Josh Jacobs

Even though we get six teams back from their bye, it doesn’t get much better with four teams not playing until Week 12. We’ll trek through the trenches and project which tailbacks will get the touches and targets in their matchups necessary for us to succeed. Enough postulating and postering (and enough alliterations), let’s get to it.




STUDS

Christian McCaffrey, CAR v. ATL, $10,500

Don’t look now, but McCaffrey’s price hasn’t increased for the first time in three weeks, even though he’s coming off another solid performance in Green Bay last week. It wasn’t his best receiving game, averaging his lowest yards per catch on the season and, believe it or not, Atlanta’s defense doesn’t give up a ton of production through the air to opposing RBs this season, which is a far cry from their defensive profile last year. Don’t fret, McCaffrey is averaging 36.1 DKFP at home this season, and Atlanta is still one of the worst defenses in the NFL ranking 30th in overall DVOA. Click.

Projections

Rushing: 24 attempts
Receiving: 6 Targets; 6 Receptions
Total: 30 Touches




Josh Jacobs, OAK v. CIN, $6,900

Jacobs has fallen victim to negative game scripts in the past, but last week he was able to seal the game with a late 18-yard touchdown and record three catches on five targets in an important division game against the Chargers. All rookies are susceptible to plateau late in their first season, but Jacobs shouldn’t be leveling off anytime soon nor should he be conceding snaps and touches in what should be a positive game script at home against the Bengals.

Projections

Rushing: 19 attempts
Receiving: 4 Targets; 3 Receptions
Total: 22 Touches




Tevin Coleman, SF v. ARI, $6,100

Coleman put up a poor performance a couple of weeks ago against the Cardinals, but with Matt Breida ($5,000) not expected to play with an ankle injury, Coleman should be in line for more work in this NFC West rematch. He’s not only averaging close to 3X DKFP at home vs. on the road, but the Cardinals are also allowing an average of 130 yards rushing and give up the seventh-most first downs per game to opposing backfields in away games. With the San Francisco offense a little banged up, Coleman could get substantial work this week.

Projections

Rushing: 16 attempts
Receiving: 4 Targets; 3 Receptions
Total: 19 Touches




VALUES

Devin Singletary, BUF at MIA, $6,000

Josh Allen ($6,600) threw it a season-high 41 times last week and Singletary saw the most targets he’s seen all season with seven, but he was unable to produce anything only catching three balls for eight yards. It was a disappointing ‘second act’ after his 23 DKFP performance the prior week, but he should be in a fantastic spot to redeem himself getting a Miami rush defense that’s given up the sixth-most DFKP per game to the running back position.

P.S. Frank Gore ($4,400) revenge game…

Projections

Rushing: 15 attempts
Receiving: 4 Targets; 3 Receptions
Total: 18 Touches




Brian Hill, ATL v. CAR, $4,800

Hill filled in for the injured Devonta Freeman ($5,900) and totaled 21 touches in their impressive win over the Saints last week. Freeman looks doubtful for this week’s tilt against one of the best matchups for opposing running backs in the Carolina Panthers, who have given up the fourth-most DKFP per game and the most rushing touchdowns to the running back position this season. Eat the chalk, the matchup is too good to pass up.

Projections

Rushing: 16 Attempts
Receiving: 4 Targets; 4 Receptions
Total: 20 Touches




Kallen Ballage, MIA v. BUF, $4,300

It doesn’t feel good writing this, but it’s an occupational hazard; I’ll tell you why. Ballage went from the starting running back, to third on the depth chart and now back to the RB1 in Miami with the Mark Walton suspension; is this someone you’d be interested in starting? I guess my answer is yes. The Dolphins revolving door of a backfield is nothing to target, but we cannot deny what the numbers say. Those numbers say Ballage received 77% of the rushing attempts last week in their win over the Colts on the road and now get a Bills team who cannot stop the run giving up 11th-most DKFP to opposing running backs this season. It’s a GPP dart throw, but getting the potential production from a RB at this price is hard to come by.

Projections

Rushing: 16 Attempts
Receiving: 3 Targets; 2 Reception
Total: 18 Touches




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