Winning in tournaments requires getting not just good efforts from your roster, but some extra high point production. Sometimes this requires differentiation in roster and other times it’s just identifying the high-ceiling plays for the slate.
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For our purposes, we’re going to focus on the high-ceiling plays by position, and salary tier, for tonight’s games, a thick, eleven-game slate. These are plays that could go for about six times what their salary is. (Ex. $6,000 * 6 = 36DK points equals value.)
There are a couple of very attractive matchups and a mix of very fast and very slow teams out there and a lot of interesting players to go with, so let’s line em up! Ask any questions on Twitter @JasonWalker_72.
Russell Westbrook ($11,600) – Sure there’s a reasonable argument for someone else (Harden, Rondo, etc.), but who’s more fun and can dominate a tourney like Westbrook, especially when he is minus Durant. Just as a refresher, dating back to last season, Westbrook had a usage percentage of 42.1% without Durant on the court with him. 42 percent. Play him and enjoy the madness for a while.
Emmanuel Mudiay ($6,000) – Another very high usage guy who is finding way to score to augment his excellent peripheral game. Mudiay averages 17.2 DK points without any scoring points added in. The matchup is solid against the Rockets with a high number and Ty Lawson has done poorly at defending his position, as has the whole team.
Dennis Schröder ($4,400) – I really love The Umlaut when he’s starting without Jeff Teague on the floor, as having the both of them start together or play together only serves to mitigate each’s usage rates, but Dennis is priced at a point where even if he’s coming off the bench he’s hits the number and in a game with a diverse, pacy backcourt like Boston, they will need more of Dennis in this game.
LeBron James ($9,900) – The prices have risen for the top players like Westbrook, Harden, et al, so how is James, who is averaging 50 DK pts per game, still below 10K? I don’t know, but in a slight paced up game for the Cavs with his old friend Carmelo trying to defend him in the bright lights of MSG where the top players shine, I am good with playing him, even if others are focused on spending elsewhere in more attractive matchups.
Paul Millsap ($8,000) – Millsap is in the top 15 in the league in DraftKings Net Points (DKpts per 36 minutes – points per 36 minutes) designed to measure peripherals. Millsap gets a pace up game against Boston with a nice total of 205.5. Paul plays the most minutes of anyone in the Hawks rotation and has a tremendous floor. At 8K, with the talent on the slate, he’s easily passed up, but could provide a LeBron like point total for less cost.
Dwight Powell ($4,800) – So much here. One might look at Powell and say his run as a value is over and move on to someone else based on his last two games, low minute, low DK point efforts. But a closer look tells you that Powell, who seemed to struggle with foul trouble in college, was going to have his hands full with Anthony Davis and Blake Griffin, two of the highest free throw attempt per 100 possessions players in the game (3rd and 5th, respectively). Julius Randle isn’t that kind of prolific and Randle’s defensive rating is atrocious. Powell should see a solid min-20s minute game, if not higher based on a 209 game total, 102 possessions pace and the potential for blowout.
DeMarcus Cousins ($9,900) – OK, he’ll be a popular play, but if you are going to pay up at this position, it behooves you to go the distance and get the guy with with 1.50 DK points per minute rate, at home, against the guy who gives up 107 points per 100 possessions in Brook Lopez.
Dwight Howard ($7,400) – I loved Dwight Howard the last time out and love him again tonight. With folks paying up for Cousins, Howard may deliver the same amount of DK points in his matchup against the Nuggets, who have been without any defense up front since Joffrey Lauvergne went down with injury. Howard already has two 50+ DK games and ranks seventh in DK points per game and fifth in DK Net Points per game. He’s producing at his old 9K self and his salary isn’t reflecting it yet.
J.J. Hickson ($4,500) – One things that hasn’t returned to Dwight Howard is his ability to defend, as he has a personal defensive rating of 105 points per 100 possessions. Hickson has been brutal defensively, but he can score the basketball. He is averaging 1.11 DK points per minute and is in line for 30 minutes again tonight.