Winning in tournaments requires getting not just good efforts from your roster, but some extra high point production. Sometimes this requires differentiation in roster and other times it’s just identifying the high-ceiling plays for the slate.
Looking for more NBA content? Check out these other articles for tonight’s slate:
For our purposes, we’re going to focus on the high-ceiling plays by position, and salary tier, for tonight’s games, a seven-game slate. These are plays that could go for about six times what their salary is. (Ex. $6,000 * 6 = 36DK points equals value.)
There are a couple of very attractive matchups and a mix of very fast and very slow teams out there and a lot of interesting players to go with, so let’s line em up! Ask any questions on Twitter @JasonWalker_72.
John Wall ($9,000) – He’s a tourney play in THE highest total of the night at 218.5. Most PGs get worn out chasing Westbrook, but Wall may be above losing production. Wall is beyond just scoring, too, putting up the fifth highest DK Net Points (DK points – scoring points) so far this season. Play him at home and sleep like a baby.
Isaiah Thomas ($7,000) – Marcus Smart is doubtful, which means that Thomas is at the all-you-can-use possessions buffet. At 31+% Usage player, Thomas is forecasted to be in an above 200 game total, tight game with heavy minutes. He always has the big upside you’re looking for in tourneys, with a solid floor now to work with.
Jerryd Bayless ($4,500) – There will be a day in February when I remember how many times I rostered Bayless in November and I’ll chuckle at that notion. But now, with Michael-Carter Williams and O.J. Mayo out, again, Bayless is going to get minutes. He doesn’t always make good on them, but he won’t kill you with his floor and his ceiling is 40+ for 4.5K.
Anthony Davis ($10,700) – As I’ve mentioned before here, if you are looking for tourney picks, he’s the ultimate. The unbelievably high upside that can dominate a lineup and wash over the players that didn’t quite make it to the value line. Davis has a great matchup in Dallas, the game total (211) is terrific and the matchup is tight and at home. The Pelicans backcourt defense, or lack of it, should keep it close. While everyone is getting into the high side in Washington with the Thunder, roll on down to the Big Easy and get Davis.
Giannis Antetokounmpo ($7,300) – He’s a great tourney play because he’s priced a little higher than folks are used to paying for him, after a season of up and down minutes per game last year, he’s averaging 37 per game this year, Mayo and MCW are out, limiting his playing time comp, people respect Avery Bradley a little more than he deserves so far this season and the game is a tight one with a 201 number. Had enough?
Nemanja Bjelica ($4,500) – There should be some extra rest for the veterans after Monday night’s game in Atlanta so Bjelica might get more than his usual workload. He’s a fantastic shooter and has the size to grab a lot of boards. He’s also had games of 23.75, 43.75, 18.25 and 22.25, making him a nice lower cost option to get into some of the higher cost plays of the night.
Hassan Whiteside ($7,600) – Whiteside may be too chalky for this list, but I love his matchup against the Lakers. He’s a decent tourney option because folks might punt the center position altogether, given the paucity of high dollar options and a couple of solid value plays near the bottom. If they somehow go the distance and Whiteside gets 32-34 minutes, he’s a jackpot at this price.
Karl-Anthony Towns ($7,400) – He’s almost as much as Whiteside, so fewer people will be on him and he burned some folks last week. But he played like a giant and his impact on the game was obvious as the Wolves lost their mind, and a 34 point lead, with Towns spending time on the pine. In back to back games, the Wolves will have to lean on their youth, making Towns a strong play. Also, Al Jefferson, who you would think might cause problems with his post game, is only going to the line one time per 100 possessions this season, leaving Towns in a strong position. Oh, one more thing, the Hornets, despite playing at a very slow pace, still misses the seventh most shots per game in the league. With a pace-up game for them, Towns will have a pool of rebounds to go get.
Steven Adams ($3,700) – Adams plays over Enes Kanter because he’s ten points per 100 possessions better than Kanter defensively. At 3.7K, he’ll be a popular punt play in what is, by far, the highest total of the night (218.5). With the Wizards going with Marcin Gortat, they’ll need Adams to defend. All he’ll need is between 21-22 DK point to make value. He should make that, and in doing so enable you to go after the high cost guys.