Conformity: It’s what made kids like you in elementary school. Unfortunately, doing the exact same thing as everyone else isn’t quite the best strategy in the world when you’re looking to play tournaments on DraftKings. You need to be playing guys in spots that not a lot of people are trying to exploit; and, if said players are cheap, all the better. But where would you find such a list of undervalued and overlooked assets for Week 8 of the NFL season? Does such a magical tool even exist?
I’ve got you covered, friend. Search no longer.
DEREK CARR, QB, OAK AT HOU, $5,000
Last season, the Texans were sort of secretly terrible defending the pass. The stats didn’t really show it, as meetings with Blaine Gabbert, Nathan Peterman and Brock Osweiler padded the numbers, but when any half-decent quarterback took the field against this unit, he shredded them.
Jump forward in time to 2019 and there’s no such run of QB luck to hide the terribleness that is Houston’s secondary. Only two teams have surrendered more passing yards per contest than the Texans (294.6), while no AFC squad has seen opponents score a higher percentage of their touchdowns through the air (83.3%). Additionally, Houston recently has dealt with a myriad of injuries, including the likes of corners Jonathan Joseph, Bradley Roby and Phillip Gaines. It’s starting to become clear why the past three pivots that’ve had the pleasure of squaring off with this defense have averaged 29.4 DKFP, isn’t it?
Carr doesn’t always present the highest ceiling in the world; however, in a plus matchup, armed with the NFL’s highest adjusted completion rate (84.2%), I believe he has a chance to thrive this weekend.
JAMES WHITE, RB, NE VS. CLE, $5,100
Attempting to figure out how Bill Belichick will utilize his running backs is usually a fruitless endeavor, but I just have a feeling White’s going to find the end zone this Sunday against the Browns. He simply is seeing too much volume for it not to happen at some point. Going back to the beginning of Week 4, no running back has garnered more targets than White (34), while the lone skill-position player with more receptions is Michael Thomas.
It’s not as if all this work is being done between the 20s, either. In his past two contests alone, White’s received seven touches in the red zone, with an eighth opportunity actually resulting in a touchdown run negated by penalty in New England’s recent win over the Jets.
On top of all that, Cleveland’s been pretty charitable to opposing backfields in the passing game, conceding 7.2 yards per target to the position — the fifth-highest mark in all of football through seven weeks. You’ll have to keep an eye on the health of Rex Burkhead ($4,300) as we inch closer to Sunday afternoon, but White presents a nice mix of floor and ceiling in the mid-tier at running back.
COREY DAVIS, WR, TEN VS. TB, $4,400
Davis has remained one of the more disappointing aspects of the 2017 Draft class, yet his fantasy prospects seemingly have been resurrected with the presence of … [checks notes] … Ryan Tannehill ($5,100)?
Sure, it’s not exactly getting traded to the Chiefs, but Davis clearly had not been benefitting from his partnership with Marcus Mariota, so any change is a welcomed change in this scenario. His first full game with Tannehill behind center went about as well as you could’ve hoped, too. Davis caught six passes for 80 yards and a touchdown in the Titans’ 23-20 victory over the Chargers. Counting that performance with Tannehill’s mop-up duty in Week 6 versus the Broncos, the quarterback’s targeted Davis on a respectable 24.4% of his 45 attempted passes in 2019. If that level of volume carries over into this coming Sunday, Davis should have little trouble being fantasy viable once again.
Tampa Bay’s been susceptible through the air all season long, owning the 25th-ranked pass defense according to DVOA. The Buccaneers are also the league’s only team allowing opposing wideouts to average 200-plus yards per game.
TYLER EIFERT, TE, CIN VS. LAR, $2,800
Like most “value” plays at tight end, using Eifert in Week 8 against the Rams could go horribly. The Bengals have the second-lowest implied point total on the main slate and they’ve looked anemic on offense for the past month or so. Still, there are some reasons to be intrigued by the Notre Dame product. Whether it be due to game flow, play-calling inclination, or its complete inability to run the football, Cincinnati has the highest passing rate of any team in the NFL at 70.8%. This has equated into Eifert running 160 routes to this point in the season, despite playing only 41.1% of the Bengals’ offensive snaps.
More tantalizing has been Los Angeles’ struggles with TEs the past four weeks. Within that span of time, the Rams have given up an NFC-high 12.7 yards per target to the position, while surrendering an average of 15.3 DKFP to the top tight end on the teams they’ve faced. Eifert’s days as a consistently viable fantasy piece seem long behind him, but he will have an opportunity to shine this weekend in London.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is theglt13) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.