WEDNESDAY’S DFS NEWS NUGGETS
1. Peyton out to pasture
I think the Broncos are going to be very good this year. But it’s not going to be via Peyton Manning’s arm. Gary Kubiak will ride one of the best defenses in the league and a two-headed running game of C.J. Anderson and Ronnie Hillman, rather than riding the pass game. We know it’s necessary as Manning has been under 225 yards in four of his last seven games, throwing just six touchdowns during that span. I think there’s a lot of value in playing the Thursday slate this week and selecting no players from the DEN/KC game. The total is only 42, Manning isn’t going to play well, Anderson is nicked and the Chiefs aren’t going to light up this elite Denver defense. When there’s not a single play from a game I really love, that’s when I want to play the slate. Peyton and everyone else will be relatively overowned.
2. Sam I am thanks to volume
In 49 games as a Ram, Sam Bradford went over 50 pass attempts just three times. In one game as an Eagle, he attempted 52 passes. It’s a reminder of how unique Chip Kelly’s scheme is and how fast they play. There’s going to be volume every week, so even when Bradford isn’t playing well (as he didn’t Monday night), he’ll still put up numbers. And if/when Bradford really gets hot, he’s going to go ham. Bradford’s price did not change this week ($6900), putting him in play for cash games once again.
3. Tough bounce-back spot for Olsen
Greg Olsen was one of the few tight ends who bricked out in Week 1. Normally, it’s the kind of spot to get on a good player. He’ll have far less traffic and he’ll “progress” toward his mean. It’s just hard for me to get on Olsen this week when he’s talking about staying in-line more to help on J.J. Watt and Jadeveon Clowney. We also have a Texans defense that has been excellent against tight ends for the last year (except last week’s destruction at the hands of Travis Kelce). On the other hand, OC Mike Shula is saying he needs to “find ways” to get Olsen the ball after he saw just one target in Week 1 (Olsen did have a TD called back on a questionable penalty). All in all, I probably won’t have much Olsen given all the other options at tight end.
4. Sherman moving off his island?
ESPN’s Sheil Kapadia had some interesting data on Richard Sherman’s Week 1 usage. Instead of simply sticking at his usual left corner spot against the Rams Sherman moved all over the formation. Only 36 of his 59 snaps came at left corner, with a team-high 13 coming in the slot. That’s very notable heading into Sunday’s game at Green Bay, as it’s now possible Randall Cobb will see a lot of Sherman. Byron Maxwell replacement Cary Williams played mostly on the right side, where he’ll see a lot of Davante Adams and some James Jones. That’s a better matchup, but it’s still risky as we’re not exactly certain where Sherman will be anymore. None of the Green Bay wideouts are looking like cash-game plays for me.