MONDAY’S DFS NEWS NUGGETS
1. Julian Edelman out indefinitely after foot injury
Edelman sustained a broken bone in his left foot during Sunday’s narrow win over the Giants. The hope is that he’ll return before the end of the season. It’s a massive blow to the Patriots, who have now lost their best passing back (Dion Lewis) and their No. 1 WR in the span of two weeks. Edelman was averaging 9.8 targets per game while playing on 87.9 percent of the snaps.
The most likely candidate to step into Edelman’s role is Danny Amendola. He’ll now play in two-wide sets with Brandon LaFell and then move inside for three-wide packages that will add in Aaron Dobson. Amendola, who caught 85 passes for the Rams in 2010 before injuries put him on the back burner, went 10-79-0 against the Giants Sunday. He costs $4000 against the Bills in Week 11.
2. Eagles get banged up in loss to Dolphins
As suspected, the Eagles offense had not turned a corner. But many fans might get their wish for a change at the quarterback position, as Sam Bradford sustained a left (non-throwing) shoulder injury and a concussion Sunday. Mark Sanchez played 38 snaps in relief (about half a game), going 14-of-23 for 156 yards with zero TDs and one INT. Remember that Sanchez started eight games for Chip Kelly last year, averaging 18.86 DraftKings points per day (ceiling 26.2 points, floor 8.1). If Bradford can’t go in Week 11, it’s going to be hard for Sanchez not to at least meet value at min-priced $5000 in a home game against the Bucs.
Also, note that Ryan Mathews sustained a concussion of his own against the Dolphins. It led to a season-high 28 touches for DeMarco Murray, who has now had at least 20 touches in five straight games. Murray is priced at $6000 ahead of the Bucs game.
3. Jay Ajayi continues to take some work from Lamar Miller
The Dolphins have remained committed to the run game under Dan Campbell, as expected. But rookie Jay Ajayi continues to make noise. Ajayi got six more carries against the Eagles, giving him 11 over the last two weeks. He’s turned those chances into 89 yards, so we can be certain that his role will continue to grow. Ajayi received 29.4 percent of the running back carries in Week 9 and 27.2 percent yesterday. Projecting Miller for anything more than 12-15 carries plus pass-game work is going to be difficult going forward.
4. Davante Adams continues to pile up targets
The most important factor for me in cash games is opportunity. After that it’s matchup and then it’s talent. Davante Adams is proving why talent can be overcome by volume, as he had an absurd 21 more targets against the Lions Sunday. Although Adams was terrible, failing to create separation and dropping at least two easy passes, he still finished with 17.9 DK points. It was a similar story in Week 9 as Adams turned 11 targets into 18.3 DK points against the Panthers. Aaron Rodgers clearly likely throwing to the second-year man, but how long will that continue if Adams can’t pick his game up? That will be the big question as Adams takes a $4600 salary into Week 11 against the Vikings.