The fantasy football season continues to fly by with another big week on tap highlighted by a 12-game main slate this Sunday. The Cowboys and Ravens are the only two teams on a bye this week while the Vikings, Packers and Chiefs are some of the more fantasy-relevant rosters absent from the main slate as they play primetime matchups.
While there aren’t a lot of compelling matchups on the slate, there are some interesting storylines like the Seahawks visiting Dan Quinn and the Falcons, the Bills trying to prove they’re legit against the reeling Eagles, the 49ers hosting the Panthers in an important NFC contest, and the Browns visiting Gillette Stadium to take on the unbeaten Patriots. As you sort through the matchups and build your team, take a look at these value plays who ware poised to out-produce their price point.
QUARTERBACK($6,000 and under)
Gardner Minshew II, JAX vs. NYJ, $5,500 – Minshew bounced back from a rough game against the Saints with 21 DKFP against the Bengals in Week 7. He raked up 255 yards and a touchdown passing while adding a season-high 48 yards rushing on nine attempts. He has over 16 DKFP in six of his seven games and over 20 in two of his past three. The Jaguars host the Jets, who are on a short week after getting crushed on Monday Night Football by the Pats. Minshew can get the Jaguars to 4-4 with a win this week and has a few more starts before Nick Foles (collarbone) is eligible to return from IR in Week 11.
Ryan Tannehill, TEN vs. TB, $5,100 – After taking over the starting job for Marcus Mariota ($5,100), Tannehill looked solid against the Chargers, completing 23-of-29 passes for 312 yards, two touchdowns and 23.18 DKFP. He did turn the ball over twice but looked like he had a solid rapport with WRs Corey Davis ($4,400) and A.J. Brown ($4,100). It’s only one start and definitely too early to judge the move to Tannehill at QB a success. However, he has a great matchup this week against the Bucs, who have given up the fourth-most DKFP to opposing QBs this season. The Titans can also move to 4-4 with a win this week, and will try to be the fifth team in a row to put up at least 30 points against Tampa Bay. If they do, Tannehill and the rest of the Tennessee passing game will be great values.
RUNNING BACK($5,000 and under)
Ty Johnson, DET vs. NYG, $4,900 – Both Johnson and J.D. McKissic ($3,900) will likely be in store for bigger workloads this week since Kerryon Johnson ($5,700; knee) is expected to miss this week’s game against the Giants. Ty Johnson handled most of the work after Kerryon left in Week 7 and took 10 carries for 29 yards along with four catches for 28 yards to finish with 9.7 DKFP. McKissic had seven touches and 8.0 DKFP, but both should be able to fare better against the struggling Giants, who have allowed the eight-most DKFP to opposing RBs. The Lions drafted Johnson in the sixth round out of Maryland and will likely give the rookie all the workload he can handle after a week of practice with the starters. The fact that he was so involved in the passing game could even let him be the three-down option for Detroit while Kerryon is out.
Devin Singletary, BUF vs. PHI, $4,400 – Singletary returned last week after missing three games with a hamstring injury, and the rookie had a quiet game overall with 26 yards on seven carries. The good news, though, is that he got those seven carries, which was a career high and shows that the Bills are going to keep working him into the timeshare with the ageless Frank Gore ($4,000). Singletary has a high ceiling against the Eagles, who were just trampled by the Cowboys last Sunday Night. Look for his workload to climb in the coming weeks if he can stay healthy and start delivering on his potential.
WIDE RECEIVER($5,000 and under)
Kenny Stills, HOU vs. OAK, $4,700 – Stills will need to step up with Will Fuller ($6,200; hamstring) sidelined. In Week 7, Stills racked up a season-high 105 yards on four catches for 17.5 DKFP against the Colts. The Texans looked rough against Indianapolis but should be set to bounce back against the Raiders this week. Oakland has given up the second-most DKFP to WRs this season, so Stills is in a good spot to deliver a big game in his first game in an expanded role.
Zach Pascal, IND vs. DEN, $4,300 – Pascal went off for 31.6 DKFP against the Texans catching six passes for a career-high 106 yards and a pair of touchdowns. He has over 11 DKFP in three of his past four games and is developing into a solid No. 2 WR across from T.Y. Hilton ($6,100). The Colts do keep their RBs and TEs very involved in the passing game, but Pascal is quickly becoming a red-zone favorite for Jacoby Brissett ($5,600).
A.J. Brown, TEN vs. TB, $4,100 – The Titans’ receiving corps looked fantasy relevant for the first time in a long time with Tannehill at QB. Brown led the team with a career-high eight targets and hauled in six passes for 64 yards and 12.2 DKFP. He flashed with two touchdowns and 24.4 DKFP in Week 4 against Atlanta, but this is a much more sustainable level of production if he gets this volume of looks from Tannehill. The Bucs have been awful against WRs this season, so Brown and Tannehill could be a great value stack.
Mike Williams, LAC at CHI, $4,000 – Williams hasn’t found the end zone this season for Los Angeles after scoring 10 times last season. He has continued to be involved with at least 45 yards receiving and at least seven DKFP in each week since Week 1. He and the Chargers will need to bounce back and erase an ugly loss to the Titans as they visit the Bears, who will likely key in on Keenan Allen ($6,400), which could leave opportunities for Williams. He has been targeted an average of nine times per game over the Chargers past four contests.
TIGHT END($4,000 and under)
Jacob Hollister, SEA at ATL, $2,900 – With Will Dissly (Achilles) done for the season, Hollister stepped into a big role for the Seahawks against the Ravens and hauled in 3-of-6 targets for 20 yards and 5.0 DKFP. The volume of targets is even more surprising compared to just one look for Luke Willson ($2,900), who was expected to be Dissly’s primary replacement. Hollister is a cheap flier worth a look as he continues to work with Russel Wilson ($7,200) in a great matchup against the sinking Falcons.
Jonnu Smith, TEN vs. TB, $2,800 – Smith could be a great option depending Delanie Walker ($3,600; ankle). Walker was forced out of last week’s game early, and Smith stepped in and caught all three passes thrown his way for a season-high 64 yards. Smith has shown in the past he can stretch the field and be a big play threat when given playing time. I’m not a huge fan of being “all in” on the Titans, but in this matchup against the Bucs, they offer some great value plays if Tannehill can play anywhere close to how he did last week.
DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS($2,800 and under)
Seahawks at ATL, $2,800 – Before last week’s injury to Matt Ryan ($6,000; ankle), did you even know Matt Schaub ($4,700) was still in the NFL? This week, Schaub could be starting for the first time since 2015. The Seahawks defense didn’t look good against Lamar Jackson and the Ravens last week, but they’ll be fired up to bounce back and continue the Falcons’ downward spiral. In their past two road games, the Seahawks have posted 9.0 and 16.0 DKFP, both of which are solid returns for an option this affordable.
Panthers at SF, $2,400 – The Panthers have posted over 12 DKFP in four straight games, culminating in a huge 21.0-DKFP performance in London against the Bucs before their bye week. They face a tough test against the 49ers in San Francisco this week, but the 49ers’ offense hasn’t had to face any heavy-hitting defenses yet. San Francisco has feasted on the Bucs, Bengals, Steelers and Browns but only managed 20 points against the Rams and nine points against the Redskins in the past two games, respectively. Since the 49ers offense hasn’t been truly tested, it will be interesting to see how they react to the Panthers, who could be a bargain if they continue their current run of results.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Z.Thompson) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.