Josh Allen

Week 7 is in the books and it will forever be known as the week David Johnson ghosted us all. If you were able to avoid that disaster, count your blessings. Week 8 brings a 12-game slate with only two teams on a bye, being the Ravens and Cowboys. Let’s jump into all the information for this week and as always, you can reach me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.


Game Notes

Highest Scoring Game

OAK vs. HOU (-6.5) – 51 points
The Raiders enter this game with a 3-3 record against the spread and a 4-2 record with hitting the over on their game totals. As for the Texans, they sit with a 4-3 record ATS and on the over/under.

The Texans are favored for the third time this season and sport an overall 2-1 record in that scenario and a 1-2 record ATS. They face a Raiders team that’s allowing 27.5 points per game, the fourth-highest in the league. It puts Deshaun Watson ($7,100) in a great position, especially when he’s the second-most expensive QB on the slate. The Raiders allow an average of 24.7 DKFP, 301 passing yards and 16 touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks, all of which are amongst the highest in the league. The Texans will be operating without Will Fuller, who is out multiple weeks with a hamstring injury. Fuller hasn’t been off the field much this season but Keke Coutee ($4,100) has seen a massive 40% target share when that happened. That will obviously come down as we move along but it’s worth noting his potential usage on the week ahead. DeAndre Hopkins ($8,100) should be a popular target as the Raiders have allowed an average of 185 yards and five touchdowns to opposing receivers over the last three weeks.

The Raiders as underdogs have an overall 3-3 record both in win/loss and ATS. They’re coming off a 42-24 blowout against the Packers, who were really banged up at receiver. The only positive to come out of that game was Darren Waller ($4,700) finally finding the end zone not only once but twice. He caught seven of his eight targets for 126 yards and 34.6 DKFP. He continues to be the go-to option should be fed against the Texans, who have been very tough against tight ends. Allowing an average of 9.4 DKFP per game, they did just allow seven catches for 91 yards and a touchdown to the Colts. If the Raiders can get Josh Jacobs ($5,800) going in the passing game, the Texans have allowed the most receiving yards to opposing backs, allowing an average of 61 per game.


Lowest Scoring Game

NYJ vs. JAX (-6.5) – 40.5 points
The Jets are one of the worst teams against the spread with a 2-4 record while sporting the same with hitting the over. The Jaguars have a 4-3 record against the spread but only a 3-4 record on the over.

The consensus on the Jets couldn’t be any lower after the embarrassing performance against the Patriots on Monday night. When all was said and done, Sam Darnold ($5,500) ended with -1.66 fantasy points completing 11-of-24 pass attempts for 86 yards, no touchdowns and four interceptions. Any defense aside from the Patriots provides a bounce-back spot but the Jaguars have hovered around league average against QBs. They’ve allowed an average of 19.4 DKFP, 263 passing yards and nine touchdowns. I’m not crazy about playing any Jets with the exception of Le’Veon Bell ($6,900).

The Jaguars are 1-1 overall and against the spread when favored this season. Leonard Fournette ($7,800) was a very popular play last week and that should be the same in Week 8. The Jets are allowing an average of 28.6 DKFP, 78.5 rushing yards and 56 receiving yards. The eight rushing touchdowns is the highest in the league, thanks in part to the Patriots scoring three of those on Monday. As is the same with Bell, Fournette is the only play on the Jaguars I’m looking to take in Week 8.


DvP Matchups

Worst QB Matchups

QB, OPP, DvP Rank
Cleveland Browns, New England Patriots, 1st
Carolina Panthers, San Francisco 49ers, 2nd
Philadelphia Eagles, Buffalo Bills, 3rd QB, OPP, DvP Rank

Best QB Matchups

QB, OPP, DvP Rank
Seattle Seahawks, Atlanta Falcons, 32nd
New Orleans Saints, Arizona Cardinals, 31st
Oakland Raiders, Houston Texans, 30th


Worst RB Matchups

RB, OPP, DvP Rank
Carolina Panthers, San Francisco 49ers, 1st
Cleveland Browns, New England Patriots, 2nd
Tennessee Titans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 3rd

