Winning in tournaments requires a nice mix of roster differentiation and high upside.
For our purposes, we’re going to focus on the high-ceiling plays by position, and salary tier (top end, mid tier and low end), for tonight’s games, a solid six-game slate. These are plays that could go for about, on average, six times what their salary is. (Ex. $6,000 * 6 = 36 DK points equals value.)
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Damian Lillard ($9,600) – He costs too much now. I don’t like his commercials. Um, that’s all I can come up with as far as reasons why one shouldn’t roster Lillard tonight. Some will go up to Curry, others will go down to the value section of PGs, but Lillard’s still rocking mid-30s usage and has a good matchup against the Knicks lousy defense tonight.
Kemba Walker ($7,700) – The Hornets have gone underground lately and since the arrival of Al Jefferson back into the lineup, there have been no eye popping stats. Walker is still getting solid usage and has the upside to exploit a bad, bad Suns team. His salary is still on the high side, which should scare some people off of him, but he should get his stats in a game that has the Hornets team total well above 100 points tonight.
Bojan Bogdanovic ($4,200) – He’s playing around 24 minutes per game, but has a usage rate around 20% when he’s on the court and gets one of the most offense-friendly defenses tonight in the Lakers. He’s a solid punt play, especially if everyone else is on Mario Hezonja for the Magic if Evan Fournier is out again.
Editor’s Note: Stephen Curry and Andre Iguodala have been announced as out for tonight’s game. Look for Shaun Livingston to see minutes in the high twenties. Leandro Barbosa could also see an increase in minutes off the bench. Finally, look for Klay Thompson and Draymond Green to pick up a bump in usage.
Draymond Green ($8,600) – He did get 60 against OKC, but most will still feel as if his salary is too high. He’s got a great matchup, at home, against the Hawks frontcourt which gives up rebound after rebounds to opposing teams. Green has been humbled by his halftime tirade against the Thunder and will be looking to prove himself again.
Kristaps Porzingis ($6,500) – Staps has been getting fewer minutes, but the Blazers matchup is a good one for him and his ownership has been much lower recently. He’s still averaging over a DKPPM, and the Blazers are giving up an additional five percent to his position.
Mike Dunleavy ($4,300)- He’s shown a surprisingly versatile game since getting back in the lineup and even though he’s sharing with Doug McDermott, he’s produced at least to value over his last three games, even at his current 4.3K. The matchup tonight, against Miami and, probably, Joe Johnson, gives him an edge as well.
More NBA Content for Tuesday Night
|Game Breakdown||Tournament Plays||NBA Sneak Peek|
|Player Targets||Top 5's by Position||Cheat Sheet|
Brook Lopez ($7,500) – I can’t decide if Lopez against the Lakers or Al Horford against the Warriors will be higher owned, but I’m guessing the high total of the Warriors/Hawks will draw folks over to Horford, especially considering his 70-burger against them in Atlanta last week. Lopez has a great matchup, the game is forecasted to be close, and there should be plenty of errant shots to chase down in this game, making a 40 DK point game very probable.
Robin Lopez ($5,800) – Why not two Lopez’s (Lopi)? Robin has seen increased involvement in the Knicks offense since Kurt Rambis took over and now he gets both a former team and a bad center defense in the Blazers. He’s averaged nearly 33 DKPPG over his last four and at 5.8K in a plus matchup, he’s a solid lower-cost center entry tonight.
Andrew Bogut ($4,400) – Bogut produces when he plays, and he plays more minutes against the likes of centers like Al Horford. Bogut played 29 minutes against Horford last week and scored 34.25 DK points in the process. The Hawks mercilessly attacked and produced when Bogut was out, so expect more of the same for Andrew tonight, which will be a great bargain at 4.4K.