TUESDAY’S DFS NEWS NUGGETS
1. LeSean McCoy will reportedly rest hammy in Week 4
“I’m told Bills RB LeSean McCoy is unlikely to play against the Giants this weekend, as he continues to deal with a hamstring injury.” That was the Monday evening tweet from NFL Network’s Rand Getlin that sent everyone to DraftKings to check how much Karlos Williams costs. It’s very early in the week for a report like this, but we have no reason to doubt it right now with McCoy clearly at less than 100 percent.
Karlos Williams stands at 6’1/230 ran a 4.48 at the Combine. He still slipped all the way to the fifth round due to concerns about his upright running style, regression in his final year at Florida State and an off-field issue. But Williams put those concerns to bed in training camp, helping push Bills hero Fred Jackson off the roster and getting Bryce Brown waived. Through three weeks, Williams has impressed thoroughly behind McCoy by rushing 24 times for 186 yards (NFL-best 7.75 YPC) with three touchdowns and two catches for 16 yards. That’s on just 57 total snaps. Now Williams is on track for something closer to 45 snaps and 20 touches in a home game against the talent-deficient Giants defense Sunday. At just $3400, he’ll be a must-play in cash games. It’s worth noting Williams is PFF’s No. 3 RB in terms of strict running so far this season, behind only Giovani Bernard and Carlos Hyde.
2. Jeremy Hill continues to spiral downward
One day after a 12-21-0 performance dropped Jeremy Hill’s 2015 YPC to 3.00, Marvin Lewis was asked why his starter played so far behind Giovani Bernard in the second half against the Ravens. Was it because he was struggling in blitz pickup?
“No. Both do a good job of that. It was just the personnel Hue wanted at that time. We were behind, so in that situation it was going to be Gio.”
Bernard has been running at an extremely high level so far this season, stealing carries even when the Bengals are ahead or tied. And now we know Hill won’t play much when Cincy is behind. With an upcoming schedule of vs. KC, vs. SEA and at BUF, this backfield is off my radar.
3. Davante Adams will miss some time for Packers
Adams aggravated his ankle sprain early in Monday night’s shootout with the Chiefs and will miss “some time” according to NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport. Here are the WR snap counts for Green Bay last night: James Jones 67-of-77, Randall Cobb 66, Ty Montgomery 66, Jeff Janis 16, Adams 3.
However, Montgomery only saw two targets on all those snaps even though Rodgers attempted 35 passes. The No. 3 wideout role is an inconsistent one in this Green Bay offense, as evidenced by Adams’ 4-59-0 and 5-33-0 lines in the first two weeks. Still, Montgomery costs the minimum $3000 and is facing a young/bad 49ers secondary in Week 4. He’s certainly worth considering.
4. Bears start their fire sale
The 0-3 Bears are ready to throw in the towel on the disaster that is their 2015 season. You’re not going to believe this, but the players they had from their 4-3 regime were unable to fit in the new 3-4. Shocking, I know. The fire sale started with a trade of veteran DE Jared Allen to the Panthers and continued with a deal that sent LB Jon Bostic to the Patriots. A defense that is giving up a league-worst 35.0 points per game this season isn’t going to get any better. Beastly rookie Amari Cooper is a strong play at $6300 this week.