Volume significantly raises both the floor and ceiling of wide receivers. These are the ones I project to see the most targets in Week 6 (Sunday main slate only). Please note these aren’t rankings, just volume projections.
For value volume projections, click here.
1. Julio Jones ($8,000): 10 targets – Opponents are running 66.4 plays per game against the Cardinals, eighth-most in the NFL. Opposing QBs are also averaging 7.7 yards per pass attempt against the Cardinals, seventh-most in the NFL.
2. DeAndre Hopkins ($7,400): 10 targets – Now that Will Fuller ($6,000) has finally broken out, he’ll demand attention. That’s good news for Hopkins, who hasn’t topped eight targets in any of the last four games. Sunday’s near-certain shootout will cure that.
3. Michael Thomas ($7,800): 10 targets – It’s unclear if Jalen Ramsey (back, trade demands) will play. Either way, we know Thomas is going to have a huge share of Teddy Bridgewater’s ($5,300) targets with the secondary wideouts and tight ends operating as afterthoughts.
4. Cooper Kupp ($7,100): 10 targets – A very difficult matchup against a 49ers defense playing lights out. But the potential absence of Brandin Cooks ($5,400; concussion) coupled with a need to get the ball out quick against a dominant SF front four is good news for Kupp. So are Jared Goff’s ($6,100) home/road splits.
5. Odell Beckham Jr. ($6,800): 9 targets – Although Beckham hasn’t topped 56 yards or scored a touchdown in any of his last three games, he’s still averaging 8.6 targets per game and is 11th in the entire league in Air Yards. It’s coming.
6. Tyler Boyd ($6,300): 9 targets – With AJ Green and John Ross still out, Boyd remains the centerpiece. He’s seen at least 10 targets in 4-of-5 games this year and is averaging 10.6 per game on the season.
7. Amari Cooper ($7,000): 9 targets – Cooper has dusted the likes of Jaire Alexander and Xavien Howard already. The Jets have borderline NFL talent at their corner positions.
8. Adam Thielen ($6,700): 9 targets – As we saw last week, when Kirk Cousins ($5,200) is asked to throw, he often piles up yardage. Now comes the ultimate funnel spot as the Eagles have one of the league’s premier run defenses and one of the worst secondaries.
9. Larry Fitzgerald ($6,100): 8 targets – Kyler Murray ($6,500) attempted just 32 passes at Cincy as the Cardinals actually got a lead and their defense showed up. That’s unlikely to be the case against the Falcons. Fitz still has a solid 21.8 target share on the season.
10. Tyler Lockett ($6,400): 8 targets – There’s always a wide range of outcomes on Lockett’s volume as we don’t know if the Seahawks will be forced to unleash Russell Wilson ($6,600). But when they do, Lockett eats. He has two games with at least 12 targets already this season.
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