Volume significantly raises both the floor and ceiling of wide receivers. These are the ones I project to see the most targets in Week 6 (Sunday main slate only). Please note these aren’t rankings, just volume projections.
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1. Julio Jones ($8,000): 10 targets – Unclear if Jalen Ramsey will be able to make his Rams debut. Either way, the Falcons lack of defense and run game sets up Julio well weekly.
2. DeAndre Hopkins ($7,800): 10 targets – The goal of the Colts’ defense is to keep everything in front of them. That sets up well for Hopkins, who plays the mid-range while Will Fuller ($6,200) stretches deep. Hopkins is still 10th in the entire league in Air Yards.
3. Michael Thomas ($7,900): 10 targets – Matchup against the Bears is obviously difficult and Drew Brees remains sidelined. But Thomas is a classic “bet on talent” option who has a massive 41% share of the Air Yards for the Saints this season.
4. Cooper Kupp ($7,400): 10 targets – Last week’s dud came in one of the ugliest performances of Jared Goff’s career. Now, this passing game gets a chicken noodle soup spot against a Falcons “defense” ranked 31st in DVOA against the pass and 7th against the run.
5. Keenan Allen ($6,700): 9 targets – It’s been a quiet three weeks for Keenan, who has totaled a brutal 11-99-0 line during that span. Hunter Henry’s ($4,000) return, Melvin Gordon’s ($5,900) silly usage and Mike Williams’ ($4,600) health are contributing factors, but Allen remains the primary.
6. T.Y. Hilton ($5,900): 8 targets – In Hilton’s three healthy games this year, he’s averaged 8.3 targets per game. Now he’s had more than three weeks to get his quad right for a fast-track game against the Texans.
7. Kenny Golladay ($5,800): 8 targets – The matchup against Xavier Rhodes and company isn’t ideal, but Golladay has at least eight targets in all five games so far. He has the natural ability to win in any matchup.
8. Adam Thielen ($6,900): 8 targets – Kirk Cousins ($5,800) has caught fire the last two weeks, regaining the form that made him one of the highest-yardage QBs in the league. Thielen’s underlying usage remains better than Stef Diggs’ ($6,300) despite last week’s Diggruption.
9. Tyler Lockett ($6,600): 8 targets – Lockett hasn’t seen more than five targets since Week 3. But he’ll likely be needed this week as the Seahawks try to keep up with a Ravens defense which is far better against the run than the pass.
10. Robert Woods ($5,900): 8 targets – Woods is coming off an airball and has zero touchdowns on the year. But his role is still very significant and the Rams are likely to find season-best efficiency against the Falcons.
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