THURSDAY’S DFS NEWS NUGGETS
1. Alshon Jeffery back practicing in full
Last week, Jeffery (calf) put in three limited practices and then was reportedly on a “pitch count” against the Packers. He ended up playing 77.9 percent of the snaps and piled up 5-78-0 on 11 targets. However, he was clearly lacking acceleration and burst – especially after the catch. So Jeffery’s return to a full practice on Wednesday is very encouraging for his outlook in a decent matchup against overrated Patrick Peterson and the Cardinals.
Also note that the sharp bettors are all over the Bears this week, according to legendary Vegas bookmaker Bob Scucci. Home as an underdog is an ideal spot for QB and WR stats. And Jeffery’s price has sunk a full $800 to $7500 this week, a move that usually spells profit in a vacuum. There’s a lot of reasons to like Alshon in GPPs this week.
2. Brandon Marshall to get the Vontae treatment?
Eric Decker is a very, very good NFL wide receiver. But teams still fear Brandon Marshall far more, which is why Marshall is expected to be shadowed by Vontae Davis on Monday night. Note that Vontae shadowed Sammy Watkins for all 23 of his pass routes in Week 1 and Sammy ended up with a bagel. I do think the game script will be good for the Jets’ pass game, as Indy should come out firing at home in the wake of their road loss at Buffalo. But I’d feel much better about using Eric Decker ($5100) than Marshall ($6400).
3. Brandon Coleman is the Saints’ No. 2 wideout
The data from Week 1 showed that Marques Colston has been put out to pasture. Coleman played 58 snaps and ran 42 routes, while Colston played 46 snaps and ran 35 routes. Although I fully expect the Saints to take a run-heavy approach against the Bucs as a 10-point home favorite Sunday, Coleman can’t be ignored at just $3300. He’s a good bet to meet value and then some.
4. Tre Mason (hamstring) declares himself fully healthy
I wish Mason was still hurt, because I was going to fully fade Benny Cunningham. The Rams are a lock to let down at Washington after their big upset of the Seahawks and the Redskins are a defense I do not like to use running backs against. Unfortunately, Cunningham is out of play anyway now that Mason is practicing in full. Expect a timeshare between the two until Todd Gurley (knee) gets back and takes control.