. Antonio Gates a question mark yet again
Last week, it was reported that Antonio Gates was fighting a low-grade MCL sprain and was truly questionable for the Raiders game. On Monday, that report was conflicted. The Union-Tribune’s Michael Gehlken tweeted that it “wouldn’t surprise” if Gates’ injury proved to be of the multiple-week variety. “Wasn’t close to playing Sunday,” said Gehlken.
That should interest us because the Chargers are facing the Ravens’ shaky secondary Sunday and we all should be familiar with Ladarius Green’s ability. In the five games that Gates has missed this year, Green is averaging 14.38 DraftKings points per day. At just $3000, he’s a near lock to pay off his salary assuming Gates sits in Week 8.
2. John Brown looks healthy in Monday night win
John Brown would have been one of the most popular plays of the week if we knew he was healthy. But he came into Monday night’s game fighting hamstring tweaks on both sides, which led a lot of people to roster Michael Floyd. It turned out that Brown was healthy – he played on 82.3 percent of the snaps and did his usual thing for a 4-65-1 line on six targets. But the Floyd pivot saved $2300 in salary and we got similar production anyway. Floyd played on 66.1 percent of the snaps and went 3-59-1 on four targets.
There are now three legit mouths to feed in the pass game in addition to Jermaine Gresham (six targets Monday night) and Andre Ellington (six targets last two weeks). When the market share gets spread out among a bunch of talented guys, we get week-to-week volatility. That showed up Monday night in the form of Larry Fitzgerald, who went just 3-39-0 on a meager five targets. Fitz costs $7700 against the Browns in Week 8, Brown is $5800 and Floyd is $3500.
3. Todd Gurley still underpriced on DraftKings
It’s rare that a player’s salary moves $1300 in one week. That’s what happened to Todd Gurley ahead of Week 8 – yet he’s still underpriced. Gurley costs $6300 for Sunday’s home game against a 49ers defense that has given up the seventh-most points per game to running backs. Marshawn Lynch hit them for 27-122-1, Fat Eddie Lacy went 18-90-0, CJ2K posted 22-110-2 and DeAngelo Williams had 20-77-3. So even though Gurley’s price now makes him the seventh-most expensive running back option this week, it’s very difficult to not roster him again. He’s clearly a special talent and is averaging 24.6 touches per day over his last three games.
4. Joseph Randle injury opens door for McFadden
Joseph Randle left the Week 7 loss to the Giants after two carries due to an oblique issue – apparently an aggravation of something he battled a couple months ago. Note that Christine Michael only received seven snaps in spite of that. Instead, the Cowboys turned to Darren McFadden and he responded in a big way, rushing 29 times for 152 yards with one touchdown on 61 snaps. Now the Cowboys are talking up McFadden as a possible starter even if Randle (day to day) can get healthy. “He has certainly earned some more touches,” coach Jason Garrett said of DMC. The Week 8 matchup (home vs. SEA) is far from ideal, but we could be looking at a 15-18 touch projection if Randle is ruled out. McFadden costs $3800.