After a small four game slate on Thursday night, we kick off the weekend with a nice 11 game slate. There are plenty of options to choose from tonight, so let’s jump right into some of tonight’s tournament plays.
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John Wall ($9100) – Wall is playing some good ball as of late. He has topped 58 fantasy points in four of his last six games. In that span, he is averaging 27.7 points, 9.8 assists, three steals, 5.2 rebounds, and 54.9 fantasy points per game. Tonight’s matchup against the Pelicans is a favorable one for Wall. They surrender the second most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards (53.5) and the most points per game to opposing teams (109.1). This game has an over/under of 215.5 points, which is currently the second highest of the slate and the Wizards have an implied point total of 106.5 points.
Eric Bledsoe ($8300) – Bledsoe has played well against the Trail Blazers this season. He is averaging 27.5 points, three steals, 1.5 blocks, 4.5 assists, and 45.6 fantasy points per game against them. He has scored 41 or more fantasy points in four of his last five games and continues to stuff the stat sheet. Portland yields the fifth most fantasy points per game to shooting guards (44). These teams both play at a fast pace and they’ve totaled over 190 points in each of their matchups this season. The over/under in tonight’s game is 209 points and the Suns have an implied point total of 106.5 points.
Ricky Rubio ($7000) – What I like most about Rubio is his triple-double upside. Not many players have the potential to post a triple-double any time they’re on the court, but Rubio does. He’s flirted with it several times in the last couple of game. He has topped 34 fantasy points in three consecutive games. In that span he’s averaging 10 points, 11.3 assists, 6.7 rebounds, and 1.7 steals. He will face off against the Nuggets who don’t defend well against guards. Point guards average 53 fantasy points per game against the Nuggets, which is the fourth most in the league. The last time Rubio played against the Nuggets, he scored 31 fantasy points.
Anthony Davis ($10800) – Davis has topped 50 fantasy points in seven of his last nine games, including three 60+ fantasy point games. This matchup has an over/under of 215.5 points and the Pelicans have an implied point total of 109, which means a potential close and high scoring game. Davis stuffs the stat sheet and is all but guaranteed a double-double. He offers one of the highest ceilings along with a very safe floor. There’s not much to dislike about Davis tonight.
Nicolas Batum ($7500) – Batum’s price was increasing, but has stood still at $7,500 for three straight games now. It might appear a tad steep, but it remains at an amount where he can 6x his salary, which is what you want in tournaments. He has topped 40 fantasy points in three of his last four games. In those four games, he has one triple-double and one double-double. He has definitely taken advantage of Al Jefferson’s absence. He’s seen an uptick in usage rate as well. The Grizzlies allow the fifth most fantasy points per game to opposing small forwards (41.9). Batum has continued to show his versatility and is able to contribute in multiple categories. He remains a great option as long as Jefferson is out.
Derrick Favors ($7900) – Favors has taken over the Jazz’s front court as Rudy Gobert is out with a knee injury. In his last five games, Favors is averaging 20.8 points, 10.2 rebounds, and 39.75 fantasy points. All of which are better than his season average. The Thunder have surrendered 51.7 fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards in their last five. They also allow the fourth most points per game to power forwards (22.8). Favors has exceeded value in 60 percent of the games by an average of 3.92 points, per Fantasy Labs. He offers 50+ fantasy point upside and will play in a paced up game against the team that scores the second most points in the NBA. The Jazz have an implied point total of 100 points.
Marc Gasol ($7400) – Charlotte will be without Al Jefferson making them a little weaker in the front court. It’s apparent that they’ve been struggling as they’re allowing the third most fantasy points per game in their last five (61.1). The Hornets surrender 45.3 rebounds per game and have a -1.3 differential. Gasol has topped 35 fantasy points in five of his last six games, including a 71 fantasy point game. He’s one of the best passers as far as big men is concerned and has triple-double upside. He should dominate the paint against the Hornets tonight.
Nikola Vucevic ($7000) – Vucevic has four double-doubles in his last five games. In that span, he has scored 35 or more fantasy points four times. The Cavaliers have surrender 53.7 fantasy points per game to opposing centers in their last five. The last time that Vucevic played the Cavs, he scored just 20 fantasy points, but also played just 25 minutes. He has played 30 or more minutes in six straight games. The Cavs are not a bad defensive team, but Vucevic is playing well and offers a nice ceiling.
Marcin Gortat ($6000) – Gortat has been crushing value as of late. In his last four games he has nearly scored seven times his salary in three of those games. That is exactly what you want in tournaments. He has actually exceeded value in four straight games. His price did go up a tad, but not enough to where it’ll be difficult for him to exceed value once again. In the last four games, he is averaging 16.75 points, 11 rebounds, 1.8 blocks, and 37.63 fantasy points per game. He’s up against the Pelicans who surrender the second most fantasy points per game to opposing centers (53.3) and the most points to opposing teams (109.1). They also give up the sixth most rebounds per game (45.9) and have a -3.7 differential. The game also has the second high total of the evening.