Patrick Mahomes

Even with Thanksgiving moving three games to Thursday, the Week 13 main slate features 11 games, which is the second week in a row we’ve had 22 teams scheduled for action Sunday afternoon. The Lions, Bears, Cowboys, Bills, Falcons and Saints will be helping us through Turkey Day while the Patriots visit the Texans on Sunday Night Football and the Vikings visit Seattle on Monday Night Football. There are no teams on byes this week, as we start the five-week push to the playoffs with every team in action every week.

As you put together your lineup for this week, it’s crucial to have all the latest lineup and injury news. Make sure you’re following @DKLive for every update throughout the week and check out live.draftkings.com for all the latest news and analysis. I’m stepping in this week for @JulianEdlow, so feel free to reach out on Twitter with any comments or questions @ZT_sports and check out my usual weekly post where I highlight the best plays at the bargain end of the salary spectrum.

All lines and odds are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.

Quarterbacks

Expensive

Patrick Mahomes, KC vs. OAK ($7,400)

Mahomes had a down day in Mexico City before the bye week but gets a tasty matchup against the Raiders in Kansas City. Remember, Oakland was just shredded by Sam Darnold ($6,100) and the Jets last week and has been in the top 10 best matchups for QBs most of the season. Mahomes racked up 443 yards, four touchdowns and 35.62 DKFP against them in Week 2, and that was without his top WR Tyreek Hill ($8,900; hamstring), who the Chiefs are hopeful will be ready to go after the bye.

Sam Darnold, NYJ at CIN ($6,100)

Darnold has been outstanding for the Jets during their three-game winning streak that started after a Week 9 embarrassment in Miami. In the three games since then, he has nine total touchdowns and just one interception while producing 21.7, 26.42 and 31.2 DKFP. He threw for over 300 yards for just the second time this season against the Raiders on Sunday and added his second rushing TD of the year on a designed QB run. Darnold gets a great matchup with the winless Bengals this week.

Value

Ryan Tannehill, TEN at IND ($5,700)

I’ve been on board the Tannehill train since he replaced an ineffective Marcus Mariota ($4,900) in Week 7. He is 4-1 in his five games since then and has at least 19 DKFP in each of those contests. He was the top QB in Week 12 going into Monday Night Football after putting up 33.36 DKFP against the Jaguars with 259 yards and two passing touchdowns along with two rushing touchdowns to go with 40 yards on seven carries. His ability to tack on some extra rushing numbers definitely helps, and his consistent production has the Titans tied with the Colts just one game back of the Texans in the AFC South.

Other value options: Nick Foles ($5,700), Kyle Allen ($5,500)


Running Backs

Expensive

Christian McCaffrey, CAR vs. WAS ($10,500)

McCaffrey keeps putting up insane numbers every week, and his salary has plateaued at $10.5K for the past four weeks in a row. Even a cupcake matchup against the Redskins didn’t bump it up any higher this week. Despite his lofty price tag, CMC has been delivering every week with over 29 DKFP in nine of his 11 games this season, with both down games coming against Tampa Bay. He had 34.3 DKFP against the Saints last week with another rushing and receiving touchdown with 133 rushing and receiving yards and nine catches. He has 20 catches over the past two weeks, which is enough to keep him fantasy relevant even when he isn’t finding the end zone multiple times. The Redskins rank just outside the top 10 in most generous defenses for opposing RBs, but McCaffrey is so dominant and so central to the Carolina offense that he makes sense every week if you can figure out how to pay up for him.

Josh Jacobs, OAK at KC ($6,900)

The formula for beating the Chiefs seems to be to run, run and run some more, and Jacobs could be primed for a heavy workload as a result. He had 99 yards on just 12 carries back in Week 2 against Kansas City. He had a brutal week along with the rest of the Raiders’ offense in New York against the Jets, managing just 4.6 DKFP. He had been on a very nice run prior to that letdown, though, with more than 17 DKFP in five of his previous six weeks. Jacobs had 20-plus carries and over 100 yards in Week 11 against Cincinnati, Week 9 against the Lions and Week 7 against the Packers, and Oakland will likely try a similar game script to knock off their division rivals this week.

