Week 4 was a wacky week in fantasy football that featured the Raiders’ first win of the season, the Redskins making a change at QB, the Ravens getting rolled over by the Browns and the Bucs blasting the Rams after losing to the Giants last week. Even the usually-reliable Patrick Mahomes ($7,500) and Tom Brady ($6,600) totaled zero touchdowns despite leading their teams to narrow road victories. The surprising results also had some surprising stars who stepped up and delivered major production for their fantasy owners.
Should you count on any of Week 4’s breakout performers moving forward or were they just one-week flukes? Let’s take a look at each performance, how it happened and what to expect moving forward.
RB Nick Chubb, CLE at BAL, $6,400 — 42.3 DKFPChubb led the Browns to a massive 40-25 win on the road in Baltimore to level their record at 2-2 on the season. Chubb finished with 165 yards and three touchdowns on 20 carries and also hauled in 3-of-4 targets for 18 more yards. Chubb had this massive game even though Dontrell Hilliard ($3,500) vultured one short touchdown late. Jarvis Landry ($5,100) also went off for 27.7 DKFP before being injured, but Odell Beckham Jr. ($7,300) only had 4.0 DKFP in his worst game as a Brown.
Early in the season, Chubb has been the workhorse in the Cleveland offense with at least 17 carries and over 60 yards in each of the first four games. He has caught a few passes each game as well and showed he can break away for big plays with his 88-yard score in the fourth quarter this week. Eventually, he may lose carries to Kareem Hunt (suspension), but Hunt won’t be back until Week 10. The Browns head on the road to San Francisco on Monday Night Football next week before coming home to host the Seahawks before their bye week. Even though, those are less-than-ideal matchups, Chubb’s volume and production should keep him a viable top-tier RB.
RB Wayne Gallman Jr., NYG vs. WAS, $4,600 — 28.8 DKFPGallman carried the Giants to their second straight win under QB Daniel Jones ($5,300) while filling in for the injured Saquon Barkley (ankle). Gallman had a rushing touchdown and a receiving touchdown while piling up 63 yards on 18 carries and 55 more yards on six catches. Gallman did give up 10 carries to Jon Hilliman, but only trailed Sterling Shepard ($5,800) for the team lead in targets.
Before this big game, Gallman had only seven carries for 30 yards on the season and only three career touchdowns. Unfortunately for the Giants, they can’t play the Redskins every week. The next two weeks, New York has to host the Vikings and visit the Patriots, so things will get much tougher for Jones, Gallman and the G-men. While I like his upside, I’m not in on him as an elite play yet since I don’t think the Giants will be playing from ahead like they were this week.
TE Austin Hooper, ATL vs. TEN, $4,300 — 25.00 DKFPAfter inconsistent production the his first three seasons in the league, Hooper has stepped into a larger role so far this season for Matt Ryan ($5,900) and the Falcons. He hauled in 9-of-11 targets for 130 yards and has over 16 DKFP in three of four games this season. He had two touchdowns and 24.6 DKFP in Week 3 followed by this 25.0-DKFP performance against the Titans.
Hooper has been targeted at least six times in every game and has hauled in 28-of-33 for 307 total yards. The next two weeks he gets very favorable matchups against the Texans and Cardinals and should remain a top TE based on those favorable matchups and his increased volume.
QB Matthew Stafford, DET vs. KC, $5,500 — 24.44 DKFPStafford had one of the best QB performances of the week while almost leading his Lions to a huge win at home against the Chiefs. Even though he fell short, he threw for 291 yards and three touchdowns while adding 18 yards on the ground. Stafford’s Lions are 2-1-1 on the season and have a pair of important divisional games coming up.
Next week, Stafford and the Lions are off on their bye week before returning the following week against the Packers on Monday Night Football. Green Bay’s defense has been solid this season and will be hyped to try and take control of their division. The following week, Stafford has another tough matchup against the Vikings. While he has shown good games are possible, today’s total is propped up by three touchdowns against an iffy Chiefs secondary. He only reached 300 yards in Week 1 with a whole overtime against the Cardinals, while averaging just 246 yards per game in his other three games. With a pair of defensive struggles on the horizon, I’m going to stay away from Stafford until his schedule gets easier with matchups against the Giants and Raiders in Weeks 8 and 9.
WR A.J. Brown, TEN at ATL, $3,700 — 24.4 DKFPAs the Titans went into Atlanta and upset the Falcons, Brown hauled in all three passes thrown his way for 94 yards and a pair of touchdowns. He showed breakaway speed on a 55-yard touchdown in the first quarter and added another score from 11 yards out later in the quarter.
The Titans joined a logjam of 2-2 teams in the AFC South with the win, but their offense is still built around RB Derrick Henry ($6,300). Tennessee wants to pass as little as possible and hasn’t supported a reliable fantasy WR in many seasons. In fact, only three players have had over 1,000 yards for the Titans since 2005 and one of those was TE Delanie Walker ($4,800). Brown only has 17 targets all season and likely won’t get enough volume to be anything more than a boom-or-bust play in GPP contests.
TE Will Dissly, SEA at ARI, $3,600 — 18.7 DKFPDissly has emerged this season as a key part of the Seahawks’ passing game. He hauled in his fourth touchdown in the past three weeks as Seattle rolled past the Cardinals, 27-10. Dissly had a team-high eight targets and he hauled in seven catches for 57 yards and a touchdown.
The Seahawks have another divisional game as they host the Rams for what should be a wild Thursday Night Football contest before visiting the Browns in Week 6. Both games should be relatively high scoring and the Seahawks will have to let Russell Wilson ($6,100) air it out a bit. As a red zone threat and a high-volume target, Dissly will remain a good play as will anyone playing the Cardinals who continue to allow big games to opposing TE on a weekly basis.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Z.Thompson) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.