We celebrate Martin Luther King, Jr. Day with a nine game slate. Games start at 2pm EST so make sure to get your lineups in before then. There are plenty of options to choose from today so let’s waste no time and jump right into some tournament plays for the day.
Chris Paul ($9,700) – Paul has seen a higher usage rate in Blake Griffins absence. In the last 10 games, he’s averaging 45.65 fantasy points per game. He has topped 49 fantasy points in four of the last five games. Both of these teams play paced up, so there should be plenty of points scored. The one game that Paul played against the Rockets, he finished with 12 points, 10 assists, seven steals, and 43.8 fantasy points. The Rockets are allowing 49 fantasy points per game to opposing point guards. Paul offers a safe floor and plenty of upside in this matchup.
Damian Lillard ($9,600) – Lillard has been playing lights out as of late and draws a great matchup today. Point guards have been posting up strong numbers against the Wizards in recent games. The Wizards surrender 49.1 fantasy points per game to point guards. Lillard has topped 52 fantasy points in four of the last five games. Washington plays paced up and struggles defensively, so there should be plenty of scoring opportunities for Lillard. Even at this price, Lillard has been able to 6X his salary multiple times in recent games.
Derrick Rose ($5,800) – Rose has topped 29 fantasy points in five of his last eight games. This includes a game against the Bucks where he left after playing just 22 minutes due to knee tendinitis. In two games against the Pistons this season, Rose has averaging 21 points, seven assists, and 34.3 fantasy points per game. In the last five games, the Pistons allowed 55.9 fantasy points per game to opposing point guards. At this price, Rose should not have any issues paying off his salary and even scoring 6X.
Paul Millsap ($8,200) – Millsap played well in his only game against the Magic this season. In that game he scored 13 points, blocked two shots, had two steals, and grabbed 13 boards. That performance was good enough for 42.3 fantasy points. The Magic are surrendering 21points, 9.8 rebounds, and 47.3 fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards. Millsap has displayed his 50+ point upside and offers a safe 40 fantasy point floor.
Kevin Love ($7,100) – This is a reasonable price for Love if you consider the potential pace of this game. The Warriors play at the second highest pace in this league and this should be a high scoring game. In his only game against the Warriors this season, Love scored 10 points, grabbed 18 boards, and sored 43.5 fantasy points. He needs 35.5 fantasy points to pay off his salary and has exceeded that in five of his last seven games.
Dirk Nowitzki ($6,400) – Dirk has topped 32 fantasy points in six straight games. He draws a nice matchup against the Celtics who give up the fifth most fantasy points per game to power forwards. The Celtics surrender 21.5 points, 12 rebounds, and 1.5 three pointers per game to power forwards. Dirk scored 23 points and grabbed seven boards in his last game against the Celtics. That performance was good for 34.8 fantasy points. He offers the upside to 6X his salary and worst case scenario, he should have no issue paying off his salary. He’s usually under owned despite being very consistent.
Andre Drummond ($8,900) – Drummond draws a great matchup against the Bulls who surrender the second most rebounds per game (46.5). They also allow the sixth most fantasy points per game to centers (50.8). Opposing centers average 20.2 points and 15.2 rebounds against the Bulls. In two games against the Bulls, Drummond is averaging 26.5 points, 20.5 rebounds, and 63.6 fantasy points per game. He offers the highest ceiling of all centers and in a matchup like this one, the floor is very high. He’s my top center play of the slate and one of the top plays in general.
Marc Gasol ($7,600) – This is a slate where playing two centers might make sense. Gasol has been up and down as of late, but is coming off of a big game against the Knicks and faces a team that he crushed in their last meeting. Gasol scored 38 points, grabbed 13 boards, dished out six dimes, and blocked four shots against the Pelicans the last time they faced off. That was good for 71.3 fantasy points. The Pelicans surrender the fourth most fantasy points per game to centers (52.2) and the fourth most points per game to opposing teams (105.5). Gasol should be able to dominate in the paint against the Pelicans today.
Zaza Pachulia ($6,200) – Zaza continues to play well and produce quality fantasy points. He has topped 30 fantasy points in nine of his last 10 games. He faces Boston’s undersized front court and should be able to post up a solid stat line against them. In his last meeting against the Celtics, Zaza scored 14 points and grabbed 12 boards. That performance was good for 35 fantasy points. He has grabbed double-digit rebounds in eight of his last 10 games and has five double-doubles in that span. He’s been consistent and offers a very safe floor to go along with decent upside. There’s no reason why he shouldn’t pay off his salary.