Value

Darrel Williams, KC vs. OAK ($4,400)

Williams could be the lead back for the Chiefs depending on the health of Damien Williams ($4,800; ribs) and LeSean McCoy ($4,800; concussion), who were both forced to leave the Chiefs’ game last Monday night. Williams had 12.3 DKFP in that contest by taking a team-high 11 carries for 35 yards with a touchdown. He had good games earlier this season when given more work, totaling 15.9 DKFP against the Ravens and 19.6 DKFP against the Lions. Watch the Chiefs’ injury reports closely and grab Williams if he looks ready for an increased workload

Other value options: Ronald Jones II ($5,100), Phillip Lindsay ($5,000), Benny Snell Jr. ($4,700), Patrick Laird ($3,200)


Wide Receivers

Expensive

Davante Adams, GB at NYG ($7,000)

A long layoff in the middle of the season has caused Adams to fall off the radar to an extent, but he continues to be extremely heavily utilized by Aaron Rodgers ($6,500) and the Packers. He only had 43 yards against the 49ers on Sunday Night Football, but got into the end zone and finished with 19.3 DKFP. He has double-digit targets in each of his past four contests and should find much more room to produce big numbers against the Giants’ beatable secondary.

D.J. Moore, CAR vs. WAS ($6,800)

Moore has become the go-to option in the Panthers’ offense and had a memorable game on Sunday despite playing through an elbow injury that seemed to bother him after every catch, but not prevent him from continuing to make plays all over the field. He finished with six catches on nine targets for 126 yards, two touchdowns and 34.4 DKFP. He has over 100 yards and 20 DKFP in three of his past four games and has been targeted at least nine times in every game since Week 5. A cushy matchup with Washington should help him keep piling up points.

Value

Chris Conley, JAX vs. TB ($4,500)

The team facing the Buccaneers is usually worth a look since their pass defense is usually pretty generous, and this week it’s Conley and the Jaguars who need to bounce back from a bad loss to the Titans. Conley was targeted a season-high nine times in that game and finished with four catches for 49 yards and 8.9 DKFP. His role has been growing lately with at least seven targets in each of his past four games. He had 100-plus yards, a touchdown and 23.3 DKFP against the Jets in Week 8 and has a similar ceiling based on his matchup against Tampa Bay this week.

Other value options: DeVante Parker ($5,700), A.J. Brown ($5,300), James Washington ($5,000), Alex Erickson ($4,000)


Tight End

Expensive

Zach Ertz, PHI at MIA ($6,700)

Ertz is an obvious pick against the Dolphins, but that doesn’t mean he’s a wrong one. He has at least 11 targets and has converted them into at least 18 DFKP in each of his past three games. The Eagles have been decimated by injuries at WR, leaving Ertz with plenty of work to do in the passing game. The Dolphins are a great matchup for him to keep dominating as long as Carson Wentz ($5,800) is able to play through whatever injury he sustained to his throwing hand against the Seahawks.

Value

Jack Doyle, IND vs. TEN ($3,300)

After being held without a catch in Week 11, Doyle bounced back with three catches for 28 yards on Thursday Night Football against the Texans. He has at least three catches in every game he has played since Week 2 aside from that goose-egg against the Jags. He is involved enough to be a cheap option at TE with upside if he finds his way into the end zone as he has three times this season, resulting in double-digit DKFP each time. He could be in store for even more work with Eric Ebron (ankles) headed for injured reserve.

Other value options: Noah Fant ($3,700), Nick O’Leary ($3,200)


Defense/Special Teams

Expensive

Eagles D/ST at MIA ($3,600)

While the Eagles’ offense has been struggling the past few weeks, the defense has actually been playing pretty well, holding the Patriots and Seahawks to 17 points each to run their streak of games with under 20 points allowed to four in a row. The Philly D had 11 DKFP against the Seahawks, forcing a pair of turnovers and picking up six sacks. The Dolphins have been a great matchup for opposing defenses all season, and the Eagles need to win to keep their playoff hopes alive, so look for them to keep leaning heavily on an aggressive play-making unit.

Value

Chiefs D/ST vs. OAK ($2,700)

The Chiefs D is a boom-or-bust play, but did force four picks against the Chargers last Monday night and are coming off a bye as they host the Raiders, who looked awful against the Jets in Week 12. Kansas City had 11 DKFP against the Raiders in Oakland in Week 2 and will be a great value play if they can match or exceed that total at home in the rematch.


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.