Winning in tournaments requires getting not just good efforts from your roster, but some extra high point production. Sometimes this requires differentiation in roster and other times it’s just identifying the high-ceiling plays for the slate.
For our purposes, we’re going to focus on the high-ceiling plays by position, and salary tier (top end, mid tier and low end), for tonight’s games, a surprisingly stout eight-game slate. These are plays that could go for about, on average, six times what their salary is. (Ex. $6,000 * 6 = 36DK points equals value.)
Let’s line em up! Ask any questions on Twitter @JasonWalker_72.
John Wall ($9,200) – Many will not forgive from last night (recency bias alert!) and Wall has struggled against the Raptors before this season. So why look at him in tournaments? No Bradley Beal means 30%+ usage from Wall in a high game total and a forecasted close game. Big time players can spike at any time, as long as they are healthy and Wall is.
C.J. McCollum ($7,300) – Too good to pass up here as the Kings are terrible against SG and should be a bit fatigued following last night’s double OT loss. McCollum has still been using close to 30% of possessions over the last 10 games with Damian Lillard. It’s a high game total and he and Lillard are going to be touching the ball a lot. Have to have him in my tourney lineups tonight.
Archie Goodwin ($4,500) – He’s going to be a chalk play in Philly tonight and while I loathe to play one of the most owned guys on the slate, as of now I don’t prefer any other value guards to him at this salary level. He’s going to play a lot of minutes, use a good bit of possessions and have a decent matchup here with a good game total.
Carmelo Anthony ($8,200) – It’s a surprisingly high game total, which tells that Vegas must feel Carmelo is in a good spot and is healthy enough to go to his regular minutes/effort tonight. He’s been getting good peripherals in January (19 DK Net Points per 36 minutes) and obviously can score. He’s in a spot against OKC where he could get to 50 DK points tonight and few will be wanting to roster with so many others on the slate.
Jabari Parker ($5,100) – Parker has been getting more minutes this month and has been delivering, although not consistently, scoring over 30 DK points in four of his last seven games. Parker has a positive matchup against the Magic in one of the two game totals under 200 tonight, so the game itself might be lightly targeted.
Aaron Gordon ($4,800) – Or you can work the other side and get Gordon, who has moved into the starting lineup and seen his usage rise and his DK Net Points (peripherals) rise as well, along with his minutes. Same theory applies that the game will be lower targeted due to game total and general lack of desire to target these teams.
Brook Lopez ($7,200) – An even less desirable game is the Nets/Heat, but Lopez may get some Amare Stoudemire defense tonight or Chris Bosh as a center. Either way, it’s sets up well for the unquestioned usage leader for the Nets and someone they can’t avoid if they plan on competing from night to night.
Robin Lopez ($5,100) – Without Steven Adams, the Thunder look uninterested in interior defense against opposing centers. Enes Kanter is no man’s defensive player of the year and Lopez, though not the post player or scorer his brother is in Brooklyn, can do damage if given the opportunity, which should happen quite a bit in a 209 game total and over 100 point implied team total for the Knicks.
Salah Mejri ($3,500) – May be a little higher owned that desired for tournaments but if Zaza Pachulia misses, then Majri gets to dine on a Lakers frontcourt that has been terrible at their jobs of defending the center position this season. Majri moves well without the ball, setting purposeful screens and diving to the hoop and shows shot blocker instincts and finishes strong at the rim.