Cowboys Lions Football

Figuring out the top-end guys (click here) is relatively easy. The low-end wideouts are much harder — and more valuable. Each week, I’ll discuss five wide receivers under $5,000 who I project for at least five targets.

1. Chris Conley, JAX at TEN, $4,100

Yes, Dede Westbrook returned last week, but Conley still played on 60-of-62 snaps as the outside receiver opposite DJ Chark. With Nick Foles back, Conley saw eight targets last week for a 17% share, and he’s seen at least seven targets in four straight games. This week’s matchup against the Titans is an excellent one as Adoree Jackson and LeShaun Sims have been getting torched on the outside. Conley, always a threat for big plays thanks to 4.35 speed, is in a quietly nice spot.
Projection: 6 targets


2. Randall Cobb, DAL at NE, $4,800

Cobb suddenly has come alive, looking shockingly spry while picking up at least seven targets in three straight games. He’s averaging 5.8 per game on the season. The Cowboys took it easy on Amari Cooper last week, limiting his snaps as he nurses some lower-body bumps and bruises. This week, we can expect all-world CB Stephon Gilmore to shadow Cooper. That doesn’t mean Cobb has a good matchup, but it could be worse.
Projection: 6 targets


3. Hunter Renfrow, OAK at NYJ, $4,500

We haven’t seen a role change for Renfrow lately, which makes me a bit hesitant on him. But we can’t deny we have seen his target share rise. He’s seen at least five targets in three straight games, is averaging 6.0 during that span and holds a 19.7% target share during that span. If Renfrow gets that much work against the Jets, the efficiency should be there. They continue to operate as a massive funnel, ranking second in rush defense DVOA vs. 21st against the pass.
Projection: 6 targets


4. Tim Patrick, DEN at BUF, $3,000

Here were the routes run by Broncos WRs last week, Patrick’s first game back since a Week 1 hand injury: Courtland Sutton 45 routes, Patrick 38, DaeSean Hamilton 26, Dionte Spencer 3, Fred Brown 1. In other words, the Broncos are high on Patrick and immediately inserted him into the WR2 role. He responded with a 4-77-0 line on eight targets — a 20% share. He goes 6’4 and ran a 4.52 coming out of Utah. The matchup at Buffalo is brutal, but Patrick is also the stone minimum.
Projection: 6 targets


5. Russell Gage, ATL at CAR, $3,900

Yes, Gage disappointed with 2-32-0 on just four targets last week. It’s worth noting he did have a touchdown catch called back by penalty, Justin Hardy somehow drew four targets on 12 snaps and Matt Ryan threw it just 31 times. If we remove the game he got injured and last week, Ryan is averaging 41.8 pass attempts per game. This week’s matchup against the Bucs projects to be one of the most pass-centric, high-volume games of the season. Gage is the cheapest exposure to it and has an ideal matchup in the slot.
Projection: 6 targets


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is adamlevitan) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.