Six teams on a bye means we might have to eat some chalk and differentiate at another position. We’ll trek through the trenches and project which tailbacks will get the touches and targets in their matchups necessary for us to succeed. Enough postulating and posturing (and enough alliterations), let’s get to it.
Christian McCaffrey, CAR at GB, $10,500
I know I mentioned $10,000 was too rich for my blood, but I’ve reconsidered. As a professional, I must admit when I’m wrong, and with McCaffrey last week, I was wrong. His production in relation to his price has been 4X, 2.5X, 2.6X and 5.8X — a safe floor for cash games and upside for GPP tournaments. Now he gets the Packers, who just made Melvin Gordon relevant. Let’s collectively not make the same mistake this week. Click.
ProjectionsRushing: 25 attempts
Receiving: 8 Targets; 6 Receptions
Total: 31 Touches
Saquon Barkley, NYG at NYJ, $8,800If you’re one to “save” atop the RB position this week, Barkley could be a pivot if his ownership stays moderate. It’s essentially another home game for Barkley, and the Jets should be a get-right spot. We’ve seen elite RBs like Ezekiel Elliot, Leonard Fournette and Nick Chubb all have solid games against New York, averaging 27 touches and at least 98 total yards from scrimmage.
ProjectionsRushing: 18 attempts
Receiving: 8 Targets; 7 Receptions
Total: 25 Touches
Nick Chubb, CLE v. BUF, $7,000The only bright spot in this offense is Chubb, who ranks fifth in PFF’s RB rankings and is RB6 per fantasy points scored through nine weeks. For some reason, the Browns are favored, and if they want to make this line (and game) respectable, they’ll hand the ball off to Chubb as much as possible. The Bills have given up four straight games of more than 100 yards to opposing backfields, which have come from RBs like Mark Walton/Kenyan Drake (on Miami), Jordan Howard/Miles Sanders and Adrian Peterson.
ProjectionsRushing: 20 attempts
Receiving: 4 Targets; 2 Receptions
Total: 22 Touches
David Montgomery, CHI v. DET, $5,300Montgomery has put together two solid games and performed well against a tough Eagles defense by scoring twice on only 14 attempts. His past two outings along with his matchup against the Lions likely will make him a chalky play, but with the value/talent disparity from Chubb to Monty, I’ll take the chalk and hope his 70% snap share doesn’t take a precipitous dip this week.
ProjectionsRushing: 14 attempts
Receiving: 3 Targets; 3 Receptions
Total: 17 Touches
Devin Singletary, BUF at CLE, $5,000Another potential chalk play, Singletary’s price is good value this week against a bad run defense in Cleveland, which is giving up an average of 164.8 yards on the ground to opposing backfields. Singletary has outsnapped and outplayed Frank Gore ($4,000) over the past two weeks and got a carry over Gore in the red zone last week against Washington.
ProjectionsRushing: 14 Attempts
Receiving: 4 Targets; 3 Receptions
Total: 17 Touches
Ronald Jones, TB v. ARI, $4,300It only took until Week 10 for Jones to claim the starting job in Tampa. This will be a game to attack with the highest point total on the slate, and when Jones gets the rock at least 14 or more times, he’s scored at least 13 DKFP. This game will provide a lot of opportunities for RoJo to return value.
ProjectionsRushing: 15 Attempts
Receiving: 2 Targets; 1 Reception
Total: 16 Touches
Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is reidtfowler) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.