MONDAY DFS NEWS NUGGETS
1. Cheap quarterbacks rule the day again
I talk on a weekly basis about going cheap at quarterback. Did we know Tom Brady and Andrew Luck were going to put up big numbers? Of course. But are there weekly options sub-$6K that have similar projections? Yep.
This week, seven of the top-10 fantasy quarterbacks were under $6,000 on DraftKings (Matthew Stafford, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Brian Hoyer, Colin Kaepernick, Blake Bortles, Andy Dalton, E.J. Manuel). At least three of those were in safe enough matchups to be considered cash-game viable: Stafford, Kaepernick, Dalton. Owners that have been taking advantage of DraftKings’ soft pricing at the bottom of the quarterback tier have likely been profiting. It’s way easier to project the “punts” at that position because we know roughly how many times they’ll have the ball in their hands each game. The same can’t be said for the majority of punts at every other position.
2. Fat Eddie rides the pine
Eddie Lacy was a somewhat popular play because of his matchup. Home as a double-digit favorite against a team that is very strong in the secondary yet among the league’s worst against the run. Lacy’s ankle did not appear to be an issue, as he was not listed on the injury report at all and was practicing in full. Yet James Starks started, played 30 snaps and got 11 touches. Lacy came off the bench for 21 snaps and six ineffective touches.
Afterward, the Packers tried to downplay the changing of the guard. “We’re a one-two punch team,” coach Mike McCarthy said. “It’s really no different than the way we operate. We went with James first just because he’s been playing extremely well, and Eddie has been a little banged up.”
The truth is Lacy looks extremely out of shape and the offense runs (and has run) just as smoothly with Starks back there. I’m not going to write off a player who scored 24 touchdowns in his first two NFL seasons, but it’s clear the Packers have lost a good bit of faith here.
3. Keenan Allen hurt at end of monster day
Allen had an absurd 11 catches in the first half of yesterday’s game at Green Bay. And he had 14 catches for 157 yards when he went down hard at the end of an 8-yard catch midway through the third quarter. Allen sustained a left hip injury and was unable to return to the game. If he hadn’t gotten hurt, Brandon Marshall’s NFL record of 21 catches in a game (set with Broncos in 2009) was in jeopardy.
Allen’s status for a dreamy Week 7 matchup against the Raiders is unknown right now. Given that he didn’t get back in the game, I’d consider him more doubtful than probable. Dontrelle Inman is Allen’s direct backup and costs $3000 this week.
4. Chris Ivory is the real deal
Ivory was always a grossly underutilized talent. He has Marshawn Lynchesque tackle-breaking ability and annually grades out near the top of PFF’s running rankings. Yet he had just four 20-carry games in the first five years of his NFL career, partly because of poor pass-game chops, partly because of constant nagging injuries and partly because of inept coaching.
That’s all in the rearview now as Ivory has racked up three 20-carry games already this year. On Sunday, he tore through a very good Redskins front and also caught three passes for 50 yards. As one of the few running backs with a legit 15-carry floor weekly, Ivory is always going to be in play. He remains underpriced at $5800 in Week 7, although a matchup at New England is not a spot I’d be eager to use him.