Winning in tournaments requires getting not just good efforts from your roster, but some extra high point production. Sometimes this requires differentiation in roster and other times it’s just identifying the high-ceiling plays for the slate.
For our purposes, we’re going to focus on the high-ceiling plays by position, and salary tier (top end, mid tier and low end), for tonight’s games, a sweet-spot, eight-game slate. These are plays that could go for about, on average, six times what their salary is. (Ex. $6,000 * 6 = 36DK points equals value.)
Let’s line em up! Ask any questions on Twitter @JasonWalker_72.
James Harden ($9,900) – Just play the man. Memphis may still scare off some players, but it shouldn’t you. Memphis has been neutral to opposing SG and if Mario Chalmers plays for Mike Conley and defends Harden, even better.
Jrue Holiday ($6,000) – Another lock and load, Holiday against the league’s worst PG defense in a high pace, low defense game and finally playing over 30 minutes a game is an equation for very high fantasy production. This is especially true when you weigh in Holiday’s 28-29% usage rate.
D’Angelo Russell ($4,900) – High pace, high total game and all the usage/production falls on the guards in this offense. As long as Russell plays his usual 28-30 minutes and isn’t hindered by the ankle injury that has made him probable, then he’s an excellent value among the four guard rotation there in Los Angeles.
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LeBron James ($10,000) – Most folks will go to Durant for 200 less, and that’s totally understandable. There’s also a canard that James has a capped ceiling with Irving back and while I believe Irving plays better than he did against MIN, James doesn’t have this ceiling and in a close game against the Mavs, in Dallas, James is going to be called on to produce plenty.
Zach Randolph ($6,500) – He’s still not starting, which draws people away automatically, but Randolph may be shooting more in smaller minutes, pouring on 29% usage when he’s on the floor and Marc Gasol is not. He has two 50-burgers in his last four games and has a very plus matchup against the Rockets. Dig in and enjoy!
Amir Johnson ($4,700) – Solid matchup for Amir, who has earned the trust of Brad Stevens over Jared Sullinger, getting 28 minutes per game over the last four, which is practically iron man numbers with Stevens. Johnson has averaged 30DK points over his last four games and provides value where there is little at PF tonight so far.
Greg Monroe ($6,600) – I don’t like the top end so we’ll swing two in the middle and grab Monroe, who has been getting fewer minutes per game recently but is in a terrific spot against the weak Bulls frontcourt on the second game of a back to back tonight in Milwaukee. Monroe may be averaging 30 minutes per game in his last four, but he’s been producing more than a DKPPM and should go even higher tonight in this matchup.
Zaza Pachulia ($6,300)- All the guy does is score between 30-40 DK points every night. Against the Cavs he won’t be highly owned, but Tristan Thompson has been playing more center recently, lessening the defensive impact and Zaza’s game is not one to be tremendously impacted by that anyway. He will scrap and free throw his way to the usual level again tonight.
Steven Adams ($4,400) – He and Russell Westbrook have had a nice connection lately and he plays very well on a first unit that has plenty of shooters. At 4.4K, Adams has been averaging 26.25 DK points per game over his last four games and they will need his size and defense against Karl-ANthony Towns, Nikola Pekovic and Gorgui Dieng.