Figuring out the top-end guys (click here) is relatively easy. The low-end wideouts are much harder – and more valuable. Each week, I’ll discuss five wide receivers under $5,000 who I project for at least five targets.
1. Jarvis Landry, CLE vs. BUF, $4,900
Landry was featured in this space last week, he went 6-51-1 on 13 targets and his price went up just $400. It’s simply not often we find players under $5,000 with that kind of target upside. Landry has seen at least seven targets in 6-of-8 games, is averaging 8.3 targets on the season and continues to draw better matchups in the slot. Last week Odell Beckham ($6,100) saw Chris Harris, this week OBJ will see a lot of top Bills CB Tre’Davious White. Note that Beckham and Landry have seen the exact same amount of targets so far this season.
Projection: 8 targets
2. Tyler Boyd, CIN vs. BAL, $4,700
A.J. Green (ankle) may return, but if so, he’s likely to be limited. Boyd also has an incredibly difficult matchup against excellent Ravens slot CB Marlon Humphrey. But we can still project Boyd for plenty of targets as new QB Ryan Finley ($4,800) is a short-area thrower, who was excellent at completing passes in the preseason but didn’t show any interest in pushing the ball downfield. So Green’s limited return coupled with Finley’s promotion is actually a good thing for Boyd. The bigger concern is the Bengals chances of getting whitewashed by the Ravens – but at $4,700 there’s not a lot of downside.
Projection: 7 targets
3. DeVante Parker, MIA at IND, $4,800
Preston Williams (knee) is done, leaving YOLO-ing QB Ryan Fitzpatrick ($5,200) without his favorite target. Parker wasn’t far behind though, racking up 24 targets over his last three games and scoring a touchdown in four of his last five. A physically gifted former first-round pick, Parker sticks out far above Allen Hurns ($3,000) and Albert Wilson ($3,300) from a raw talent perspective. Sunday’s matchup against the Colts isn’t a very good one for big plays, but they do allow the fifth-highest completion rate to opposing QBs.
Projection: 7 targets
4. Curtis Samuel, CAR at GB, $4,600
D.J. Moore has graduated into the $5,200 class, but Samuel remains eligible for our sub-$5K discussions here. Note that while Moore has seen eight more targets than Samuel this season, the latter runs the big-play routes. He’s seen 37.6% of the Panthers’ Air Yards this season while Moore has seen 30.7%. Samuel has seen at least six targets in seven straight games, averaging 8.0 during that span. Carolina’s gameplan should be to run against the Packers’ soft rush defense, but this is a better matchup than it seems across the board. Despite a hot start, the Packers are down to 25th in yards per play allowed.
Projection: 6 targets
5. Russell Gage, ATL at NO, $3,400
The Falcons did not really change the roles of Julio Jones ($7,500) and Calvin Ridley ($5,400) following the Mohamed Sanu trade. Instead, they simply plugged Russell Gage into Sanu’s spot. In Week 8 Gage played on 43-of-76 snaps, ran a route on 38 of Matt Schaub’s ($4,900) 54 dropbacks (70%) and was in the slot on 77% of his snaps. In two games against the Saints last year, Sanu went 4-74-0 and 4-36-1, averaging 5.5 targets. That’s a reasonable expectation for Gage as this Saints defense is most susceptible through the slot.
Projection: 5 targets
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is adamlevitan) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.