Winning in tournaments requires getting not just good efforts from your roster, but some extra high point production. Sometimes this requires differentiation in roster, and other times, it’s just identifying the high-ceiling plays for the slate.
For our purposes, we’re going to focus on the high-ceiling plays by position, and salary tier (top end, mid tier and low end), for tonight’s games, a sweetspot six-game slate. These are plays that could go for about, on average, six times what their salary is. (Ex. $6,000 * 6 = 36DK points equals value.)
Let’s line em up! Ask any questions on Twitter @JasonWalker_72.
Stephen Curry – GS vs. WAS – $10,500 – So many $10k-ish candidates on the slate tonight, but with the heavy spread (GS -13) and Westbrook popping a triple-double as often as Rice Krispies go snap-crackle-pop for $200 less, Curry could be, relative on a six-game slate, underowned. All Curry did the last time out against Washington was drop a 70-burger on the Wizards and John Wall. I’ll take it.
Reggie Jackson – DET vs. OKC – $5,800 – Jackson is at his lowest price of the season at $5.8k and has consistently led the Pistons in raw usage over the course of the season, and he is nearly 28% over the last 10 games. The matchup against OKC is neutral, and he has the revenge narrative working in his favor, for what value that is to you. It’s a 215.5 number, and there are plenty of sexier plays on the board, leaving Jackson a little ignored on the slate.
George Hill – IND vs. CHI – $4,700 – Come one, come all, step right up and take your shot at Derrick Rose, the man who has surrendered games 48 DK points to Jeff Teague, 37.75 to Elfrid Payton, 69 to John Wall, 64.25 to Kyle Lowry and 45.5 to Tony Parker. Now, in fairness, Hill is no John Wall, but he has excelled in positive spots like this one and is always low owned.
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Paul George – IND vs. CHI – $8,500 – With so many studs above him, PG13 can’t be highly owned if everyone tries to star/scrub it tonight. George has been good lately, averaging over 40 DKPPG over the last 10 games and getting the most usage of the Pacers, with a raw number of 30%.
Kevin Love – CLE vs. HOU – $6,800 – With LBJ sitting out, the focus will be on Kyrie Irving and his insane usage with James off the floor. But Kevin Love, while not having that kind of possession usage, puts up as many DK points as Irving, posting an average of 38 DKPPG per 36 minutes when James is not on the floor. Put that with the very plus matchup against the Rockets and Love is a nice value tonight.
Michael Beasley – HOU @ CLE – $4,600 – People have moved off the Beasley Train since he’s seemed to have peaked with the massive games, but hold on. His raw usage over the last 10 games is over 30% and he’s averaged 12.5 shots per game in his 21 minutes per game in that span. He’s still has 30-35 DK point upside in this matchup and has a nice matchup against Love or Richard Jefferson off the bench.
Pau Gasol – CHI @ IND – $7,200 – There could be fear of limited minutes on a back-to-back, but this is go-time for the Bulls, who now find themselves down 2.5 games to the Pistons for the final spot in the playoff hunt. This is not what Gasol signed up for when he chose the Bulls over the Hawks in free agency two summers ago. Even with his minutes-reduced, a $7.2K puts him in a great spot here, with 50 DK point upside in a must-win game.
Marcin Gortat – WAS @ GS – $6,600 – He will definitely be low owned tonight, even with the high total, as Andrew Bogut should lineup against him and Gortat and fast paced aren’t usually mutual narratives. But the Wizards need this like the Bulls do, and sitting Gortat isn’t usually an elixir for success. The Warriors have been a net positive matchup at center, so as long as Gortat plays his usual 30 minutes, he’ll be a solid, underowned play here.
Steven Adams – OKC @ DET – $3,700 – Drummond’s been a positive matchup and Adams has averaged 22 DKPPG over the last four games and scoring 27.75 thee last time these two teams met. With more dynamic options available at the position, Adams may go overlooked or the sexier upside of Enes Kanter at $4.7 may get more attention.