WEDNESDAY’S DFS NEWS NUGGETS
1. Andre Ellington (knee) not expected back Week 3
Ellington is targeting Week 4 for his return from a PCL injury. It means Chris Johnson will start Sunday’s home game against the 49ers, but that’s not the Johnson everyone wants to talk about. David Johnson got one touch in Week 1 and six touches in Week 2. How many will he get in Week 3? Coach Bruce Arians would only say that CJ?K would start again and that David’s role “will increase a little bit each week.” I think a 7-10 touch projection is fair for the impressive rookie, but that’s far lower usage than I like for my players – even at $4000.
2. Donte Moncrief coming into his own for Luck
Through two weeks Donte Moncrief is playing on 75.8 percent of the Colts’ offensive snaps and is tied for 18th in the NFL with 19 targets. This is not some stiff UDFA or journeyman. Moncrief was one of the most physically gifted wideouts in the loaded 2014 class, standing at 6’2/221 with 4.40 speed and a 39.5-inch vertical. We could certainly make the case he’s the best wideout Andrew Luck has, ahead of T.Y. Hilton, broken-down Andre Johnson and rookie Phillip Dorsett. With a tasty matchup against the Titans up next, Moncrief is very much in play again at $4800.
3. Tony Romo (shoulder) lands on IR/return
Romo is not eligible to return until Week 11. So it’s the Brandon Weeden show for the foreseeable future, and regular readers know I always at least consider min-priced (or in Weeden’s case $5200) quarterbacks. The matchup is certainly right this week as the Cowboys host the Falcons. The concerns are a snail-paced, run-based gameplan and a top-three WR trio of Terrance Williams, Devin Street and Cole Beasley. Weeden has only started one game as a Cowboys (Week 9 last year vs. ARZ), going 18-of-33 for 183 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions. I’d rather take cheap shots on Nick Foles ($5200) or Tyrod Taylor ($5800) this week.
4. Travis Benjamin was not a good play
The man who won the Milly Maker and $2M in Week 2 had Travis Benjamin in his lineup. So did the guy who got second, sixth, eighth and tenth. That doesn’t mean Benjamin was a good play. The 5’10/175-pounder ran just nine routes in that game against the Titans, somehow turning that extremely low usage into 115 yards and two touchdowns (he added another score on a punt return). Benjamin’s game is a perfect example of how we can’t be results oriented when evaluating our process – if we consistently use receivers who run nine routes we will lose a lot of money.