Best RB Matchups

RB, OPP, DvP Rank
Los Angeles Rams, Cincinnati Bengals, 32nd
Detroit Lions, New York Giants, 30th
New York Giants, Detroit Lions, 28th


Worst WR Matchups

WR, OPP, DvP Rank
Cleveland Browns, New England Patriots, 1st
Carolina Panthers, San Francisco 49ers, 2nd
Indianapolis Colts, Denver Broncos, 3rd

Best WR Matchups

WR, OPP, DvP Rank
Buffalo Bills, Philadelphia Eagles, 32nd
Tennessee Titans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 31st
Oakland Raiders, Houston Texans, 30th


Worst TE Matchups

TE, OPP, DvP Rank
Cleveland Browns, New England Patriots, 1st
Philadelphia Eagles, Buffalo Bills, 2nd
Carolina Panthers, San Francisco 49ers, 3rd

Best TE Matchups

TE, OPP, DvP Rank
New Orleans Saints, Arizona Cardinals, 32nd
Tennessee Titans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 31st
Atlanta Falcons, Seattle Seahawks, 29th


Target Report

Last Week’s Leaders

Name, Team, Last Week’s OPP, Targets
Allen Robinson, CHI, NO, 16
Tyler Boyd, CIN, JAX, 14
Alex Erickson, CIN, JAX, 14
Marvin Jones, DET, MIN, 13
DeAndre Hopkins, HOU, IND, 12
Julian Edelman, NE, NYJ, 12
Tarik Cohen, CHI, NO, 12
Golden Tate, NYG, ARI, 11
Danny Amendola, DET, MIN, 11
T.Y. Hilton, IND, HOU, 11


Last Three Week’s Leaders

Name, Team, Last Three Week’s Total, Avg. Targets
Julian Edelman, NEP, 36, 9.7
Michael Thomas, NO, 36, 11.1
Tyler Boyd, CIN, 35, 10.6
DeAndre Hopkins, HOU, 32, 9.7
Cooper Kupp, LAR, 31, 11
Mike Williams, LAC, 29, 7.3
Dede Westbrook, JAX, 28, 7.7
Austin Ekeler, LAC, 28, 7.6
Gerald Everett, LAR, 26, 5.9
Golden Tate, NYG, 26, 8.7


Lineup Quick Hits

QB To Build Lineups Around…

Josh Allen, BUF vs. PHI ($6,500) – It’s really hard to not want to pick on the Eagles secondary. Allen is one of the only real mobile quarterbacks on this slate with Lamar Jackson on a bye and Kyler Murray ($6,200) potentially facing a lot of pressure against a very strong Saints DL. Allen has one of the softest matchups on the slate against an Eagles team that’s allowing an average of 24.4 DKFP, 287 passing yards and 14 touchdowns to opposing QBs. With so many players I want to pay up for on this slate, a $6,500 Allen and the receiver to stack him with makes for an affordable pairing with some good upside.


WR To Pair Him With…

John Brown, BUF vs. PHI ($5,900) – Brown had a solid showing against the Dolphins, catching five of his six targets for 83 yards and a touchdown, good for 19.3 DKFP against the Dolphins. Now, he draws an even better matchup against the Eagles, who have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing receivers by a long shot. The 224.3 is 25.4 points more than the Texans, who are second in the league. Brown should see Jalen Mills in coverage, who played in his first game against the Cowboys. He picked up where he left off last season and allowed six catches on eight targets for 74 yards. Quite the “upgrade” for this Eagles secondary, right? Allen and Brown run you for a combined $12,400, leaving you with an average of just under $5,400 for the rest of your roster.


The Top RB Will Be…

Todd Gurley, LAR vs. CIN ($7,400) – It’s been a long time since I’ve wanted to get a lot of Gurley in my lineup but here we are for Week 8. He faces that pathetic Bengals run defense that has simply been decimated on the ground. The 190.6 fantasy points allowed are 30.9 more than the Giants, who rank second in points allowed. Opposing backs are averaging 126 rushing yards, 57 receiving yards and 10 total touchdowns. Gurley is good for double-digit carries and in a game where the Rams are favored by -12.5, they should easily pick up plenty of yardage.


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