Pascal Siakam

Thursday brings four games in the NBA, including a rematch of last year’s finals with the Warriors hosting the Raptors. Both teams look very different this season, especially the Warriors with all of their injuries. This matchup will also be the featured Showdown contest, so let’s discuss how things might play out for both sides.

Note: All salaries will be Flex prices unless noted as Captain’s Pick prices.


CAPTAIN OPTIONS TO CONSIDER


Set your lineups here: NBA Showdown $60K Pull Up Jumper [$15K to 1st]


FIVE BETTING TRENDS

— The road team has won each of the last fives between the Raptors and Warriors.

–The underdogs have covered the spread in nine of the last 10 games between the Raptors and Warriors.

— Ten of the Raptors’ last 13 road games have gone OVER the total points line.

— Kyle Lowry has scored the first basket in three of the Raptors’ last four road games against the Warriors.

— Pascal Siakam has scored 33-plus points in each of the Raptors’ last four games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.

Stats provided by DraftKings Sportsbook


SHOWDOWN STRATEGY

Raptors

It’s important to note that the Raptors have two key injuries that could have a significant impact on this game. Fred VanVleet ($7,000) and Serge Ibaka ($6,000) have both missed three straight games with injuries and are listed as questionable for this contest. If they both sit, this game has a chance to be more competitive, which could help the likes of Pascal Siakam ($10,600) and Kyle Lowry ($9,600). Even if they do return, Siakam and Lowry both carry high floors and are excellent options. Both VanVleet and Ibaka would also be strong options if they take the floor, especially at their reasonable prices.

If VanVleet is out, then Norman Powell ($8,400) should get another start. He’s made the most of VanVleet being sidelined, scoring at least 34 DKFP in back-to-back contests. With that being said, most of his contributions come from the scoring column. That makes him risky at such an expensive price. Another player who has benefited from VanVleet and Ibaka being out is OG Anunoby ($7,600), who scored at least 31.3 DKFP in all three of those contests. While his contributions in the scoring column can fluctuate, his ability to provide rebounds and defensive stats makes him someone to consider if both players are ruled out again.

Should the Raptors not get Ibaka back here, then Chris Boucher ($5,200) and Rondae Hollis-Jefferson ($4,800) would likely see added playing time. Boucher is coming off of a whopping 45.9 DKFP against the Suns on Tuesday. The key was he logged 29 minutes compared to just eight for Hollis-Jefferson. Both players are risky, but rolling with Boucher might be the better option based on his higher upside. It should be noted, though, that Marc Gasol ($4,600) is also listed as questionable. If he returns, then avoiding both Boucher and Hollis-Jefferson might be wise. It’s also difficult to justify rolling with Gasol since he will likely be on a minutes limit. He hasn’t appeared in a game since the end of January and the Raptors are more concerned about him getting healthy for the playoffs than winning this game.

If this game gets out of hand early and VanVleet is out, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see Terence Davis ($3,400) gain some added playing time. He has scored at least 16.3 DKFP in four of his last six games and might be worth a dart throw in tournament play.


Warriors

The big news on the Warriors side is the return of Stephen Curry ($9,400), who has been out since October. Even though he was dealing with a hand injury that shouldn’t have impacted his conditioning, expect the Warriors to ease him back into action, especially since they have nothing left to play for. Considering his hefty price tag, this might not be the night to deploy him in your entry.

With the Warriors decimated by injuries, Andrew Wiggins ($9,200) has been the leader of their offense. He’s stepped up by scoring at least 42.3 DKFP in three straight games, but this might be a tough battle for him with the Raptors sporting the second-best defensive rating in the league. Curry could also take some shot attempts away from him. I won’t argue against passing on Wiggins when you make your lineup.

Another injury situation to keep an eye on is Draymond Green ($6,600), who is questionable after missing each of the last three games with a knee injury. Even if he is cleared to return, he could see limited playing time, making him an unappealing option. If he is out, that should mean even more playing time for Marquese Chriss ($7,200) and Eric Paschall ($6,800). Paschall is particularly intriguing since he has scored at least 30.3 DKFP in four straight games.

Two players who figure to be impacted the most by the return of Curry are Damion Lee ($6,200) and Jordan Poole ($5,800). Lee should still start at shooting guard, but Poole is looking at limited minutes off the bench. Avoiding both players could be a sound decision.

In terms of cheap players on the Warriors to have on your radar, Mychal Mulder ($4,600), Juan Toscano-Anderson ($3,800) and Dragan Bender ($4,000) are all intriguing. If Green is ruled out, the Warriors would be really thin up front with Kevon Looney (hip) also out. Bender has scored at least 23.8 DKFP in two of the last three games and just signed a second 10-day contract to remain with the team, so he could have another productive evening.


THE OUTCOME

Despite the energy that will come with the return of Curry, the Raptors are still the superior team and should win this game. With regards to the Captain’s Pick, I think this comes down to Siakam ($15,900 CP) and Lowry ($14,400 CP). I’d lean toward Siakam, especially if Ibaka is out for the Raptors and if Green is out for the Warriors.

Final Score: Toronto 115, Warriors 106

Set your lineups here: NBA Showdown $60K Pull Up Jumper [$15K to 1st]


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