The Week 11 NFL main slate features 11 games, and the standout plays at each position are starting to take on some pretty lofty price points. Hopefully we’ll find the value to afford them, but there are a lot of teams we often target that are off the main slate. The Packers, Seahawks, Titans and Giants are on bye this week. The primetime games will be Steelers vs. Browns (TNF), Bears vs. Rams (SNF) and Chiefs vs. Chargers (MNF).
It’s crucial to have all the latest lineup and injury news when constructing your lineups. Make sure you’re following @DKLive for every update, and also feel free to hit me up on Twitter with any comments or questions — @JulianEdlow.
All lines and odds are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.
Lamar Jackson, BAL vs. HOU ($7,700)
Jackson’s about as safe of a QB play as you could ask for, rushing for at least 60 yards and a touchdown in four straight weeks. The Texans rank just 26th in DKFP allowed to QBs, and while they’re coming off the bye, teams haven’t performed well this season coming off a London game (even with the bye week to recover). With Patrick Mahomes off the main slate, Jackson’s worth paying up for in cash games.
Drew Brees, NO at TB ($6,900)
Brees is in the most favorable matchup, facing a Tampa Bay defense that gets shredded through the air on a weekly basis. The Bucs rank dead last in DKFP allowed, and Brees is a little underpriced because he’s coming off such a dud against the Falcons. This feels like a great get-right spot for Brees, who’s dominated the other two full games he’s played this year.
Kyle Allen, CAR vs. ATL ($5,300)
The Falcons are coming off a tremendous defensive performance, shutting down Brees and the Saints on the road, but we can’t overreact to one game. The body of work still tells us Atlanta has one of the softest pass defenses in the NFL, so targeting a cheap QB play at home against it makes a lot of sense. The Falcons rank 23rd in DKFP allowed to QBs.
Other value options: Derek Carr ($6,100), Nick Foles ($5,600)
Christian McCaffrey, CAR vs. ATL ($10,500)
Take out the two games against Tampa Bay, and CMC has scored at least 29 DKFP in every game this season. I actually am surprised his salary leveled off at $10,500, rather than continue to rise. He gets 25-plus touches every week and is the safest overall play on the board. The matchup against Atlanta isn’t as lucrative as it was last season, but no matchup should keep you from playing CMC.
Josh Jacobs, OAK vs. CIN ($6,900)
There are other RB plays worth paying up for, but Jacobs finds himself in the mid-priced range and is worth mentioning. Jacobs has been a high-upside, workhorse RB all season and finally gets a perfect matchup. The rookie went off for 27 DKFP in a similar matchup against Detroit recently, posting a 28-120-2 line on the ground. That type of workload is conceivable again, facing a defense that ranks 28th in DKFP allowed to RBs.
Brian Hill, ATL at CAR ($4,800)
Devonta Freeman (foot) and Ito Smith (neck) are out, which leaves Hill as the featured RB. Even with Freeman getting 13 touches before going down in New Orleans, Hill managed to rack up 21 touches himself. The game script set up perfectly, with the Falcons maintaining an unexpected lead throughout the entire game, but it’s a good matchup against Carolina, which ranks 29th in DKFP allowed to RBs. Hill’s played well when given opportunities in preseason.
Other value options: Ronald Jones ($5,200), Sony Michel ($4,900), J.D. McKissic ($4,600), Kalen Ballage ($4,300)
Michael Thomas, NO at TB ($9,900)
Thomas is the CMC of the WR position. He’s as consistent as it gets, averaging more than 25 DKFP and a lock for double-digit targets. His salary takes a massive $1,600 leap and is $100 shy of the most expensive WR we’ve seen in Classic Mode. Thomas is worth every penny, though, especially in a matchup against Tampa Bay. The Bucs have allowed the second-most DKFP to WRs this season, and Thomas went for 44 DKFP against them the first time around in Week 5.
Julian Edelman, NE at PHI ($7,600)
There’s a massive $1,800 gap between Thomas and DeAndre Hopkins ($8,100), who’s the next highest priced WR. Hopkins and Amari Cooper both set up as solid plays, but Edelman could be in a slightly more favorable spot. New England’s running game hasn’t been anything special, and the strength of Philly’s defense has been stopping the run. The Eagles are far more weak in the secondary, which is where the Patriots can pick them apart. Edelman should see his usual double-digit targets and has one of the safest floors of any WR.
D.J. Moore, CAR vs. ATL ($5,900)
Moore has evolved into the go-to guy in Carolina’s passing game, getting targeted eight or more times in five straight games. He’s topped 15 DKFP in four of those five games without even making a trip to the end zone. Moore’s improved during the streak, too, bringing in 16-of-21 targets for 221 yards in the past two games. He’s in a tremendous spot here against the Falcons.
Other value options: Jamison Crowder ($5,700), Marquise Brown ($5,600), Tyler Boyd ($5,200), Ted Ginn Jr. ($4,100)
Jared Cook, NO at TB ($4,400)
If George Kittle ($7,000) is healthy, he makes sense to pay up for. Arizona allows the most DKFP to TEs, and Kittle scored 20 DKFP against them in the game he got hurt. Cook is a nice alternative, though, and is cheap for a TE playing as large a role as he is. Cook’s averaging more than 13 DKFP over his past three games and gets the Tampa matchup we keep hammering.
O.J. Howard, TB vs. NO ($3,600)
Howard returned from the dead last week, bringing in 4-of-7 targets for 47 yards and a touchdown. It was Howard’s first game since Week 6, but he’d hardly been involved in the Bucs’ offense leading up to then. It seems like they might be making an effort to get Howard the ball more now that he’s healthy and off the trade block.
Other value options: Mike Gesicki ($3,500), Ryan Griffin ($2,900)
Patriots D/ST at PHI ($3,500)
The Patriots finally had a bad game on defense, but Lamar Jackson’s a special talent. New England’s had the bye week to prepare for an average Eagles team and should come out much more sharp. Look for the D/ST to play more like it did the first eight weeks, averaging more than 20 DKFP in those games.
Dolphins D/ST vs. BUF ($2,500)
The Dolphins might not actually be that bad … the D/ST has totaled 19 DKFP over the past two weeks and gets to play at home against a pretty lackluster Buffalo offense. Dolphins D/ST is actually a safe value.
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