August is right around the corner. With it comes the best time of the year, at least for football fans. But you don’t have to wait another month to get in on some NFL action. The DK Sportsbook just released a new market for Super Bowl futures bets, let’s take a look:
NFL 2019-20 Championship Winning Division– AFC West: +440
– AFC East: +550
– NFC South: +550
– NFC West: +575
– AFC North: +625
– NFC North: +625
– NFC East: +650
– AFC South: +675
Note: All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook
Historically, the top two divisions have been the AFC East and NFC East. Both have separately amassed 21 Super Bowl appearances, with the NFC East winning 13 and the AFC East at nine. Furthermore, over the past 10 seasons, the two East divisions lead their conferences in Super Bowl wins regardless of the NFC West and NFC South having more appearances than the NFC East.
Now, do I really think past championships matter? Yes and no. Yes if an experienced team and proven winner like the New England Patriots make the big game. But mainly no, because every season is different, and you never know which team will live up to expectations or fall miserably short.
Instead, I’d prefer to look at the odds for specific teams to win the Super Bowl and apply it to the division. For instance, the AFC West (Kansas City Chiefs at +850 and Los Angeles Chargers at +1600) and the NFC North (Chicago Bears at +1800 and Green Bay Packers at +2000) are the only divisions with two teams in the top-10 for shortest odds to win. So, while the Patriots (+700) have the shortest odds of any team to lift the Lombardi Trophy (again,) you’d essentially be betting on them to win if you pick the AFC East. Unless you REALLY think that the Jets (+5000), Bills (+10000) or Dolphins (+15000) can win it all.
All signs (and odds) point to the AFC West being the safest bet, but it’s not my favorite. I have a hard time putting stock in a team that gives up a 25-plus points per game (Chiefs) or a Philip Rivers-led offense (Chargers). I keep falling back to the NFC North. As mentioned earlier, it has two teams in the top-10 for shortest odds to win the Super Bowl. And when it comes to the NFL, I believe two aspects give you the best shot at being champs: an insanely solid defense (Da Bears) or a quarterback who’s a proven winner (Aaron “Can’t-Chug-A-Beer” Rodgers) The Packers’ defense has vastly improved from last season. Pair that with a new head coach and things are looking much better for Green Bay. And let’s not forget, the Bears were literally inches away from a first-round playoff win last season. They would’ve then played the Rams, whom they beat in the regular season 15-6. Mitchell Trubisky may not be an elite QB right now, but he showed promise last season. I think both teams have the potential for a deep run in the playoffs.
Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.
Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.