WATCH: Week 14 Price Check
We’re down to the final quarter of the NFL regular season, which leaves big Sunday main slates the rest of the way out for fantasy football owners. This week, we have 13 games, with Saints-Falcons, Ravens-Steelers and Patriots-Dolphins the only ones left off.
Here’s your Week 14 early look at DraftKings player pricing.
ExpensiveCarson Wentz ($7,100) — Wentz is the most expensive QB on the slate but will be on the road against the Rams, who rank third vs. QBs. It’s a tough spot for Wentz, but even in the loss to Seattle this past Sunday, Wentz managed 22 DKFP while scoring once and turning it over twice. That’s impressive. He likely will be popular as the highest priced option, but this looks like a week to examine other options at QB.
Philip Rivers ($6,800) — One of those options is Rivers, who I felt was overpriced at $7K last week against the Browns. He wound up doing just fine, scoring 20.5 DKFP. This week he’s in a much better spot on paper, with his price down $200 against a Washington defense that ranks in the bottom third of the league against QBs. Rivers makes for a nice fantasy option.
ValueDerek Carr ($6,400) — Carr’s expensive for a value option, but he realistically belongs in the top tier of salaries on this slate. He’s been solid lately and will be pleased to get back WR Michael Crabtree ($6,700), who essentially missed two full games due to an ejection and suspension, and potentially WR Amari Cooper ($5,800), who missed Sunday’s game with a concussion and ankle injury. On top of that, just look at the matchup here. The Chiefs got torched by Jets QB Josh McCown ($6,000) last week for over 30 DKFP and rank 27th vs. the position. Carr’s best game so far this season came against Kansas City, when he scored 33.1 DKFP. This all sets up too perfectly.
Other value options — Jimmy Garoppolo ($5,500), Tom Savage ($4,800)
ExpensiveTodd Gurley ($8,100) — Gurley reminds me a little bit of the RB version of Wentz on this slate. He’s in nearly an identical spot, as the most expensive RB on the slate facing the Eagles’ top-ranked defense vs. RBs. Gurley’s a special player but has been held under 20 DKFP in three consecutive outings until barely topping the mark in Week 13 with 21.8 — and that was thanks to an uncharacteristic six catches for 84 yards. Week 14 seems like the right time to avoid Gurley.
Melvin Gordon ($7,800) — You’ll notice this article to be heavy on Chargers, but they’ve earned it with their recent play. Gordon’s been an interesting case lately, averaging just about 12.5 DKFP over his last four games. It hasn’t been for a lack of touches, though, averaging 22 per game. He has only reached the end zone once in that span, but this game has breakout potential for Gordon. Washington ranks 24th vs. RBs, so I like Gordon to bounce back at home.
ValueLamar Miller ($5,800) — This is all about the matchup. With Tom Savage at QB for the Texans, they’ve been looking to run with Miller a little more. A matchup against the 49ers’ last-ranked run defense leaves Miller in a home-run spot. With a minimum of 18 touches and 12.8 DKFP in three straight games, Miller comes with an extremely high floor and ceiling in Week 14.
Other value options — Alfred Morris ($5,500), DeMarco Murray ($4,800), Peyton Barber ($4,500), Mike Davis ($3,700)
ExpensiveDeAndre Hopkins ($8,500) — Sticking with the Texans, Hopkins has been somewhat surprising in the sense that he’s maintained his value no matter who is at QB. His ceiling has come down without the big-play ability of QB Deshaun Watson, but Savage has targeted Hopkins 63 times in the five games since taking over. Having scored between 16 and 22.5 DKFP in all five of those games, Hopkins has been the model of consistency despite a wildly inconsistent QB. In a favorable matchup against the 49ers, Hopkins remains trustworthy.
Keenan Allen ($8,300) — I didn’t like the spot for Allen last week, as was the case for Rivers. I thought his streak had to come to an end at some point, and I was completely wrong. Washington ranks fifth against WRs, which is surprising given its poor play against QBs, but I still am not convinced Allen will be limited in this matchup. The volume has been heavy (41 targets and a rushing attempt in three games), and Allen’s been taking advantage of his touches (439 yards and four touchdowns). The Browns rank 10th vs. WRs (and were higher prior to getting burned by Allen), so I’m looking for Allen to decline, but still produce handily.
ValueJosh Gordon ($5,500) — Gordon appeared to be for real in his first game in nearly three years, playing on 84 percent of Cleveland’s snaps. He hauled in four passes for 85 yards (12.5 DKFP) on a whopping 11 targets. I look at this game as Gordon getting his feet wet against a Chargers defense that’s been excellent lately. Now is his chance to break out against a Packers defense that ranks 29th vs. WRs. Gordon’s going to be more fantasy relevant than people think before season’s end.
Other value options — Marquise Goodwin ($5,100), Demaryius Thomas ($5,000), Jermaine Kearse ($4,800)
ExpensiveTravis Kelce ($7,400) — I’m not telling you to pay up at TE this week, but if you do, Kelce is the clear option, in my opinion. Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski (suspension) is off this slate and Zach Ertz ($6,800) is in the concussion protocol. Meanwhile, Kelce will face the league’s 26th-ranked defense vs. TEs in Oakland, and is coming in having scored 20 or more DKFP in four of his last five games.
ValueStephen Anderson ($3,200) — Anderson shocked us in Week 13, posting a 5-79-1 line in the wake of C.J. Fiedorowicz ($2,600) leaving the game with a concussion. If Fiedorowicz is out Week 14, Anderson would be in a huge spot for Houston against San Francisco. Savage really trusted him against the Titans, targeting him 12 times.
Other value options — Jason Witten ($4,700), Cameron Brate ($4,100)
ExpensiveJaguars DST ($3,500) — Another week, another plug-and-play for the Jags’ DST. No doubt the matchup is more difficult against Seattle, but with the price down $1K, I’m not as worried. This unit has the playmakers to be considered matchup proof at this point. Consider that Jacksonville has scored 11 or more DKFP in nine of 12 games this season, four of those instances going for more than 20 DKFP.
ValueBears DST ($2,500) — I don’t love many of the value defenses in the early going this week. Jacksonville presents value with the discount you’re getting. But the Bears do intrigue me with a solid defense on the road against a Bengals offense that doesn’t scare anybody. Averaging 8.2 DKFP, Chicago has shown the ability to at least not implode, even against good teams. If you want to pay down and look for 7-9 points, you should be able to get that here.
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