Bradley Beal

Wednesday should bring plenty of fun in the NBA with nine games on the schedule. One of them is a matchup between two bad teams in the Trail Blazers and Wizards, but that game at least has the potential for plenty of offense. It’s also the featured Showdown contest, so let’s discuss how things might play out for both sides.

Note: All salaries will be Flex prices unless noted as Captain’s Pick prices.


BETS TO CONSIDER


Set your lineups here: NBA Showdown $60K Pull Up Jumper [$15K to 1st]


FIVE BETTING TRENDS

— The Trail Blazers have won 10 of their last 11 home games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.

— The road team has covered the spread in each of the last six games between the Wizards and Trail Blazers.

— Nine of the Wizards’ last 10 road games have gone OVER the total points line.

— Bradley Beal has scored 35-plus points in seven of the Wizards’ last nine road games.

— Hassan Whiteside has recorded 17-plus rebounds in five of the Trail Blazers’ last six home games.

Stats provided by DraftKings Sportsbook

SHOWDOWN STRATEGY

Wizards

The most expensive player on either team is Bradley Beal ($11,800), who is on an insane hot streak for the Wizards. He’s scored at least 50.8 DKFP in six straight games, averaging 41.5 points, 3.5 rebounds, 6.3 assists and 2.3 steals during that stretch. It is a bit concerning that he just played 39 minutes Tuesday, but his floor is still extremely high.

One of the more pleasant surprises for the Wizards this season has been Davis Bertans ($8,400), who has been lethal from behind the arc. He’s combined to make 14 3-pointers over his last two games and is averaging 3.6 three-pointers a night for the season. Although he doesn’t start, he receives enough playing time off the bench to make him a viable option against a Blazers team that has allowed the sixth-highest 3-point shooting percentage in the league.

The next tier of options after Bertans consists of Rui Hachimura ($7,400) and Shabazz Napier ($6,200). Although Napier is now starting at point guard, he’s scored 25.8 DKFP or fewer in four straight games. Meanwhile, Hachimura has scored at least 29.8 DKFP in two of his last three contests. With that being said, he provides very little in terms of assists and defensive stats, so he’s risky at his price.

With Napier now starting, Ish Smith ($5,000) has moved back to the bench. He’s logged 23 minutes or fewer in four straight games, which certainly limits his potential. If you’re looking for a Wizard in this price range, Thomas Bryant ($4,200) is a viable option, if he plays. He’s started both of the last two games, scoring 20.5 and 26 DKFP, respectively. He has dealt with a foot injury for much of the season, so there is a chance that he sits out what will be the second game of a back-to-back set. If he does, then both Mortiz Wagner ($2,600) and Ian Mahinmi ($1,200) could be worth a look in tournament play.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Thomas Bryant (foot) has been ruled out for tonight’s game. Ish Smith (hamstring) is doubtful.

As far as the rest of the cheap options on the Wizards go, don’t overlook Troy Brown Jr. ($3,200) and Jerome Robinson ($1,600). Robinson stands out if you’re going with a top-heavy lineup because he’s played at least 20 minutes in four straight games and scored at least 17 DKFP in three of those contests.


Trail Blazers

The Blazers could receive a much needed boost for this game with Damian Lillard ($11,200) listed as probable. He’s sat out each of their last six games, which resulted in four losses. The question is, will he be on a minute’s limit? The Blazers probably don’t need him to log a ton of time on the floor to defeat the Wizards at home, so deploying Lillard is an awfully risky strategy.

Four of the five most expensive players from this game are on the Blazers. With the Wizards allowing the most points per game in the league and the Blazers having so little depth, it should come as no surprise that most of their other starters are pricey. C.J. McCollum ($10,000) has been a monster with Lillard sidelined and should once again have a high floor in this game, even if Lillard does play. The same can be said for Hassan Whiteside ($11,000), who has scored at least 41.5 DKFP in eight of his last 10 games.

With how terrible the Wizards have been defensively, everyone on the Blazers feels at least somewhat appealing. However, if you want to avoid one of their expensive options, Carmelo Anthony ($9,200) might be best left out of your entry. He’s scored 25.3 DKFP or fewer in four straight games and is limited because of his lack of assists and defensive stats. McCollum is only $800 more and he carries a significantly higher upside.

After Anthony, it’s a significant drop in price to the next most expensive Blazer, who is none other than Trevor Ariza ($5,800). He can rack up steals, but his offensive upside is limited, especially if Lillard returns. Gary Trent Jr. ($5,200) would also likely see a decrease in shot attempts, as well as playing time, if Lillard suits up. Anfernee Simons ($2,400) wasn’t even to cash in when Lillard was out, scoring 19.5 DKFP or fewer in in each of the last five games. If there is one cheap option on the Blazers to possibly consider, it might be Caleb Swanigan ($1,400). He’ll really help out your budget and he’s scored at least 12.8 DKFP in three of the last four games.


THE OUTCOME

Even if Lillard doesn’t return, the Blazers should be able to win this game. As far as the Captain’s Pick goes, it’s difficult to argue against rolling with Beal ($17,700 CP). If you’re looking to fill out a more well-rounded lineup, McCollum ($15,000 CP) is also a great candidate.

Final Score: Trail Blazers 129, Wizards 118

Set your lineups here: NBA Showdown $60K Pull Up Jumper [$15K to 1st]


Favorite Prop Bet

Damian Lillard, 32.5 Points: Under (-106)

Yes, taking an under for points in a potentially high-scoring affair like this one is risky. However, Lillard might not jump right back in to his heavy minutes total, nor might the Blazers need him to. Given the favorable odds here, I’ll take a chance on the under.

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