MONDAY’S DFS NEWS NUGGETS
1. Down goes Jamaal Charles
I thought Jamaal Charles was a great bet for a multiple touchdown game against the Bears Sunday for reasons described here. He was an excellent correlation play with the Chiefs D/ST. And it was all going according to plan until Charles painfully blew out his knee on the first drive of the second half with the Chiefs leading 17-3. The 9.4 points he finished with should have been closer to 25.
In the past, Knile Davis has been an absolute usage monster anytime Charles sat. But this year he lost the backup job to Charcandrick West, a second-year UDFA out of Abilene Christian. Following Charles’ injury Sunday, West out-snapped Davis 18-4 per PFF’s Nathan Jahnke. Note that West had the sixth-highest SPARQ score in the 2014 running back class. He also flashed during the preseason, rushing 28 times for 136 yards (4.85 YPC) and going 6-45-1 through the air despite playing just 75 snaps. He’s an interesting option at $4000 in Week 6 at a Vikings defense that gives up 4.69 YPC – 27th in the league.
2. Broncos offense predictably busts once again
A lot of people still think of this Broncos offense as the one we saw set records over the past few years. They’re not. In fact, they’re the exact opposite of what we want in a fantasy offense. After ranking 4th in plays per game in 2013, 1st in 2013 and 8th in 2014, the Broncos are 26th in the category. The way they win is by riding the defense, punting and playing smart football. Again, that’s the wrong mindset for fantasy football. The problem is the Broncos players are priced as if Peyton Manning is still #good, when in fact he’s a bottom-five quarterback in the league.
3. Willie Snead is the real deal
Willie Snead has gone from a guy who wasn’t supposed to make the Saints to their No. 1 receiver. And it’s not because of injury – it’s because he’s earned it. Snead had 11-148-1 in the preseason. In the regular season, he played on 24.3 percent of the snaps Week 1, 50.0 Week 2, 61.1 Week 3, 65.8 Week 4 and 72.5 yesterday. Over the last three weeks, Snead has 24 targets compared to 25 for Brandin Cooks, 16 for Marques Colston and four for Brandon Coleman. He has at least six targets in four straight weeks, compiling 30-318-1 line during that span. Somehow, Snead is just $3300 for Thursday night’s home matchup against the Falcons.
4. Todd Gurley is a man
I thought at Green Bay was a tough spot for Gurley. Not only because he doesn’t play on passing downs, but also because he’s still less than a year removed from his ACL tear and had 21 touches just a week earlier. Gurley proved me wrong, rushing for 159 yards on 30 carries. Of course, the fade ended up working out OK because he didn’t find the end zone and caught zero passes, finishing with just 18.9 DraftKings points. It’s a reminder of the danger in backs that don’t catch the ball in full-PPR formats. Still, Gurley gets CLE, SF, MIN, CHI after the Rams’ bye – he’s going to be a beast.