Another week in the books, and now the bye weeks start to become more of a factor entering Week 7. The Early Look will highlight salaries that jump out on this 10-game main fantasy football slate.
It’s crucial to have all the latest lineup and injury news when constructing your lineups. Make sure you’re following @DKLive for every update, and also feel free to hit me up on Twitter with any comments or questions — @JulianEdlow.
Jared Goff, LAR at SF ($6,600) – Goff’s the most expensive QB on the slate, and could potentially scare some ownership away after managing just 8.44 DKFP against the Broncos. Transitioning into an elite matchup in San Francisco, look for Goff to be much closer to his 23.2 DKFP average against the 29th ranked defense versus the QB position.
Jameis Winston, TB vs. CLE ($6,300) – Don’t fall into the trap, guys. Winston’s 35.9 DKFP out of the bye week was impressive, but was also a product of playing from behind on the road against Atlanta — one of the best fantasy spots a QB can ask for. Cleveland’s defense is far more stout, ranking second against QBs, so Jameis has no right to be the third most expensive QB on the slate.
Baker Mayfield, CLE at TB ($5,800) – Some of the value you can find rather than playing Winston is right on the other side of this matchup. Going against Tampa has been a dream matchup for QBs this season, and is a spot that’s really yet to letdown. This is the best spot Mayfield’s been in so far in his young career, which has me expecting his largest DKFP total yet.
Other value options: Drew Brees ($5,700), Joe Flacco ($5,400), Sam Darnold ($4,900)
Todd Gurley, LAR at SF ($9,800) – Gurley continued his dominance in Week 6, pounding the rock 28 times for 208 yards in Denver en route to a pair of touchdowns. His 39.5 DKFP were a season high, and while part of this is due to Denver’s inability to stop the run, it also speaks to just how safe of a play Gurley is. Yet to dip below 25 DKFP in a single game, Gurley’s essentially just a spot to buy 25-plus points if you have the salary. The 49ers rank 23rd against RBs this season, so there’s no reason to think this streak will come to an end.
Alvin Kamara, NO at BAL ($8,500) – While we get to welcome Kamara back to the main slate after a two-week absence (MNF and a bye), the excitement of rostering him has quickly faded. Not only did Kamara see a stunningly low nine touches for 6.9 DKFP in the first game that Mark Ingram ($5,900) returned, but this week also brings a matchup against a Baltimore defense that allows the fewest fantasy points to RBs. We’ll likely find a balance as the season goes on where we can start playing Kamara again, but for now his salary isn’t even close to what we’d need it to be.
Frank Gore, MIA vs. DET ($3,800) – This guy just won’t go away. Believe it or not, Gore is fantasy relevant again. Kenyan Drake ($4,900) still earned 63 percent of the snaps to 38 percent for Gore, but the ageless wonder was more productive. Drake managed just 10.8 DKFP on 17 touches, and had a crucial fumble on the goal line. Meanwhile, Gore’s 16 touches went for 119 yards and 15.9 DKFP. Gore will be up against a terrible Detroit run defense in Miami for Week 7. While Drake clearly has the higher ceiling, Gore is currently the safer play and comes at a discount.
Other value options: Tarik Cohen ($5,100), Corey Clement ($4,700), Peyton Barber ($3,800)
Adam Thielen, MIN at NYJ, ($8,600) – Thielen is finally the most expensive WR on the slate, and he certainly deserves to be. Just open his game log and checkout that consistency — 100-plus yards in all six games, no fewer than 19 DKFP back in Week 1 with at least 27 DKFP in all five games since. This guy has an unfathomable 81 targets through six games, and will now face a Jets defense that ranks 30th against the position. Thielen has Todd Gurley-level safety as a play right now.
Jarvis Landry, CLE at TB, ($7,300) – Landry is in an interesting spot this week. He’s coming off by far his worst game of the season, catching a pathetic 2-of-9 targets for just 11 yards against the Chargers. After just 3.1 DKFP, people might be afraid to roster him with his salary on the rise $700. But just remember how promising a matchup against Tampa has been so far this season. This is a position for Landry to bounce back in a big way.
Josh Gordon, NE at CHI, ($5,600) – We saw flashes on Sunday night against the Chiefs of what this offense looks like with Gordon as the featured weapon. After six total targets in his first two games as a Patriot, Gordon saw nine targets Sunday, securing five for 42 yards. It wasn’t a crazy fantasy effort, but it was confirmation that Gordon will be more than a decoy that plays sparingly. Another week should mean only more faith in Gordon, who will be up against a Bears defense that surprisingly ranks just 28th against WRs.
Other value options: John Brown ($5,700), Michael Crabtree ($5,100), Chester Rogers ($4,700), Chris Hogan ($3,800)
Zach Ertz, PHI vs. CAR ($7,100) – Rob Gronkowski ($6,000) checks in at an attractive salary, but there might be too many options in that New England passing game to trust him. While he went for 97 yards against the Chiefs, he did it on just four targets. Ertz will run you some extra salary, but has at least nine targets in every game and has scored double-digit DKFP in five straight.
David Njoku, CLE at TB, ($4,200) – It’s a tough week to find value at TE, at least in the early going. Njoku’s salary is on the rise, but he’s well worth it. He’s seen his DKFP total rise in three straight games, scoring 18.5 in Week 6. With 23 total targets over the last two games and a matchup against this Tampa Bay defense, Njoku has a ton of upside by himself or in a Browns stack.
Jaguars D/ST vs. HOU, ($3,600) – Jacksonville is in a bounce-back spot returning home after being smashed by the Cowboys in Dallas. The Texans could barely move the ball against the Bills last week in Houston, and could be in some really trouble when they face this defense on the road.
Bills D/ST at IND ($2,300) –Speaking of the Bills, they’re actually pretty good on the defensive side of the ball. With 12-plus points in three of their last four outings, the Colts might have a tougher time in this matchup that many perceive them to.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.