MONDAY’S DFS NEWS NUGGETS
1. Chiefs ride with Charcandrick West
With Charcandrick West and Spencer Ware healthy again, the Chiefs were supposed to go back to a committee. Instead, West got 16 touches while playing on 50-of-56 snaps while Ware returned to get just five touches on six snaps. The takeaway is clear – the Chiefs will bring in the bigger Ware when then want to pound the football in run formations, but West is the feature back and will play in all passing situations. The Chiefs still have to play for the division title against the Raiders at Arrowhead next week, meaning West will be firmly in play at $5700.
2. Bills turn their backfield into a committee
Mike Gillislee has played too well to get pinned to the bench. He started Sunday’s game against the Cowboys and served as a captain, recording 11 touches on 22 snaps. The more gifted Karlos Williams handled a larger share, netting 19 touches on 39 snaps. Both backs were predictably productive, as Gillislee ripped off 10.3 YPC with a score and Karlos was at 4.5 YPC with a score of his own.
Expect Williams to maintain the lead share of this committee next week, but the problem is matchup. The Jets are No. 2 in rush yards allowed per game, No. 5 in YPC allowed and No. 1 in rush TDs allowed (just two all year). Even in Rex Ryan’s Super Bowl – the Bills will be trying to keep the Jets out of the playoffs – it’s hard to see Williams or Gillislee getting anything going.
3. Drew Brees proves foot is not an issue
By the time Sunday morning came around, it became increasingly clear Brees’ foot was not likely to limit him. That meant the shootout was on. Brees tore through the Jags’ funneling defense for 412 yards and three TDs with no INTs, spreading the ball to nine different receivers. Brees’ health meant the game set up perfectly for Blake Bortles, as the Jags got behind 24-0 before getting their act together. This is the ideal script for a game stack, and there’s a good chance that roster construction took down whatever GPP you played this week. The Saints wrasp up the season at Atlanta next week in a meaningless game for both sides. It should be another shootout.
4. Steelers fall flat on their face at worst time
It was Super Bowl week for season-long players, the Steelers needed the game to make the playoffs and Ben Roethlisberger/Antonio Brown/Martavis Bryant were the chalk in DFS. The league’s hottest offense failed miserably against a Ravens pass defense that came in 29th DVOA. It’s a reminder that predicting football can be #hard and we can use that fact to our advantage in large-field tournaments. Owners that took a risk by fading the Steelers pass game and jumping on DeAngelo Williams and/or riding the Jags or Saints were handsomely rewarded. When you look at a situation and think “this team can’t fail,” remember the Week 16 Pittsburgh Steelers pass game.