Winning in tournaments requires getting not just good efforts from your roster, but some extra high point production. Sometimes this requires differentiation in roster and other times it’s just identifying the high-ceiling plays for the slate.
For our purposes, we’re going to focus on the high-ceiling plays by position, and salary tier (top end, mid tier and low end), for tonight’s games, a frisky, offensive minded five-game slate. These are plays that could go for about, on average, six times what their salary is. (Ex. $6,000 * 6 = 36DK points equals value.)
Let’s line em up! Ask any questions on Twitter @JasonWalker_72.’
John Wall ($9,300) – With Lillard, Rondo and Holiday on the schedule, he’ll be overlooked, relatively speaking, for the slate. He’s been steady at 45 DKPPG for the season and over the last 15 games, so he’s close to 5x even at that 9.3K price tag. Last thing is that, with Omer Asik out, the Pelicans are considerably worse defending both the post and PG positions and the Wizards still need Wall to make everything go.
Ish Smith ($6,900) – Despite not burning up the court lately, Ish’s usage is still over 27% and is scoring 32 DKPPG over his last 15 games, including his 7.25 stinker last time out. He has a positive matchup against the Magic and because of that stinker, recency bias will keep his ownership, relatively on a five-game slate, down.
Donald Sloan ($4,400) – Look, nobody wants to roster Donald Sloan, but if you are wanting to ratchet up the higher dollar plays tonight you’ll have to consider a guy in a good game total playing 30 minutes at PG and had 39.25 DK points his last time out against the Blazers.
DeMarcus Cousins ($11,200) – With very little value, as of this writing, available, they might be the weak of stomach who play a balanced lineup and forego rostering Cousins in Denver. There is nobody in Denver who can cover him, evidenced by his 74 DK point throwdown on these same Nuggets in Sacramento on 2/19.
Ryan Anderson ($5,300) – When Omer Asik is out, as is expected tonight, Anderson averages 32 DKPPG. With a lot of players looking at Anthony Davis’ 90-burger last time out, Anderson will be lowered owned, especially listed at the same position. Very interesting target in the prime game of the night.
Maurice Harkless ($4,400) – Mo has been getting solid minutes recently, averaging 25 minutes per game over his last four games and 29 DKPPG in those games. He has a positive matchup against the Nets tonight with a strong team and game total.
Dwight Howard ($7,200) – Howard will be overlooked with plenty of other, similarly priced options in perceived better matchups. Rostering against Utah’s frontcourt isn’t a popular move. However, the Jazz did just let Mason Plumlee have a night and Howard scored 37.75 DK points his last time out against them in Utah.
Marcin Gortat ($6,600) – New Orleans has been playing better defense against centers, but that all changes with Omer Asik out of the lineup. The Pelicans defense gives up 10% more fantasy points and 16% more than the average team defense against centers with Asik out. Enter Gortat, who has put up an average of 37 DKPPG over his last four games.
Mason Plumlee ($4,500) – Definitely a risky play here, considering his foul trouble and matchup against Brook Lopez, but if he stays on the court, as he did against the Jazz, Plumlee can easily get past value at 4.5K. Plumlee has averaged over a DKPPM this season, so if he gets 27 minutes, he’s very likely to pass value, especially with a plus matchup against the Nets.