Winning in tournaments requires getting not just good efforts from your roster, but some extra high point production. Sometimes this requires differentiation in roster and other times it’s just identifying the high-ceiling plays for the slate.
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For our purposes, we’re going to focus on the high-ceiling plays by position, and salary tier (top end, mid tier and low end), for tonight’s games, an interesting six-game slate. These are plays that could go for about, on average, six times what their salary is. (Ex. $6,000 * 6 = 36DK points equals value.)
There are five 200+ game totals out there and some solid tournament plays to have fun with, so let’s line em up! Ask any questions on Twitter @JasonWalker_72.
Stephen Curry ($10,900) – People will worry about a likely blowout, but you have to have at least one tourney lineup with the guy with highest ceiling of the night included, especially considering the generosity of the Lakers defense at PG. And if Steph somehow plays a full game? Look out.
Avery Bradley ($5,500) – Marcus Smart is going to miss, giving Bradley opportunity. He’s also not particularly consistent, keeping people away from him now that his price has done up over $1,000 in the last week. The Hawks aren’t great defending the two, so he’s not likely to see much Thabo Sefolosha and he does a number on the Hawks whenever he plays them.
D’Angelo Russell ($4,500) – Folks have written him off but he’s had back-to-back 30+ minutes games, with Kobe and has delivered 30.75 and 32.75 DK points on his still small 4.5K salary. The game total is high, the PG position is the one weakness of the Warriors stellar defense (relatively speaking, don’t hate me, Steph) and Byron Scott should choose to use Russell for full minutes for development even if the game gets out of hand.
Paul George ($9,900) – He’s in a great spot against the Wizards on the road, but not at a great price. He’s a top tourney play because of his 60+ point upside and that most folks will go with Blake Griffin for 500 dollars less. If the Pacers are going to keep this game close like Vegas believes, then George is going to be the reason why.
Al-Farouq Aminu ($6,400) – He a tourney play in that most of the focus will be on Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum, but Aminu’s peripherals and matchup against the Bulls in Portland, put him in play. Because he doesn’t score a ton of points, he’s never a tremendously popular play when he’s at this salary level, so even on a six-game slate, he might be lower owned.
Darrell Arthur ($3,500) – A dart play in that muddled Nuggets frontcourt that may open up a little if Kenneth Faried misses (he’s doubtful) and Joffrey Lauvergne (questionable) is unavailable, too. Arthur put up 34 minutes and 33 DK points Sunday against the Warriors and his price opens up some top end salary to get Curry or George on the roster. If those guys do end up playing in Denver and you need to pivot, keep an eye on Zach Randolph’s status in Memphis, because if he misses, JaMychal Green should be the starter and is in play at 3.4K.
DeAndre Jordan ($7,400) – A little chalky here given the mess that the Nuggets are up front, but considering the value below deck at center, he might be a solid tourney play, too. Jordan has the highest ceiling of the night at the position and the game total is a healthy 207, giving you a decent salary point to get into the 107 team total of the Clippers if you don’t want to pay up for Chris Paul or Blake tonight.
Mason Plumlee ($5,700) – I like Plumlee slightly more than Jared Sullinger at this level because Plumlee is less popular and will get a West Coast fade, somewhat, tonight. He has been, however, rock solid and has a good matchup against the Bulls up front. With the focus on the Blazers backcourt, as discussed with Aminu above, the faceless frontcourt of Portland gets ignored, giving you a 40 point upside in Plumlee relatively low owned.
Nikola Jokic ($4,000) – So, if you don’t believe in Arthur, can I interest you in Jokic, who has had two games in his last three where he has crushed his salary value. He had a 50-burger against the Spurs and scored 34.75 against the Warriors his last time out, failing to hit when he only received 18 minutes against the smaller Suns. With the Clippers size, it’s probable Michael Malone will go big. And if Faried and Lauvergne miss, then it’s likely that Jokic will be in line for the same minutes as when he delivered those games against the Clippers and Warriors. And if Faried and/or Lauvergne play and Andrew Bogut sits against the Lakers, then Festus Ezeli at 4.3K is your man.