Welcome back to the daily DraftKings picks where we try to get super rich playing daily fantasy football. As usual I’ll do a brief recap of my lineups from the week before then throw out some picks that I’m brainstorming for this weekend, and hopefully get some good feedback/tips/picks from you guys either in the comment section or on Twitter @kmarkobarstool.
First we’ll go over my lineup, then get into some picks for the week.
I threw a few entries into the Millionaire Maker, and I gotta say, I impressed myself with this one.
That was my big money maker of the week. But don’t worry, I’m not going to break it down pick my pick talking about how genius each play was. To be honest it was that last entry I put in and I just stocked it full of contrarian gut plays. Which I guess is exactly
the strategy you need to use to win a huge tournament, but I’m pretty sure I can’t replicate this success by doing it this way every week. Got a little lucky.
(PS, even though the lineup was a long shot that paid off nicely, doesn’t mean I’m still not getting annoyed every time I look at it. What if Coleman didn’t get hurt so early when he looked primed for a big game? What if Romo stayed whole and fed Witten? Why
the hell did I go Demarco before I saw him get comfortable in Chip’s system? That’s me, always the pessimist.)
The one I’ll break down is my optimal lineup, which did much worse, but was still good enough to cash.
This is the one I put all the time and thought into.
-QB: Palmer was my pick of the week at quarterback and the guy I locked in first. I said I’d be disappointed with anything less than 3 touchdowns, and he put up 4. But, he oddly only ended up with 185 yards, which kept him from having a beast mode game.
– I ended up not being able to fit Forte’s salary, so I went with my #2 option in Forsett. He was a sexy pick from the experts for the week to tear up the Raiders defense, but he was pretty much a dud.
-Woodhead was my favorite value play of the week, and he paid off great for $4K – but couldn’t find his way into the end zone unfortunately.
-WRs: Went with Landry again for his safety as a PPR monster – no TD this week, but he broke 100 yards and got the bonus for that. I pivoted off Cooks at the last second for my #2 option Matthews, and it ended up being a good move. Finally I teamed Palmer up
with who I thought would be his top target, but as you can see from my top lineup, it ended up being Larry Fitz.
-Annnd the reason I couldn’t afford Forte – couldn’t not take Gronk at TE. He’s just too much of a sure thing. In the future I’ll probably have to hit on a cheap, low owned TE for a shot at winning a GPP, but for now I knew I wanted Gronk in there.
-Titans D just because I thought they’d pull 2 or 3 turnovers off Manziel, maybe a pick 6. Should have known my boy JFF would light them up, so stupid.
Let’s get into the Week 3 picks:
Cam Newton $6.8K
I think Andrew Luck will rebound in a big way this week and Aaron Rodgers is always your best bet to be the highest scoring quarterback, but with price considered, Cam is one of my favorite QB plays of the weekend. It’s painfully obvious that he has no options out there, and even his running backs have been underperforming – I’ve been all over Jonathan Stewart thinking he’d have to carry the slack, and he’s put up 2 duds. Looks like Cam has no choice but to do it all himself and I’m hoping for a vintage 200 yard passing, 85 yard rushing game with 2 or 3 TDs to really pay off this price point.
Nick Foles $5.2K
He bombed last week which should keep people off him, and the Steelers are getting shredded through the air. Obviously risky but hey that’s the point of a value play.
Marshawn Lynch $7.4K
A lot of people are on Russell Wilson this week because of how bad the Bears defense is, but I’m focusing more on Marshawn – feel like the Seahawks will jump out to a big lead and just pound away on that awful run D. He’s the second priciest running back, but unlike Cam, I do think Marshawn has a shot at being the highest scoring RB of the week which is why I’m willing to pay up for him. Keep an eye on his injury but as of writing this he looks like all-systems-go and you know he’s always bout that action boss.
Dion Lewis $4.2K
James Starks is an obvious play here but if Lacy is ruled out he’ll be like 50% owned so figured I’d switch it up a bit. As everyone who plays DFS football knows, it’s scary as hell to put a Patriot on your roster. But with his usage over the first 2 games and the matchup, and the fact his price is so incredibly low, my hands are basically tied.
Randall Cobb $7.3K
Brandon Marshall is the sexy pick this week with his price and Decker banged up – don’t get me wrong, I think he’s a great play, but sometimes TOO much hype scares me a bit, and he should be highly owned. And he’s a Jet. Can you ever really trust them? I’m gonna go with Cobb instead who seems a little more off the radar, which is weird, because it seems like he always shows up and puts up a good score. He’s logging 95% of the team’s snaps and has one of the best QBs in the game throwing to him. Also, as an added bonus, I love taking guys in Monday Night games – the stars usually step up their game on MNF, and your scores in tourneys keep creeping up instead of watching people pass you.
Donte Moncrief $4.8K
Like I said, I think Luck rebounds nicely this week, so I might as well look at the guy he’s been throwing to. TY is hobbled and Moncrief has scores of 17 and 28 in his last 2 – for this price he seems like a great play.
Gronk. Obviously. You can just pencil him in here every single week. Maybe even on his bye week.
Jimmy Graham if you think they’ll try to force feed him after his public complaints, and Travis Kelce because he looks like Baby Gronk this year.
Eric Ebron very sneakily has a touchdown in each game so far, and Jared Cook could be worth a flier against that Steelers pass D.
Good luck on Sunday. Got any sweet sleeper picks I should consider? Tweet them at me. Anybody that hits on an awesome sleeper I’ll put your tweet in the blog next week and get you some street cred. Also if you enjoy the blogs and want to deposit on DK for the weekend use my referral code and we’ll both get a ticket to the Millionaire Maker.