In tournaments it’s vital to find plays that contain both upside and the potential to be overlooked by the public. Take two players that are priced at $8,100 and projected for similar output. If one is 33% drafted and the other is 5%, you want to take the 5% player every time. When he outscores the higher drafted player (which will happen often), you’re passing 27% of the field with that play. That’s a very good thing. Below are a few plays from tonight’s games that fit that mold.
Chris Paul ($9,200) – I expected Chris Paul to really step it up in the absence of Blake Griffin. For the most part, he has. It’s just been difficult to notice due to low minutes in several blowout games. The low production due to three quarters of minutes coupled with a 3 day rest should keep CP3’s ownership depressed. I expect him to play around 35 minutes tonight in a competitive game against Portland. He tends to get up for games against other top point guards and has done so often in the past against Damian. Ignore his quiet two games this season as he was playing hurt. He’s healthy now and primed to blow up tonight.
Devin Booker ($4,300) – Devin Booker is not much of a known commodity. Hell, he doesn’t even have a profile picture in his DraftKings popup. He’s also coming off a pedestrian game against the Lakers in which he scored 17 fp in 22 minutes. The two games prior, however, he played 39 and 42 minutes. The Suns have been a horrific since Eric Bledsoe went down, but they should get it together sooner or later. Bledsoe’s usage has to go somewhere. Booker is a prime candidate to step up. I like his chances to approach 35 minutes and exceed 30 fp in a close game tonight.
Andrew Wiggins ($6,400) – Ah, yes. I’ve been waiting for a great spot to recommend my namesake. I’m ecstatic to say it’s arrived. Denver provides an up-tempo sloppy game which is a great game environment for Wiggins. He’s been playing very well of late. I think many people will gravitate to Evan Turner ($5.6k) or Victor Oladipo ($5.8k) tonight so Wiggins provides a slightly unique price point. He’s a great target in tournaments.
T.J. Warren ($4,900) – You can copy my above blurb for Devin Booker and paste it in here. T.J. Warren is also coming off a dud after two very good games. I think he’s the other player that is most likely to fill the void left by Bledsoe. It’s possible the Suns will completely implode going forward, but I think they stabilize and a few guys have vastly increased value. Given the 3-point spread tonight, it appears to be a great spot to target these guys. I believe what we saw the two previous games is more indicative or what’s to come.
Aaron Gordon ($3,800) – Aaron Gordon is an incredibly explosive player. The fantasy community has been clamoring for him to get more minutes all season. It looks like he’s finally found a steady dose of mid-20’s minutes. I think he has a really good chance to earn more time as well. He’s just a better player than Channing Frye. Even at only play 25 minutes, he represents a great, albeit risky, value for 3.8k.
Ryan Anderson ($5,600) – Dallas had a double overtime win at home last night. Tonight they travel to New Orleans for what should be a tough back to back game. Their defense against power forwards is weak to begin with. I think it will crumble tonight. Ryan Anderson is always a solid tournament play because he’s liable to get hot at any time. He’s been solid lately so I don’t think there’s a ton of risk and he possesses unique upside with his 3 point shooting ability.
DeAndre Jordan ($7,800) – DeAndre Jordan shares a lot of the same attributes as Chris Paul. He’s been very good but it’s been mostly masked by blowouts. Tonight he gets a competitive game against a front court that has no shot of containing him. I like pairing him with Chris Paul and reaping the benefits of their relentless pick and roll.
Jeff Withey ($4,600) – Were it not for the 16-point spread and brutal matchup against the Spurs, I think Withey’s ownership would be sky high tonight. I’m banking on the Spurs affect keeping it low. It’s very likely this game will get out of hand, but due to lack of depth, Withey should play in a blowout. He’s been nothing short of a revelation since taking over for Favors. He’s simply underpriced for what he’s bringing to the table.